Seven new Covid-19 cases in The Villages last 3 days?

[Bobcuse]

I am surprised that nothing is mentioned about this mini spike, almost like it not really a news event, but after sitting at 70 cases steady for the past month or so a 10% jump in 3 days is concerning. I fully understand that more testing will yield more cases but this seems strange. I just wish some contact tracing information showing locations of these cases could be accessible to maybe indicate where these people have been recently.

It's certainly not time to panic but it's not comforting just as we expand the reopening of restaurants, etc and a large percentage of people don't bother to protect their fellow residents by wearing a mask even in busy stores. For those of us who are at higher risk for whatever reason, people who don't bother to wear masks while in stores or churches to protect others in case of a cough or sneeze will compel us to continue staying home.

[Mortal1]

If it worries then only go out when necessary. Otherwise stay home. No...I am not concerned with so few cases.

[Travelhunter]

I am surprised that nothing is mentioned about this mini spike, almost like it not really a news event, but after sitting at 70 cases steady for the past month or so a 10% jump in 3 days is concerning. I fully understand that more testing will yield more cases but this seems strange. I just wish some contact tracing information showing locations of these cases could be accessible to maybe indicate where these people have been recently.

It's certainly not time to panic but it's not comforting just as we expand the reopening of restaurants, etc and a large percentage of people don't bother to protect their fellow residents by wearing a mask even in busy stores. For those of us who are at higher risk for whatever reason, people who don't bother to wear masks while in stores or churches to protect others in case of a cough or sneeze will compel us to continue staying home.

Big increase. We need to keep safe

[vintageogauge]

Most likely more people have been tested, if they are hospitalized then it's time to worry a little. Also, there are a lot of new people that came down from the North. There are probably dozens of us walking around with it without symptoms. Just keep your distance and do what's best.

[Villagerjjm]

The State of Florida is not reporting COVID-19 cases on a regular basis. The website shows cases per day and every day the number of cases on previous days increases. Also, the death rate being posted from COVID-19 is not accurate. COVID-19 affects a lot of different organs: Lungs, Heart, Kidney, Liver, Blood vessels and Brain, and because of that the death figures can be altered.

[asianthree]

I am surprised that nothing is mentioned about this mini spike, almost like it not really a news event, but after sitting at 70 cases steady for the past month or so a 10% jump in 3 days is concerning. I fully understand that more testing will yield more cases but this seems strange. I just wish some contact tracing information showing locations of these cases could be accessible to maybe indicate where these people have been recently.

It's certainly not time to panic but it's not comforting just as we expand the reopening of restaurants, etc and a large percentage of people don't bother to protect their fellow residents by wearing a mask even in busy stores. For those of us who are at higher risk for whatever reason, people who don't bother to wear masks while in stores or churches to protect others in case of a cough or sneeze will compel us to continue staying home.

Does it actually say new cases in TV? Lots of people coming in from other areas to T V in the last couple weeks. But say increase in Sumter, also includes prison numbers. I didn’t think it is broken down to just TV

[yabbadu]

I am surprised that nothing is mentioned about this mini spike, almost like it not really a news event, but after sitting at 70 cases steady for the past month or so a 10% jump in 3 days is concerning. I fully understand that more testing will yield more cases but this seems strange. I just wish some contact tracing information showing locations of these cases could be accessible to maybe indicate where these people have been recently.

It's certainly not time to panic but it's not comforting just as we expand the reopening of restaurants, etc and a large percentage of people don't bother to protect their fellow residents by wearing a mask even in busy stores. For those of us who are at higher risk for whatever reason, people who don't bother to wear masks while in stores or churches to protect others in case of a cough or sneeze will compel us to continue staying home.


The numbers are misleading, per a discussion I had with the editor of the Daily Sun around May 18th 2020. Sumter County population is around 132K +.

The Actual Villages count is around 123K + including Marion and Lake counties. For statistical purpose they refer to The Villages as Sumter county. The 132K + is where they talk about growth in our area.

If you break it all out, you have 865,117 people in Lake, Marion and Sumter counties. As of May 19, 2020 there were 729 total confirmed covid cases in the tri county area. That represents 0.0008426% of the population OR 99.99916% without covid.
At that same time there were 252 confirmed cases of covid of which 118 were in prison in Sumter county. So for Sumter county of 132,420 residents the covid cases outside of prison were 0.0010119 % and 99.99899% without covid .

I know one can say that not all were tested. , That is correct but that is our government hard at work as it is!

If your fears are high it is best for all concerned to stay indoors until such time you are comfortable resuming life amongst the population.

[patfla06]

I thought the online website said 3 new cases, 1 of which is an employee at Sumter Place.

[billethkid]

Those concerned and or vulnerable will have to adjust to the fact(s) that there will be a rise in new infections as time goes on.

We have learned a return to lock down is unlikely as it penalizes the larger segment of the population.

Like so many other threats to our lives, we are adjusting to a level of infection that may be another norm.....at least until a vaccine is available.

Then remember that just like the flu vaccine....the projection is around 50% for those who will actually get the vaccine.
So a new norm is in the offing.

[jaj523]

The death rate can also be affected the other way as well. For example, deaths from pneumonia unrelated to COVID, have sometimes been classified as COVID deaths. This was especially true in the earlier days of the pandemic. A death from cancer can be classified as from COVID when the patient had both conditions, and the death was actually the result of cancer.

[YouNeverKnow]

I am surprised that nothing is mentioned about this mini spike, almost like it not really a news event, but after sitting at 70 cases steady for the past month or so a 10% jump in 3 days is concerning. I fully understand that more testing will yield more cases but this seems strange. I just wish some contact tracing information showing locations of these cases could be accessible to maybe indicate where these people have been recently.

It's certainly not time to panic but it's not comforting just as we expand the reopening of restaurants, etc and a large percentage of people don't bother to protect their fellow residents by wearing a mask even in busy stores. For those of us who are at higher risk for whatever reason, people who don't bother to wear masks while in stores or churches to protect others in case of a cough or sneeze will compel us to continue staying home.
This is how a county in Northern Michigan is using Contact Tracing to let people know exactly where people that have tested positive have been and even the times they were at these places so you know if you might have been exposed.
Why can’t The Villages do something like this? They are not naming the people so no privacy rights have been violated. Just giving people a heads up!

[jet10s]

I am surprised that nothing is mentioned about this mini spike, almost like it not really a news event, but after sitting at 70 cases steady for the past month or so a 10% jump in 3 days is concerning. I fully understand that more testing will yield more cases but this seems strange. I just wish some contact tracing information showing locations of these cases could be accessible to maybe indicate where these people have been recently.

It's certainly not time to panic but it's not comforting just as we expand the reopening of restaurants, etc and a large percentage of people don't bother to protect their fellow residents by wearing a mask even in busy stores. For those of us who are at higher risk for whatever reason, people who don't bother to wear masks while in stores or churches to protect others in case of a cough or sneeze will compel us to continue staying home.
TRY TO ONLY LOOK AT HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS --positive tests are not a spike

[OrangeBlossomBaby]

The numbers are misleading, per a discussion I had with the editor of the Daily Sun around May 18th 2020. Sumter County population is around 132K +.

The Actual Villages count is around 123K + including Marion and Lake counties. For statistical purpose they refer to The Villages as Sumter county. The 132K + is where they talk about growth in our area.

If you break it all out, you have 865,117 people in Lake, Marion and Sumter counties. As of May 19, 2020 there were 729 total confirmed covid cases in the tri county area. That represents 0.0008426% of the population OR 99.99916% without covid.
At that same time there were 252 confirmed cases of covid of which 118 were in prison in Sumter county. So for Sumter county of 132,420 residents the covid cases outside of prison were 0.0010119 % and 99.99899% without covid .

I know one can say that not all were tested. , That is correct but that is our government hard at work as it is!

If your fears are high it is best for all concerned to stay indoors until such time you are comfortable resuming life amongst the population.

The numbers are even more confusing than that. Do those numbers represent the number of people living full-time in the area? Are snowbirds counted? If they're counted, well they're not HERE right now, so none of them *should* count in any kind of calculation of "percentage of people living here who have been diagnosed recently". Since they're not living here- currently.

But they were living here in March. And possibly in April. But I'm guessing with very few exceptions, they've all gone back north by now.

The population of the Villages is totally different in December, compared to July.

[Kim Fowler]

Does it actually say new cases in TV? Lots of people coming in from other areas to T V in the last couple weeks. But say increase in Sumter, also includes prison numbers. I didn’t think it is broken down to just TV

Each day, the Florida Department of Public Health’s COVID 19 site posts the number of cases in each county, and in its “state report” (near the bottom left of the Department’s COVID home page), the Department lists cases both by city/community and county. I agree that looking just at the Sumter County cases is misleading because they include over 100 inmates in Bushnell.
As the original poster said, we’ve had a recent spike in TV. The Department’s “state report“ showed our TV cases had been stuck for a month at 62 in TV in Sumter and 7 in TV in Lake (Pine Ridge etc.). In the past few days, we’ve jumped up to 68 in TV in Sumter and 9 in TV in Lake. We still have a very low percentage of cases in a TV population of over 120,000, but the TV spike worries me. Statewide cases are spiking too.
Google “Fl coronavirus”:and you can find the FL Department of Public Health’s COVID 19 site. Lots of good info there, including testing numbers. This FL site was praised at one of the White House briefings.

[graciegirl]

The death rate can also be affected the other way as well. For example, deaths from pneumonia unrelated to COVID, have sometimes been classified as COVID deaths. This was especially true in the earlier days of the pandemic. A death from cancer can be classified as from COVID when the patient had both conditions, and the death was actually the result of cancer.

Most people who die from Covid-19 do die of the tremendous impact on their lungs (pneumonia) and the resulting lack of oxygen to organs of the body. This new nasty bug really is extremely dangerous to older people who take at least one pill a day.

The virus inflames the lung tissue and the resulting infection is pneumonia. Experts are saying that the usual procedures to support and maintain life for those infected with Covid-19( that is not like the seasonal flu) are often not helpful to people over 65. At least one out of ten who are over 80 die after being infected with Covid-19.

Still out there. Still not good for us amazingly wonderful and still funny and loveable and smart and busy and interesting and feisty and opinionated and well read, older people who have slews of friends and family who cherish them. Except for the snarly ones. (But their dogs still love them)

[Bobcuse]

Each day, the Florida Department of Public Health’s COVID 19 site posts the number of cases in each county, and in its “state report” (near the bottom left of the Department’s COVID home page), the Department lists cases both by city/community and county. I agree that looking just at the Sumter County cases is misleading because they include over 100 inmates in Bushnell.
As the original poster said, we’ve had a recent spike in TV. The Department’s “state report“ showed our TV cases had been stuck for a month at 62 in TV in Sumter and 7 in TV in Lake (Pine Ridge etc.). In the past few days, we’ve jumped up to 68 in TV in Sumter and 9 in TV in Lake. We still have a very low percentage of cases in a TV population of over 120,000, but the TV spike worries me. Statewide cases are spiking too.
Google “Fl coronavirus”:and you can find the FL Department of Public Health’s COVID 19 site. Lots of good info there, including testing numbers. This FL site was praised at one of the White House briefings.
Glad to see that I'm not the only one who reads the facts in detail on the FL Dept of Health website which provides elaborate detail regarding positive cases, testing stats, by county, by city etc.( I didn't make these numbers up as Kim points out). I agree you can read anything you want into numbers and some are more significant or meaningful than others but the facts are we now have 8 positives in the Villages in the past week or so after a month of no changes. It may be coincidental with the reopening and I certainly hope so because I want to resume some normal activities also. I also thank those who suggested I should stay home if I am worried. I never thought of that!

[yabbadu]

The numbers are even more confusing than that. Do those numbers represent the number of people living full-time in the area? Are snowbirds counted? If they're counted, well they're not HERE right now, so none of them *should* count in any kind of calculation of "percentage of people living here who have been diagnosed recently". Since they're not living here- currently.

But they were living here in March. And possibly in April. But I'm guessing with very few exceptions, they've all gone back north by now.

The population of the Villages is totally different in December, compared to July.


That is taken into consideration and the numbers will only change in fractions. It takes many people to move the needle.

[coffeebean]

Those concerned and or vulnerable will have to adjust to the fact(s) that there will be a rise in new infections as time goes on.

We have learned a return to lock down is unlikely as it penalizes the larger segment of the population.

Like so many other threats to our lives, we are adjusting to a level of infection that may be another norm.....at least until a vaccine is available.

Then remember that just like the flu vaccine....the projection is around 50% for those who will actually get the vaccine.
So a new norm is in the offing.

Have you actually seen that projection in print? I have never had the flu vaccine and I have never had a flu, I think. Unless a bad cold with a 102 fever for two days was the flu, then I've had a flu once.

Anyway, I do plan to get the Covid vaccine because this disease seems to be so much worse than flu if you are one of the unlucky ones to be symptomatic. I don't want to take the chance of having to deal with this nasty illness and with the higher incidence of death, I really don't want to take that chance. I hope more than 50% decide to get this vaccine.

[Yucatan2]

If you donate blood at the Big Red Bus, they are now testing for antibodies to COVID. Do those results end up in the “positive” category? Could that add to the “spike” in cases?