Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Just Published!!! Objective scientific proof about global temp surges since the 70's!
View Single Post
 
Old 10-16-2024, 12:38 PM
blueash's Avatar
blueash blueash is offline
Sage
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 3,389
Thanks: 253
Thanked 3,492 Times in 940 Posts
Default

I emailed the study's lead author Dr. Claudie Beaulieu as follows: (email slightly edited)

Dear Professor Beaulieu

My interest and reason for emailing is simple. On our local community internet comment website your paper is now being cited as evidence that there is no human induced climate change, it is all just sun spots and the usual climate changes that occur over tens of thousands of years.

From the online discussion: ....

I would love a brief comment from you summarizing that such is not the conclusion to be drawn from you work and perhaps a sentence or two explaining to non-scientists how your work fits into the narrative that greenhouse gases are real (they even deny that) and that global warming is clearly being caused by increased greenhouse emissions.

Thank you "

and here is the reply :

"Dear ....,

Thank you for reaching out, and sorry to hear that our study is being misinterpreted on your community website. Clearly people using our study to deny climate change have not read it!

This UCSC news story
will provide you with the quotes you need I believe.

Best wishes,
Claudie"

For those who don't do links
Global warming is happening, but not statistically ‘surging,’ new study finds

Key quotes from that news article from her university

Quote:
For example, they identified that, for the year 2012, the rate of warming would have needed to increase by at least 55% before its trajectory could be statistically detectable in 2024—and therefore be called a “surge.” In another example, they show that a change in the warming rate of around 35% in 2010 would become statistically detectable by around 2035.
Quote:
Although their findings show no statistical evidence that we are in the midst of a warming surge, Beaulieu emphasized that they aren’t refuting the reality of climate change.

“Earth is the warmest it has ever been since the start of the instrumental record because of human activities—and to be clear, our analysis demonstrates the ongoing warming,” Beaulieu said. “However, if there's an acceleration in global warming, we can't statistically detect it yet." 

“When coupled with other studies I've recently done, which include generally declining snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere and changes in hurricane and tropical cyclone counts, the work shows that the Earth's climate is changing, and more often than not, the changes are bad for humans,” said co-author Robert Lund, professor and department chair of statistics at the UC Santa Cruz Baskin School of Engineering.
my bold added
__________________
Men plug the dikes of their most needed beliefs with whatever mud they can find. - Clifford Geertz