Quote:
Originally Posted by oneclickplus
The government reports that out of 350,000,000 (350 million) people in the US, there are about 600,000 first-time strokes per year. That's one(1) stroke for every 583 people per year.
So, for 550,000 people, 943 would have a stroke in a year's time. That's 18.8 strokes per week or 56 strokes in 3 weeks.
The issue then is that 130 strokes in 3 weeks is several multiples of the 56 expected in that time frame using the historical data as a predictor. By my math, a person is 2.32 (130/56) times more likely to have a stroke in the 3-week window after taking the booster.
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It is good to see an attempt at critical thinking. BUT, you missed one extremely important detail. The data on strokes reported by the CDC in this signal are only on those 65 and older. Thus you need to be comparing the stroke rate reported here with not the 350 million Americans, but rather the much smaller number of over 65. Come back to us with that calculation.. The number of baseline strokes in a three week period in the over 65 vs the report of 130 in a half million seniors.