Quote:
Originally Posted by sounding
I've so far contacted over 30 news media and weather reporting agencies, who are sure Francine was a Cat 2 storm -- and so far -- none can provide data confirming Francine's Cat 2 status. It's amazing how many have unthinking respect for authority.
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I agree with the bold point above, whole heartedly. However, the issue being questioned is a soft event, not a hard event. Type 1 error, false positive, on a classification issue of safety, which didn't affect the outcome, which also didn't last long. I have had two different careers, and to a lay person, what I see as a significant professional issue, the lay person does not.. . is the Type 1 Error significant to the outcome?
Also realize that referees work for the NFL, and the NFL as a sports entertainment and marketing organization, also uses Type 1 errors to effect outcomes, but at the edges, (most times) and yet viewership and money keeps rolling in. . . The Type 1 errors are easy to see if you know where to look. Is the NFL type 1 errors significant to our daily lives? to the lay person, no, to the professional football participant, yes. . .
I have this exact issue with government financial data, with revisions and methodology changes for accuracy? yes, they are purely incompetent with respect to accuracy,, more about presentation to pay or not pay for certain outcomes. Its glaringly obvious that the imputed numbers are grossly false and misleading, but that is the sign that the country and government is too big to management, and the government is now too lucrative relative to the opportunities by self dealing benefits, that there are shades of 476 AD.
I would suggest that this is the base issue to which this thread is arm wrestling, especially with retirees. Keep up the good work challenging govt for us, but we might not have the same passion for the issue that others have. .