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Thread: Deep Thinkers 3
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Old 08-21-2022, 05:21 AM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fdpaq0580 View Post
Unless you can identify that there is a real one and which one it is, better take them all seriously. Imagine a scenario where you are the head of secret service protecting the president. There is a report of 1000 enemy snipers. Infact, there are 999 fake snipers with blank ammo and only 1 real sniper with real ammo. You have no choice but to find them all. After all, you have not idea that there is only one. There might be more. The one you miss could change the course of history.
Every sighting is possibly real until it is proven not to be.
You have that backwards, you are starting from a false conclusion. Just because you have a report of 1000 or enemy or snipers doesn't make any of it true. Instead of 1000 enemy snipers there could be five rooftop gardeners and whoever reported otherwise was simply wrong. The story isn't true until proven false, the story is a story until proven true.

Every sighting is possibly real - sure.
...until it is proven not to be - NO.

Every sighting is possibly real but probably not until it is proven to be true.
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Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


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