Depends on who is the third party member. I think most that would run would hurt REP's more than Obama, so hopefully that will be discouraged. I do not get the MY CANDIDATE OR NO ONE. Is Obama so good that it would take a very special GOP runner to be voted for? Or would either Newt or Mitt be better than the status Quo? It it not hard to understand that a split REP vote would help Obama immensely.