Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Kentucky Derby picks?
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Old 05-06-2025, 02:01 PM
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I hit the exacta, everyone did, but not the trifecta, which had Baeza coming in third. The wet surface really made it hard to handicap this race. Hardly anyone had any lifetime experience on a wet track, including the first four finishers. I've never seen that in a K. Derby (you can correct me if I'm wrong).

The fourth place finisher, Final Gambit, had a nice resume but was too close to the rail for my liking. It seemed that #1 and #2, two frontrunners, cleared the way for him at the beginning of the race which made for an easier trip.

Baeza had only four lifetime races all in California on dry dirt, except his first race which was on dry turf where he came in ninth. Also he was in the 19th stall, which makes for an extra long trip.

Just for the record I had the following coming in third:
#7 Luxor Cafe
#9 Burham Square
#11 Flying Mohawk
#14 Tiztastic
#17 Sandman