Quote:
Originally Posted by retiredguy123
Every morning, I check the Weather Channel app to see if it is going to rain. Today, it said that there was a 71 percent chance for rain at 5 pm. But, now, at 3 pm, the chance for rain at 5 pm is only 40 percent. I understand that a forecast can change, but this pattern occurs almost every day. The chance for rain at 5 pm is very high in the early morning, but then it decreases as the time gets closer to 5 pm. It almost never increases. It happens so often that I believe that the forecasters are intentionally publishing a higher chance for rain in the morning than the data actually suggests. Has anyone else noticed this trend and is there a logical explanation?
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Hahaha, it’s Florida!!! It can downpour at Lake Sumter Landing and not rain at all at Brownwood. The percentage is the coverage area, not a percentage of rain. If there’s a 70% chance that means it WILL rain in 70% of that area. Not there’s a 70% chance it will rain.