Quote:
Originally Posted by Stu from NYC
What gets me is they predict much higher chance say 80% and we get nothing at all
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That's because you were in the 20% that got nothing -- assuming the 80% forecast was right to begin with - which of course it not always the case. Remember, this is all computer generated -- using inadequate forecast models which use insufficient data. The problem is ... the NWS is NOT a profit making business -- which is why businesses that can afford it purchase higher quality forecasts from private companies - which are also limited by models and data, but they use experienced meteorologists for a man/machine mix to produce better forecasts. This is also true for short-term seasonal/climate forecasts.