I don't believe that it is reasonable to assume that used EVs would need a battery replacement. There are Teslas running around with 300K miles and relatively low amounts of range degradation. Tesla is talking about million mile battery packs. There have been EVs, such as the early Nissan Leafs, that had poorly engineered battery thermal management systems that led to early battery failure. I believe we are beyond that.
Regarding home charging, Level 2 typically requires a NEMA 14-50 outlet. These can be installed for about $500. For those who can't charge at home, I believe you will find charging at work will become more common and more public chargers will become available as more EVs are sold. I wouldn't assume anything will stay static - it never does.
The transition to EVs will take 20 years, or more (say, arbitrarily, 90% of the 16 million new cars, or whatever the number is in 20 years, sold in the US are EV) . Nobody is forcing anyone to buy an EV. The prices will continue to drop. A new Tesla Model Y is currently at $55K which is just above the average new car price. I think you will find many new EVs becoming available over the next 5 years that are less than or comparable in price to new gas cars of the same class. There is always going to be a part of society that will only be able to afford used cars. They may very well find that used EVs are comparable or perhaps even better than used gas cars. If you can charge at home, the cost per mile for "fuel" will be less with an EV.
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Originally Posted by Battlebasset
If you own two Teslas then you must have quite a bit of money. And good for you, I am definitely not one of those that hates wealth. I've done pretty good myself, and earned every dollar I have. And you have every right to spend your money as you see fit.
But Tesla EV is in a category by itself. They are the gold standard. Unfortunately, the average Joe is going to be left with something that is quite a bit below that, as that is all they will be able to afford. And those are also the used EVs that the working poor will be looking to purchase. When you consider that the average age of a used car now for that group is about 12 years, they will be looking at EVs that unless the technology vastly improves are going to have degraded battery range to the point that replacement is needed.
In addition, they will not be able to afford at-home 220V chargers. Some/most won't even have a garage. They will be totally reliant on public chargers and the time it takes to charge with those.
A transportation economy that moves primarily to EV is going to impact most heavily those that can least afford it. EV IMO is a plaything for the more well-off in our society, not unlike my lithium ion golf cart, and will be for the foreseeable future.
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