I think the loyal democrats who continue to rave that Obama will pull the same ethnic groups in the very same percentages as he did in 2008 are extremely loyal (no matter what) or hopeful or optomistic.

He most certainly will not. Many will state he has not delivered to their group as promised. Many will view him more a talker than a walker. Then there are those that were not voting for Obama but against Macain. The independents and youth of America who bought the hope and change message and are not satisfied with the results to date. And lastly those who felt the economy was going south because of the Republicans will be unhappy that the trip not only did not end with Obama but continued further south.

For all the above there will be a substantial number who cast their vote for Obama (VS voting FOR Obama) who will not do so again this time.

I will not pretend to know that there will be sufficient to cause him to lose...the facts of the matter are there are a goodly number who will not buy his rhetoric a second time.

For me it is very simple, the American people, all colors, religions and political persuasions will view it from their perspective....did they get what they expected. I happen to believe there are very many who think not. And they are not as loyally obligated as some who to continue hammering away that he is a slam dunk...thank GOD!

btk