[Normal]

We are still less likely to have a hurricane this year. The conditions are impacted by so many other variables. Underwater currents contribute to water temps much more than ambient temperatures. Anyone who tries to frame this as just the sun being hotter is untruthful and not scientific. Holistically all inputs for water temperature are needed for a substantial hypothesis of cause. The Sigsbee Deep is within mean for the year, however the North Equatorial is about.3 degrees warmer with a Standard Deviation of 1 degree Celsius. Gulf Stream water isn’t as heavily exchanging with the Northern Atlantic currents.

Keep in mind we should be at solar Maximus which now is peaking in late December? This breaks slightly from the 2025 prediction, but is by no means atypical of the 11 year cycle variation. Currents should cool if the suns rays do their flip by April giving us a much cooler ambient temp AND current changes again.

Without throwing too much into all the water temperatures amalgamations, we seem to be having heavier Sahara winds latent with dust. The dust suppresses storm activity quite a bit.

If you are into agenda driven hype, there are 3 storms in the Atlantic now. Fun fact: since 1851 only eighteen hurricane seasons passed without a known storm impacting the state of Florida. We average a little over 3 per season.