Soon to be Hermine

[Taurus510]

Anyone making preps for this one? Just watched Mike’s Weather Page’s live feed talking about this, and a swatch through this part of the state is now showing the possibility of up to 30 inches of rain. We have a boat on the St. John’s River just south of Jacksonville that we’ll be visiting to strip canvas and double up lines and fenders, and of course at home we’ll move all outdoor things inside. Knowing that this can all change, (although the track is now pretty highly confident), in the worst case scenario, can The Villages handle that amount of water?

[thelegges]

Anyone making preps for this one? Just watched Mike’s Weather Page’s live feed talking about this, and a swatch through this part of the state is now showing the possibility of up to 30 inches of rain. We have a boat on the St. John’s River just south of Jacksonville that we’ll be visiting to strip canvas and double up lines and fenders, and of course at home we’ll move all outdoor things inside. Knowing that this can all change, (although the track is now pretty highly confident), in the worst case scenario, can The Villages handle that amount of water?

Nope, no worries for us, if it spins off tornadoes, May be a problem. But no basement to go to here.
Not the first time a hurricane turned to TS has tracked through TV. We never lost power in Duval, some tunnels were flooded. Biggest complaint TV ran sprinklers day and night on the course’s to lower ponds, So No Golf For You:oops:

[oldtimes]

Anyone making preps for this one? Just watched Mike’s Weather Page’s live feed talking about this, and a swatch through this part of the state is now showing the possibility of up to 30 inches of rain. We have a boat on the St. John’s River just south of Jacksonville that we’ll be visiting to strip canvas and double up lines and fenders, and of course at home we’ll move all outdoor things inside. Knowing that this can all change, (although the track is now pretty highly confident), in the worst case scenario, can The Villages handle that amount of water?

Hurricane Irma was a slow moving storm that dumped a considerable amount of rain and there was minor flooding. The Villages was designed to handle it.

[kkingston57]

Hurricane Irma was a slow moving storm that dumped a considerable amount of rain and there was minor flooding. The Villages was designed to handle it.

Biggest problems in TV are the damages that can be caused by old large live oak trees when, and if, they fall. Drainage is good.

[oldtimes]

Biggest problems in TV are the damages that can be caused by old large live oak trees when, and if, they fall. Drainage is good.

Yes, that did happen when Irma struck. Another problem is the roofs that were damaged. I think some people will find out how good their free roofs actually are. I know of some who are already having problems.

[Keefelane66]

I’m sure the Weather Club will figure it out.

[njbchbum]

Hurricane Irma was a slow moving storm that dumped a considerable amount of rain and there was minor flooding. The Villages was designed to handle it.

Except for those living on the historic side without power for days; and for which police had to establish a GC crossing of 27/441 until the water subsided from next to the GC bridge! Not to mention the one homeowner who found part of her roof in the street and a couple of my neighbors who found part of their storage room roofs rolled back like a can opener had removed it!

[Stu from NYC]

Off to buy a truckload of TP so we can sell it and start to live in the style we would like to become accustomed to.

Or perhaps water.

[Keefelane66]

The following courses will be closed as of Sunday:

• Sandhill Executive Golf Course

• Sarasota Executive Golf Course

• Pelican Executive Golf Course

• Palmetto Executive Golf Course

• Okeechobee Executive Golf Course

The courses are being closed for the movement of water ahead of a possible tropical event next week. The movement of water provides additional room in retention ponds for potentially heavy rainfall.

[Taltarzac725]

Tornadoes are the big worry in this part of Florida.

[EdFNJ]

Except for those living on the historic side without power for days; That was a "Welcome to The Villages" for us. We had just moved in the previous January. Wasn't it like almost 2 weeks they were without electric? That was awful. Just about every business was closed and the markets lost all their food due to no refrigeration. Down here just south of LSL I think we had like a 5 minute blink of electricity but the wind was LOUD and the walls creaked.

[N44125]

Now to be named ‘Ian’.

[NotGolfer]

Anyone making preps for this one? Just watched Mike’s Weather Page’s live feed talking about this, and a swatch through this part of the state is now showing the possibility of up to 30 inches of rain. We have a boat on the St. John’s River just south of Jacksonville that we’ll be visiting to strip canvas and double up lines and fenders, and of course at home we’ll move all outdoor things inside. Knowing that this can all change, (although the track is now pretty highly confident), in the worst case scenario, can The Villages handle that amount of water?

You'll get many responses! We've lived here 13 yrs and Irma who blew right over us 5 yrs ago---for some was significant. We live between 466 and 466a---power never went out. Only thing happened to us was a small piece of siding came off. People who lived in the historic side were without power for, I don't remember how long but think it was at least a week. Anywhere the power lines are above ground will be affected. The Villages has done a good job of controlling the water---though some of the golf-courses did flood a bit and some streets but think it was temporary. Have your storm kit ready, just in case but mostly here we get rain and wind.

[Nucky]

Except for those living on the historic side without power for days; and for which police had to establish a GC crossing of 27/441 until the water subsided from next to the GC bridge! Not to mention the one homeowner who found part of her roof in the street and a couple of my neighbors who found part of their storage room roofs rolled back like a can opener had removed it!

The two streets that took the worst wind damage were Magnolia and Kiley Ct. Imagine the two wide carport that could fit a total of 4 cars just blown off and over the house and leaning up against the neighbors' house with very little damage to the innocent house.

The two single-wide manufactured homes near the Archery Range across from the Dog Park were under water and the power was out for a total of 8 days.

We bailed out and went to a Villages Friends Mom's house in Tifton GA. They treated us like gold and we will always be grateful for their friendship. This time around we are going to hang in there and just tough it out. If something really bad happens it's been really nice knowing most of you. :jester:

It has been our experience that the Meteorologist on Wesh 2 named Tony is a great guy but really works you up with his reporting. As of today, he seems pretty restrained. He'll ramp up the anxiety level as the storm gets closer. :pray:

Good Luck to everybody.

[Nucky]

Forgot to mention that at the end of Aloha where Mr. Schwartz's house it was also flooded. There were many choices to get around the high water. I saw two trucks go over and across the lawn of Mr. Schwartz's old home. Can't make this stuff up. I never witnessed anything like that before or since. They must have needed the bathroom pretty badly. Sad.

[pklein9747]

Super crowded already at the Walmart Neighborhood Store on Heald Way tonight at 7 pm. Water flying off the shelves as quick as they could put it out. Lots of lines at the gas pumps too.

[Taltarzac725]

National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/)


A quick link.

[DARFAP]

Is now called Ian. Looks like there was a Gaston and Hermine further east in the Atlantic that are no threat.

[Romad]

Probably too early to say it, but don’t drive a golf cart through a flooded tunnel unless you are ready to walk home. Someone will do it anyway though.

[Miss B GA]

I went through Irma in 2017. The biggest issue will/may be power outages. So plan accordingly. Charge up those electronics early. Be mindful of the food in the freezer and fridge. Depending on number of hours out, you may have to toss some items.

[Dusty_Star]

Hurricane Irma was a slow moving storm that dumped a considerable amount of rain and there was minor flooding. The Villages was designed to handle it.

Do you remember how much rain Irma dumped? Was it in the 30 inch range?
Thanks!

[Chee-Chee]

We moved here from Fort Myers. The grocery stores and gas stations had generators. Many no gas but they had power. Went through Charlie, WilmaIn. I’m ready, got my gas , food, supplies yesterday.

[Just jimmy]

Do you remember how much rain Irma dumped? Was it in the 30 inch range?
Thanks!. Just looked it up. Was 16 inches.

[PugMom]

Off to buy a truckload of TP so we can sell it and start to live in the style we would like to become accustomed to.

Or perhaps water.

you crack me up! i have 6 giant pkgs, with xtra large rolls, LOL. also a months supply of paper towels, coffee, h2o, dog food, & several medication. we know McD's never closes, so we are all set! :beer3:

[PugMom]

Probably too early to say it, but don’t drive a golf cart through a flooded tunnel unless you are ready to walk home. Someone will do it anyway though.

:boom:

[PugMom]

The two streets that took the worst wind damage were Magnolia and Kiley Ct. Imagine the two wide carport that could fit a total of 4 cars just blown off and over the house and leaning up against the neighbors' house with very little damage to the innocent house.

The two single-wide manufactured homes near the Archery Range across from the Dog Park were under water and the power was out for a total of 8 days.

We bailed out and went to a Villages Friends Mom's house in Tifton GA. They treated us like gold and we will always be grateful for their friendship. This time around we are going to hang in there and just tough it out. If something really bad happens it's been really nice knowing most of you. :jester:

It has been our experience that the Meteorologist on Wesh 2 named Tony is a great guy but really works you up with his reporting. As of today, he seems pretty restrained. He'll ramp up the anxiety level as the storm gets closer. :pray:

Good Luck to everybody.

Thank You! and wishing YOU all the best :)

[Lottoguy]

Experts now saying this looks just like the track Charley took in 2004. https://www.spikowski.com/documents-GreaterPineIsland/HurricaneCharleyTrack.pdf

[kkingston57]

This storm(8 am Saturday) is now a slow mover and expected to be hear late Wednesday/early Thursday. We came from S. Florida and can not believe differeences in home construction. At TV there are very few, if any, homes with impact windows, and permanent shutters. Roofs are much more prone to sustaining wind damage. Stick built/frame homes with vinyl siding as opposed to concrete block. Went to Home Depot last night. No big runs on plywood. Anybody ever try to install plywood on a vinyl sided home? This could cause more damage than a house without plywood protection. Lastly there are a ton of mobile/manufactured homes in Central Florida. If this storm hits with winds over 115 MPH, we are in a heap of trouble. At least we do have underground power and low flood risk.

[Cherstubbs]

Anyone making preps for this one? Just watched Mike’s Weather Page’s live feed talking about this, and a swatch through this part of the state is now showing the possibility of up to 30 inches of rain. We have a boat on the St. John’s River just south of Jacksonville that we’ll be visiting to strip canvas and double up lines and fenders, and of course at home we’ll move all outdoor things inside. Knowing that this can all change, (although the track is now pretty highly confident), in the worst case scenario, can The Villages handle that amount of water?
The weather in central Florida can be very daunting. The Villages can get slammed from any direction by high winds and rain. During Irma, I lost power for 5-6 days, lost all refrigerated food, birdcage screen peeled back. A bedroom window blew in, garage door shaken off tracks. Lost some siding … I had gone to a friend’s brick/stucco home to seek shelter. Lots of flooding throughout area … Spanish Springs Town Square all around town square was flooded … think we had around 75 mph sustained winds throughout the night … just don’t be surprised! You may be ok but streets may not be drivable, your neighbors/friends may need help, stores may be closed … I would recommend at least stocking up on bottled water and some non2-perishable goods. Just my thoughts … will keep safe thoughts for everyone!

[vintageogauge]

We were living in Fenney when Irma came through, no flooding, no power lost, the next day we went up 301 and the dollar store was open with lots of food in the freezers and water too. The day before Irma we went to Wynn Dixie on 466a and they had piles of water bottles. We were also here for the tornado in 2007 it came right down our street and that was a whole other story

[CountryFox]

I was here during Irma and I have to say I was very impressed with how The Villages handles and moves water in a effort to keep it from flooding homes. They will flood the golf courses if needed. Which is a drag for golfing, but I'd rather miss some tee times then have to deal with a flooded home.
Be sure to take everything inside that is not anchored down including, garden hose, name sign and the little arm it hangs from as they can become projectiles in the storm.
Be safe out there.

[mbene]

Our son says if the weatherman still has his jacket on, no worries. Jacket off, be concerned. Sleeves rolled up, you got problems!

[Dusty_Star]

Looks like the 11 o'clock update moved the eye considerably north.

[dewilson58]

Our son says if the weatherman still has his jacket on, no worries. Jacket off, be concerned. Sleeves rolled up, you got problems!

:pepper2:

Weather"men" are entertaining.
There are some to avoid because it's their time to shine and they put on the top-hat.

[Dusty_Star]

. Just looked it up. Was 16 inches.
Thanks!
:BigApplause:

[Stu from NYC]

Our son says if the weatherman still has his jacket on, no worries. Jacket off, be concerned. Sleeves rolled up, you got problems!

I was told it depends upon how much the weather lady was wearing. The less she wears the more we worry.

Asking for a friend

[njbchbum]

Folks - don't put all of your faith in those underground power lines - your power comes from a generating source with above ground equipment and wires that feed the power to you!

And if you do lose power - don't wait for any food to go bad.....grab the neighbors and the gas grills and have a good old fashioned cook-out on the block - and invite the neighbors from the next block over, the fire dept, community watch, etc if there's too much to eat!

[Taltarzac725]

I was told it depends upon how much the weather lady was wearing. The less she wears the more we worry.

Asking for a friend

Now that is funny. I would not mind seeing more of Sandra Shaw. She covers Miami. Her "Shaw off the Wall" episodes are funny and creative.

[mlmarr]

Anyone making preps for this one? Just watched Mike’s Weather Page’s live feed talking about this, and a swatch through this part of the state is now showing the possibility of up to 30 inches of rain. We have a boat on the St. John’s River just south of Jacksonville that we’ll be visiting to strip canvas and double up lines and fenders, and of course at home we’ll move all outdoor things inside. Knowing that this can all change, (although the track is now pretty highly confident), in the worst case scenario, can The Villages handle that amount of water?

too soon to get really crazy .. been through many this looks like another walk in the park .. don't forget weather patterns can change in a heartbeat.

[Gpsma]

too soon to get really crazy .. been through many this looks like another walk in the park .. don't forget weather patterns can change in a heartbeat.

Went out this morning...the Villages is in panic mode...gas stations are packed and people lined up for propane.

Lol...just like in the North .....snow storm coming...run out for bread, milk and eggs

[coffeebean]

Super crowded already at the Walmart Neighborhood Store on Heald Way tonight at 7 pm. Water flying off the shelves as quick as they could put it out. Lots of lines at the gas pumps too.
I'll never understand why the rush on bottled water. The water from your faucet is perfectly fine right now. Fill some pots, pitchers and what not.

I fill the tub with water for flushing toilets. I'll never forget that advice from Bryan Norcross in south Florida before hurricane Andrew. If you sanitize your tub, you can also drink that water if necessary.

[jrzeis@tampabay.rr.com]

You do realize that when people evacuate this is where they come!

[coffeebean]

Now that is funny. I would not mind seeing more of Sandra Shaw. She covers Miami. Her "Shaw off the Wall" episodes are funny and creative.

Melissa Peterman as Stormy Weather (weather girl) on the Reba show. This is too funny.......

https://youtu.be/Ol1COANjQB8

[Stu from NYC]

Went out this morning...the Villages is in panic mode...gas stations are packed and people lined up for propane.

Lol...just like in the North .....snow storm coming...run out for bread, milk and eggs

Went to Sams this morning, gas lines just slightly longer than normal and same for cashier lines. Lots of people buying TP, just do not understand why they need so much just before hurricane

[coffeebean]

You do realize that when people evacuate this is where they come!

Yup. This is why we do not live near the coast. But, having said that, a tornado can do a lot of damage and The Villages did have one come through in 2007.

[prbradley]

Why did it change from Hermine to Ian?

[Taurus510]

Why did it change from Hermine to Ian?

Another storm formed just before this one did, taking the name Hermine.

[ohioshooter]

Why did it change from Hermine to Ian?

It didn’t, new storm, Hermine just went a different direction.

[Taurus510]

[QUOTE=ohioshooter;2139628]It didn’t, new storm, Hermine just went a different direction.[/QUOTE

[daddymac1127]

Off to buy a truckload of TP so we can sell it and start to live in the style we would like to become accustomed to.

Or perhaps water.

Went to Sam's Club today. They had a ton of TP but no water.

[CatskillBill]

Do you remember how much rain Irma dumped? Was it in the 30 inch range?
Thanks!

Luckily for us the eye blew apart at Tampa Bay and we had winds around 50 mph.
Mangrove Sweetwater and Turtle Mound had flooded cart paths and greens.

[Taltarzac725]

Luckily for us the eye blew apart at Tampa Bay and we had winds around 50 mph.
Mangrove Sweetwater and Turtle Mound had flooded cart paths and greens.

A lot of the golf cart tunnels were under water like those under CR101 near Southern Trace and the one near the Oxford Walmart. This was during and after Irma.

Ian information-- TROPICAL STORM IAN (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/175322.shtml?rainqpf)

[richardc1947]

I believe the threat is from Ian, not Hermines.

[NECHFalcon68]

Luckily for us the eye blew apart at Tampa Bay and we had winds around 50 mph.
Mangrove Sweetwater and Turtle Mound had flooded cart paths and greens.

We measured about 9 inches total over 2 days.
if I remember correctly, most courses were closed for a few days after the storm. They had sprinklers on for 2-3 days before it hit and during the storm. Kept the ponds at a safe level.

[tvbound]

We were here during Irma and while after the fact it may have seemed to have been over-hyped prior to its arrival, I think complacency and over-confidence - can be dangerous. Particularly given that regardless of the eventual track of Ian, spinning off tornadoes (especially at night) can become pretty serious - pretty quickly. I just hope that wherever ends up being the target, the people and property - are not devastated.

[Vermilion Villager]

I assume the OP was referring to Ian and not Hermine. Hermine fizzled out off the coast of Africa. Ian is now forecast to track further west towards the panhandle instead of coming ashore near Tampa which would've put us right in its path. Appears all that clean Villages life we lead spared us.....this time. :1rotfl::1rotfl:

[gobuck827]

I assume the OP was referring to Ian and not Hermine. Hermine fizzled out off the coast of Africa. Ian is now forecast to track further west towards the panhandle instead of coming ashore near Tampa which would've put us right in its path. Appears all that clean Villages life we lead spared us.....this time. :1rotfl::1rotfl:

TD 9 was originally projected to develop into a named storm before TD 10 did (if it ever did) which would have resulted in it receiving the hame Hermine. TD 10 surprised the experts and strengthened quicker and so claimed the name.

[Babubhat]

VN reporting many gas stations have run out

[fcgiii]

the Walmart in Colony is open until 11 PM. We went there last night around 9 PM and there were no big food lines and no gas lines either. People were carrying out packs of bottled water. No shortages that we could see.