[biker1]

Again, drawing comparisons with cellphones is not worthwhile. There is a big difference between manufacturing cellphones and cars. Again, the capacity to manufacture enough batteries will take a long time to develop. For the US alone, battery production would need to ramp up by 15x over the current number. Electric car manufacturing is limited by battery production. US automakers are projecting they will be at 50% all electric by 2030. Some projections for 2030 include hybrids and not only all-electrics. I tend to believe the people who actually make the product since production planning is a long term process.

Originally Posted by GrumpyOldMan

Excellent response, and hard to dispute your position, seriously very good and valid points.

But, 10 years ago everyone said you could not design a rocket to launch and land and be reused within weeks. Everyone laughed, now it is routine for SpaceX.

Smartphones, 13 years ago millions in first world countries, today about 5 billion of them, and all those cell towers to support them.

I don't know how it is going to happen, I just believe it will.

Combining automated AI manufacturing, repurposing gas stations (infrastructure) to charging stations (for profit) existing factories - Toyota, Honda, GM, Ford, etc, etc, etc. All switching to EVs. Tesla alone now has over 25,000 superchargers.

Distributed generation with localized mass storage battery systems (Tesla has them in several countries already) and I saw in the news a few days ago several states are considering legislation to build public charging stations.

It will certainly be interesting to see where we are in ten years.

Oh, and 11 years ago the first iPad came out, and Apple alone has sold more than 500 million of them. I think if you include Andriod tablets there are around 60 to 70 million sold per quarter now.

Lots of big numbers.

When money is to be made, companies will find a way to hurry up.