Quote:
Originally Posted by TrapX
Climate scientists didn't predict hurricane Ian 30 days in advance.
Climate scientists predicted a direct hit to Tampa 2 days in advance. They evacuated to be safe from total destruction.
Climate scientists didn't predict the location for the eye to hit until it was only a few miles away from land.
Their models were close, but very wrong and incomplete. I'm glad they are as good as they are, but realize there are many factors that cannot be predicted.
So climate scientists... What is the exact date when the next hurricane will hit Florida? And where will it hit? How strong? What will the high and low temperatures be on that day?
Climate scientists didn't even predict the 15deg drop in daytime high temperatures until after Ian passed and it was happening.
And now try to convince me that you all know what will happen 100 years from now?
But wait. I can predict the next hurricane. I'll write it down, seal it in an envelope. I'll open it the day it happens to prove I am better at predicting than you. Of course I will predict every combination of a hurricane to hit for every day, impacting every city, and for every intensity. Thousands of prediction envelopes. One WILL be right. That's the one I'll pull out and show the world how great I am.
Analyzing data points to predict the future is a lot like that scenario. Pick the data points you want to use that show your sponsor's theories are spot on. Ignore the rest. Extrapolate into the future.
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So, something isn't perfect enough to predict absolute accuracy and so it doesn't exist or is BS.
WOW.
Please provide us with ANYTHING that sicence can predict absolutely, and I will exclude light switches.
Sigh...
WOW. Just WOW.