[cjrjck]

Models are starting to shift north on this storm. May not be that bad but keep an eye on the further updates. What I've seen personally from hurricanes is unbelievable damage from storm surge (Mississippi due to Katrina), flooding (mostly due to low lying areas and rain but sometimes connected to storm surge), and power loss mostly due to fallen trees and power lines. Here we don't have to worry about storm surge and most of TV is well above sea level so no New Orleans like flooding here. Can get some short term flooding though. Orlando did last year. Most of TV has few large trees, especially pine trees which are very susceptible to wind and most of the utilities are underground. Of course, at some point along their path from the source utilities could be vulnerable. All this means is that long term flooding and power outages are less likely. Think days and not weeks. So the biggest threat is wind either from the hurricane or any tornadoes that are associated with it. Structures around here are built well so they should handle lower level storms without much damage. I have left town to escape hurricanes. I got trapped on the Georgia coast one year because I rode out a hurricane that grazed the coast. Pine trees fell everywhere knocking down power lines. I lost almost 20 trees in my 1.5 acre lot. County would not let anyone leave their homes for days as it was too dangerous. Took 3 days to clean up the mess and restore limited power. Hot and miserable experience. Could happen here but won't last as long because there are far fewer trees and most of the power poles are the tall tower structures.