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Originally Posted by LndLocked
Been in Fla 50+ years and closely followed the development / tracks of hurricanes for 40 years (they have a direct impact on my fav recreational activity) and as a general rule I agree with you.
However ..... the model runs for 2pm today tightened up CONSIDERABLY from 11am.
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I moved to Fla in 1953 at age 10. Now that they are using models in recent years they are getting much better in predicting the paths. Funny, European model is usually the most accurate. They admit that they are a long way from accurately predicting intensity. For some reason some storms can rapidly grow stronger as Andrew did.