Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Hurricane "Experts" backing off on extreme seasonal outlook
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Old 09-05-2024, 05:28 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by AZ SLIM View Post
This article came out yesterday. It's fairly long report on why their forecasts are turning out to be wrong again this year. Hurricane experts now predict below-normal activity into September'''s season peak | Fox Weather
The number and strength of Hurricanes and Global Warming are 2 different (but related subjects). Global Warming is the increased temperatures measured by scientists worldwide that have taken place in the last 30 or so years. Hurricanes increase with ocean temperature, but there are about 4 other factors also. Wind shear prevents hurricanes from forming. It has been HIGH for the last 3 weeks (but that could change). The tropical wave track has been pushing further north than usual. Atmospheric Stability- The air aloft is warmer than normal, which may or may not be caused by water vapor from Tonga could be keeping the upper air warm (a favorite theory by the Weather Club). MJO- an atmospheric wave that goes around the globe every 30 to 60 days.
.........Most BIG storm hits to the US have happened AFTER Sept 10 th.