Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Florida Now COVID Capital U.S.A
View Single Post
 
Old 07-26-2021, 10:46 PM
Swoop Swoop is offline
Veteran member
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 581
Thanks: 213
Thanked 1,296 Times in 439 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
If the 1:13,000 is based on data gathered when there had been only 84M vaccinated then it needs to be updated. I believe someone else has already pointed out that there were caveats given at the time.

I believe the initial trials of the vaccine defined cases as symptomatic or possibly even hospitalized in order to determine effectiveness. You can't prove those results wrong by redefining cases as positive test results.

It would be interesting to know what the hospitalization rate is among the vaccinated population. I believe the CDC is collecting that information now, I just don't have the interest in looking it up at the moment.

As for the 20%, there are two problems with drawing conclusions from that. One, those results are based on positive test results and not symptomatic illness and; two, the sample size is far too small. You can't look at non-random group of 30 people and draw a conclusion about 164M.
Breakthrough cases are fully vaccinated people who test positive for the virus. I agree just looking at just the Yankees is too small a sample size. But look at all professional athletes and their percentage of breakthrough cases. They are among the most tested people on the planet. And their breakthrough percentage far exceeds the CDC’s stated .007%.
Most people who have been vaccinated and have no symptoms will never be tested. So they will never know if they have Covid and are asymptotic. The bigger question is, how likely are they to spread the virus? That is still being looked into.