Quote:
Originally Posted by retiredguy123
Every morning, I check the Weather Channel app to see if it is going to rain. Today, it said that there was a 71 percent chance for rain at 5 pm. But, now, at 3 pm, the chance for rain at 5 pm is only 40 percent. I understand that a forecast can change, but this pattern occurs almost every day. The chance for rain at 5 pm is very high in the early morning, but then it decreases as the time gets closer to 5 pm. It almost never increases. It happens so often that I believe that the forecasters are intentionally publishing a higher chance for rain in the morning than the data actually suggests. Has anyone else noticed this trend and is there a logical explanation?
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I’ve found that checking the radar on my weather app is the most accurate. Don’t forget, the weathermen are reporting on central FL. It may be raining in Orlando and not in The Villages. Also don’t forget how very large a community we are now. It may be raining in Brownwood and beautiful in Spanish Springs. Check the radar and if you don’t already have one, download a weather app and frequently check the radar.