Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Romney leading Obama by 5 points.
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Old 07-29-2012, 02:18 PM
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Default What is your source for poll lead in 2008?

[QUOTE=RichieLion;530077]Read it and weep Obama sycophants.

This is the same margin Obama enjoyed in the polls this time 2008.

Here is the data for the end of July 2008
CBS Obama +6
AP Obama +6
Gallup Obama +2
Rasmussen Obama +1
Final Result: Obama +7

Source: Daily Kos: National Polls Show Obama Holding His Lead

Here is the data for end of July 2012

CBS Romney +1
AP Obama +6 6/14. They release July data soon
Galllup Even 7/28/12
Rasmussen Romney +2 today's poll 7/29/12 47/45


While Obama's lead is likely smaller in national polls than it was in 2008, it is clear that Rasmussen uses a model which did not do well in 2008. Of greater import is the state by state data. Romney is running ahead of McCain in red states as they become more red. In the critical swing states, so far despite the poor economy Obama continues to poll ahead of Romney.
As of July 20th, the Las Vegas odds on the race
2012 U.S. Presidential Election Betting Odds | 2012 Presidential Betting Lines
One dollar bet on Obama pays $0.59
One dollar on Rmoney pays $1.40

Nate Silver has the electoral college at 294/244 for Obama

Lots of time left