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Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby
The likelihood of a school shooting is 100% for all schools where there have been a school shooting.
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And the likelihood of there having been a school shooting where there wasn't one is 0%, so I'm not sure what your point is.
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The likelihood has increased significantly since Columbine. In 2024 alone, there were 39 school shootings across the country. That's almost one in every contiguous state. So the odds of it happening in your state, in 2024, was over 80:1
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Assuming your math is even correct, what are the odd though of it happening in any INDIVIDUAL school? Certainly less than 2% as I stated earlier. So no phones for the kids to call mom just in case.
Now, you could make the argument that anything above 0% is unacceptable, with which I would agree.