Quote:
Originally Posted by CoachKandSportsguy
The case for a prolonged bear market in stocks. .
aka perma-bear porn:
1. China real estate in crisis
2. Pandemic excess savings gone
3. Lagging effects of rate hikes starting to bite credit availability - residential housing
4. Jobs creation mainly in low pay service areas
5. CRE distressed
6. New COVID variant making the rounds
7. real interest rates rising to highest in many, many years
8. Size of national debt interest payments requiring huge treasury increase in bond offerings
9. Student loan payments start up again after two+ years of suspension
10. Russian roulette by Putin with agriculture and energy and lives. .
lots of historically first time events which are very hard to predict the outcomes. .
makes market investing less certain of the outcome in the next 5 years for sure
good luck!
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I think the one thing that is keeping the market going right now is the spending of the baby boomers. The Boomers for the most part, lived during the best economic times in America and have accumulated a lot of wealth. The Boomers are in the fourth quarter of life and are not holding back in their spending in retirement. When this cycle ends, watch out. No political party is going to solve the problem, we are too far gone.