ProfessorDave
07-26-2020, 11:07 AM
THE DEBATE: WE'RE ONLY BAD BECAUSE WE TEST MORE - IS AN INTERESTING - BUT - FAULTY ON ALL SIDES.
MY OPINION: THE ONLY THING THAT REALLY COUNTS IS HOW MANY DEATHS / MILLION BY COUNTRY. I CALCULATED IT - BASED ON THE PAST 7 DAYS DATA - FOR EVERY COUNTRY - AND PROJECTED IT BASED ON THEIR POPULATION TOTAL. ITS ALL IN THE ATTACHED FILE.
HERE'S THE GOOD NEWS: WE'RE #14 AS A COUNTRY ON A PER MILLION BASIS.
HERE'S THE BAD NEWS: WE #2 IN PROJECTED ANNUAL DEATHS (ONLY BRAZIL BEATS US); AND WE'RE VERY BAD VERSUS OTHER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
A = AVG DEATHS PER DAY - PAST WEEK
B = # DEATHS - PAST WEEK
C = DEATHS PER MILLION PEOPLE - ANNUALLY
D = TOTAL COUNTRY POPULATION - MILLIONS
E = PROJECTED NUMBER DEATHS - NEXT 12 MONTHS - AT PAST WEEK RATE
DATA THROUGH JULY 25
SOURCE: OURWORLDINDATA.ORG
NOTE: ON PAST WEEK RATE - US WILL HAVE 326,759 DEATHS IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS - BASED ON THE PAST 7 DAY RATE. SCARY?
MORE COMPREHENSIVE TABLE ATTACHED.
A B C D E
1 Peru 22 152.6 7,936 32 253,951
2 Panama 7 47.3 2,459 4 9,834
3 Kyrgyzstan 6 42 2,184 6 13,103
4 Bolivia 5 36.8 1,911 12 22,933
5 Brazil 5 36.1 1,878 219 411,289
6 Chile 5 35.2 1,831 19 34,785
7 Mexico 5 34.8 1,809 126 227,970
8 Colombia 5 34.5 1,792 50 89,575
9 South Africa 4 28.8 1,497 58 86,806
10 Armenia 4 25 1,299 3 3,896
11 Macedonia 3 22.1 1,148 9 10,333
12 Honduras 3 20.9 1,087 10 10,868
13 Kosovo 3 20.2 1,049 2 2,099
14 United States 3 19.2 996 328 326,759
15 Montenegro 3 19.1 994 1 3
MY OPINION: THE ONLY THING THAT REALLY COUNTS IS HOW MANY DEATHS / MILLION BY COUNTRY. I CALCULATED IT - BASED ON THE PAST 7 DAYS DATA - FOR EVERY COUNTRY - AND PROJECTED IT BASED ON THEIR POPULATION TOTAL. ITS ALL IN THE ATTACHED FILE.
HERE'S THE GOOD NEWS: WE'RE #14 AS A COUNTRY ON A PER MILLION BASIS.
HERE'S THE BAD NEWS: WE #2 IN PROJECTED ANNUAL DEATHS (ONLY BRAZIL BEATS US); AND WE'RE VERY BAD VERSUS OTHER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
A = AVG DEATHS PER DAY - PAST WEEK
B = # DEATHS - PAST WEEK
C = DEATHS PER MILLION PEOPLE - ANNUALLY
D = TOTAL COUNTRY POPULATION - MILLIONS
E = PROJECTED NUMBER DEATHS - NEXT 12 MONTHS - AT PAST WEEK RATE
DATA THROUGH JULY 25
SOURCE: OURWORLDINDATA.ORG
NOTE: ON PAST WEEK RATE - US WILL HAVE 326,759 DEATHS IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS - BASED ON THE PAST 7 DAY RATE. SCARY?
MORE COMPREHENSIVE TABLE ATTACHED.
A B C D E
1 Peru 22 152.6 7,936 32 253,951
2 Panama 7 47.3 2,459 4 9,834
3 Kyrgyzstan 6 42 2,184 6 13,103
4 Bolivia 5 36.8 1,911 12 22,933
5 Brazil 5 36.1 1,878 219 411,289
6 Chile 5 35.2 1,831 19 34,785
7 Mexico 5 34.8 1,809 126 227,970
8 Colombia 5 34.5 1,792 50 89,575
9 South Africa 4 28.8 1,497 58 86,806
10 Armenia 4 25 1,299 3 3,896
11 Macedonia 3 22.1 1,148 9 10,333
12 Honduras 3 20.9 1,087 10 10,868
13 Kosovo 3 20.2 1,049 2 2,099
14 United States 3 19.2 996 328 326,759
15 Montenegro 3 19.1 994 1 3