Quote:
Originally Posted by oneclickplus
The government reports that out of 350,000,000 (350 million) people in the US, there are about 600,000 first-time strokes per year. That's one(1) stroke for every 583 people per year.
So, for 550,000 people, 943 would have a stroke in a year's time. That's 18.8 strokes per week or 56 strokes in 3 weeks.
The issue then is that 130 strokes in 3 weeks is several multiples of the 56 expected in that time frame using the historical data as a predictor. By my math, a person is 2.32 (130/56) times more likely to have a stroke in the 3-week window after taking the booster.
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Picking a specific 3-week period using a specific demographic, and comparing it to a 52-week period using every person in the country - does not add up and is not mathematics, at all, even a little bit.
What percentage of of ALL people in the USA, had strokes in the last 52 weeks? Compare that to the 52 weeks prior, and the 52 weeks prior, and keep going back until you're beyond 52 weeks before the first case of COVID.
If you want whole numbers, then pick all the people in the USA up to and including 350 million of them - if it falls short, add some folks from Canada to make up the shortage. And figure out how many of those people had strokes in the last 52 weeks. And then the 52 weeks prior, and the 52 weeks prior to that, and so on, until you're beyond 52 weeks before the first case of COVID.
Compare like with like, otherwise your data has no merit, and is useless.