Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Screening for colon cancer: When is it needed?
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Old 11-02-2012, 06:31 PM
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Originally Posted by Villages PL View Post
When I searched "wikipedia-Colonoscopy" I found some interesting information. As I said before, I had to scroll down to where it said RISK.

In a study of 25,000 people who had a colonoscopy the perforation rate (perforation of the colon is potentially deadly if not repaired quickly) was 0.2%. If my math is correct, 25,000 people X 0.2% = 50 people.

Of 84,000 colonoscopy patients, the death rate was .006%. I believe that would be 5.04 people. They could be healthy people who don't have cancer.

84,000 people is almost the population of The Villages. I guess .006 X 100,000 people would be 6 people. That's slightly more than 1/3 the number of those who die from colon cancer.

The perforation rate for 100,000 people would be 200 people. They would need emergency surgery to repair the damage.

Dirty Harry again asks: Are you feeling lucky, well are you?
Sure, you can look at it that way. On the other hand, you could look at it as:
Out of 100,000 people, 999,800 had colonoscopies without serious complications. Or out of 100,000 people, 999,994 of them had colonoscopies and survived.

One of the problems with those figures is that they don't detail the overall health situation of those undergoing the procedure. What underlying conditions may have contributed to the outcome? What was the age range of those who suffered poor outcomes? You could go on and on distilling the data to get a reasonable idea of the risk for yourself undergoing the procedure.

Because of its open structure, wickipedia is not a resource I would consider without reservations.