"If there’s anything close to a political certainty in 2012, it’s that Barack Obama will get more than 90 percent of the African-American vote"

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0811/62284.html

What is interesting is the turn of a phrase in this sentence...

"“You can spend a lot of time trying to win over white independents, but if you don’t pay attention to your base, African-Americans, if you have not locked up your base yet, you’ve got a serious problem,” said CNN contributor Roland Martin."

I was struck by the phrase calling HIS BASE to be African Americans ,,,also found it interesting that he WILL get the 90% no matter what....would appear that the vote will be based on something other than who is best.

"But that doesn’t mean every black Obama supporter will vote for him happily — nor does it guarantee that turnout will approach the stratospheric levels of 2008, even though Obama needs a huge showing from his base to offset the expected loss of swing voters in states like North Carolina, Virginia and Pennsylvania."