Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Home with a Solar System Lease; should I buy or not?
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Old 08-19-2025, 01:11 PM
goneil2024 goneil2024 is offline
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Solar (PV Arrays) in theory sound great, however when it takes tax incentives to make the deal work it's one indication that without the incentives the concept may be flawed. I would only consider them if I lived on a mountain top and there were no other options, e.g., off the grid.

I am involved in commercial real estate as part of my job and have direct experienced where some insurance companies refused to offer property coverage when solar panels were installed on a large building. The rational for declining the commercial coverage was that in the event of a fire the fire dept would not be able to penetrate/attack the fire through the roof which is a common method with all the PV equipment that was installed.

Also, I have analyzed a number of lease/ground lease PV proposals, where the owner is renting the roof or acres to the PV company for a long period of time. For the average homeowner the level of complexity and financial risk would suggest taking a pass on the opportunity. Most of us are not equipped to evaluate the risks, ongoing expenses and potential hazards associated with such an installation.

I also evaluated three proposals for my own roof in CT against PV companies, and even with the high electric cost in our area the risk/return did not make sense. I used discounted cash flow analysis as well as the incentives from State/Federal programs and still didn't make sense or the breakeven was over 12 - 13 years, again that was the breakeven on a DCF basis.

Also, like the ever-improving technology with CPU's e.g., "Moore's Law" there is a similar "Law" that applies to PV systems the proposition being that PV technology for solar panels becomes more efficient over time referred to as "Swanson's Law". This law states that the price of solar photovoltaic modules decreases by approximately 20% for every doubling of cumulative solar capacity.

Good luck, might want to take a pass for now.

Last edited by goneil2024; 08-19-2025 at 01:21 PM.