Quote:
Originally Posted by cjrjck
The weather forecast inaccuracies are not unique to Florida. I've seen them most everywhere I have lived but especially along the Gulf Coast, the source of much of the moisture that feeds these storms. About the only time forecasts here are somewhat accurate is when a front is coming down from the northwest. You can often see the leading edge of the front and its associated thunderstorms as it approaches, often days in advance. The forecasters really blew this week's forecasts. Yes, the models are responsible but the models are just a tool used by meteorologists. I saw instances where the forecast went from 2.5 inches in a day, to .5 and then back to 1.5 and then down to .2 then to .001 in about a 5 hour period. Same thing the next day. In the end, we got no measurable rain. I am no meteorologist but I told my wife that they are seeing something I wasn't and went ahead an watered my lawn on schedule even though it was forecasted to rain over 2 inches that day.
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Perfect illustration of why all climate models fail. If you can't forecast 2 days out -- you certainly can't forecast 2 years out.