[Bill14564]

Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby

First - we aren't a "direct hit" from Milton. The gulf short will be the "direct hit." By the time it gets to The Villages it will have weakened. Even if it only weakens from a Cat4 to a Cat3, it still disqualifies as a "direct" hit.

We are not in the path of the center of whatever ends up inland. We're north of it. Hopefully the southernmost parts of The Villages will be spared from the worst, including Middleton, our "sister Family community."

The Historic section looks like it'll just get what it always gets when the wind and rain kick up a notch - palm fronds laying in the streets, some road flooding at retention ponds and Silver Lake, and lawn ornaments toppled and hurled over to the next door neighbor's yard.

If the eye of Milton passes over the Villages then we will have sustained a direct hit, whether the winds have lost some speed or not.

We are clearly within the forecast cone of Milton as it crosses land. We are not at the center but the center moves with every update. If I remember correctly, hurricane Ian just two years ago showed the folly of relying too heavily on the center line of the forecast cone.

And, just like horseshoes and hand-grenades, "close" counts with hurricanes.