Quote:
Originally Posted by jimjamuser
I think that it is about 50/50 that Putin gets overthrown. A lot depends on how long the Ukrainians can prolong the conflict. The Ukrainians can win in the active part of the conflict or they can win a war of attrition and guerilla action that could go on long-term after a stalemate. The Russian "best and brightest" have left or are leaving the country. Putin may run out of money to continue the war and he probably will find it hard to get loans. Europe is united and becoming more aggressive and losing their passivity - they have to fear Putin and face the facts that only force has stopped Dictators in the past. Historically, appeasement and treaties (ask the Ukraine) never stop a Dictator. Only imminent capture stopped Hitler.
.....All Democracies have a vested interest in Putin losing this war. If he should win, then Taiwan likely falls to China. Small country Dictators think that Democracy is weak and they start to take, take, and take. Putin next takes Estonia or Rumania. The US is caught up in this tragedy and it is lucky that they still have Europe as a friend. US citizens will have to accept some price increases on goods and gasoline. Peace has dividends and wars have costs - usually suffered most by the average citizen.
........The Ukraine was supposedly a beautiful country that had great mineral resources and fertile farmland. They are being bombed back into the middle ages.......their big sin - choosing western freedom over Russian Dictatorship. I hope that Americans remember the Ukrainian example.
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If only the world was dealing with a rational person and not an evil old man with nothing to lose, those thoughts would hold water.
Putin will use the nuclear threat now to get anything he wants, there is no squeezing him. If it becomes unmanageable for him in any fashion, his finger is on the button.