Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - VK...need help
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Old 08-18-2011, 06:38 PM
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Originally Posted by Villages Kahuna View Post
Bucco, I wish I had the absolute and complete answer. I may not, but I'll give it a try.

To an extent, it's the reverse of what we experienced here in the US two and one-half years ago. The exception is that it's the European Union member central banks trying to fix the problem and unlike the US, with the dollar as the reserve currency of the world, they can't simply print money to use in resolving their problems.

In this case, there are only two financially strong countries in the EU--Germany and France. France can be of little help because the Franc is growing in value, making France's ability to repay their own debts more expensive. So much so that France's willingness to bail out Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain is very limited. Germany is similarly constrained but for a different reason. The German public is becoming highly critical and resistant to the idea of their political leaders bailing out the weaker EU countries.

Now on top of all that, today Germany's equivalent of our Federal Reserve announced their projections that Germany's economic growth will be essentially flat for the next couple of years. So we have the only strong country in the EU getting financially weaker.

Like the US, the people and the politicians in Greece, Spain and Portugal have refused to bite the bullet and substantially reduce government spending and entitlements. Italy's government has said they will be putting together a "plan" in the next few months, but they too will require a substantial bailout from Germany and France.

Because the banks throughout the world are the largest holders of the sovereign debt of these countries, along with the US banks they're pulling in their horns and are withdrawing credit from both commercial borrowers as well as other banks. The result of course is that the owners of stocks are selling in an attempt to avoid taking much greater future losses, seeing an almost unavoidable slowdown in the world economy and huge write-offs by banks around the world.

This is as serious a financial problem as I've ever seen. As you know, Bucco, I've said that if our politicians didn't begin to take serious actions to put our financial house in order, that life would change for future generations of Americans. What's different now it that it appears almost certain that life is going to change for our generation as well.

From what we're seeing today, the US couldn't slow down this worldwide financial train wreck if it wanted to. And there's no chance we could anyway because we're in worse financial shape that even the weaker EU countries.

So that's my view of things. What I'll find interesting on how many people here will assign the blame for this worldwide crisis on President Obama. All I'll say is that he didn't cause this problem, and certainly can't "fix" it, even with a cooperative and committed Congress--which doesn't exist of course!
Thanks VK....read it and will now do some research.

While I do not exonerate President Obama from any blame at all, I still cannot understand why if it is what you call "....as serious a financial problem as I've ever seen" why he is on vacation...no said that wrong..do not want to give the impression this is another anti vacation comment...just cannot understand why he did not and will not call our congress back into session. I realize that all the blame is not his, and will withold my comments on his exacerbation of a bad situation and the motives in doing that, and just ask him along with congress to do their job...LEAD !!!!

I also am perplexed about the lack of concern on spending by congress...folks are always after the tea party crowd..and me also on certain things...but they want to cut..period. YET they are considered extremist folks and mocked.

You are right in your many posts that this must stop...NOW. I get the feeling that if someone stands up to lead, he/she is made to follow the line of the party.

We seem to be playing directly into the hands of those who hate us. Who are not spoiled by "things" and just want us destroyed.

In any case VK...thank you.....good concise post. I need to learn more about the international money part of !!

We need to bite the bullet.....As you are well aware,I am and will be against this presidency but will support him toally if he actually TRIES to get it fixed without the political mumbo jumbo. There will be hurdles thrown out by both parties for sure but it is clear when the President (any of any party) is actually interested in fixing the problem and not just getting votes. I will say this, and this is my opinion......he, the President stands to lose a lot of votes if he in fact is serious about the cutting and if that happens I will be on here praising him for his guts.