Maybe this is why the Dems have gone dirty...

[Guest]

"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

This is the first time Romney has reached the 50% level of support and is his largest lead ever over the president. It comes a week after a disappointing jobs report that raised new questions about the state of the economy. "

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™ (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll)

[Guest]

"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

This is the first time Romney has reached the 50% level of support and is his largest lead ever over the president. It comes a week after a disappointing jobs report that raised new questions about the state of the economy. "

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™ (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll)

This is probably because of President Barack Obama's statement on same sex marriage. RealClearPolitics - Latest Polls (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/)

His numbers went way down a few days ago.

[Guest]

This thread was started by the same poster who said to never believe in polls this early in the game.

[Guest]

Nationwide polls on presidential elections are meaningless, thanks to the Electoral College. State-by-state polls would give a more meaningful picture. Does anyone have results from such a poll (if, indeed, one has been done)?

[Guest]

Karl Rove Electoral Map: Obama Looking Pretty - Business Insider (http://www.businessinsider.com/karl-rove-electoral-map-obama-looking-pretty-2012-5)


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

[Guest]

This thread was started by the same poster who said to never believe in polls this early in the game.

Still do not at this time but suggesting that perhaps the dirty tricks so soon by the Democratic party may be inspired by this and those states polls that Obama was leading are gettiing closer and closer.

[Guest]

It's good that you don't, because AP has Obama up by 8, and Reuters has him up by 7.

Meanwhile, InTrade, which was 100% accurate in '08, has Obama's chance of being reelected as 59.4% and Willard's chances of being elected at 36.3%.

[Guest]

Did Mitt Romney win any red states in the primary elections, with the exception of WV?

[Guest]

Good for you !

I am so happy for both of you

See you in October after the October surprises :)

[Guest]

who will win?The people who provide for them self or the ones that want handouts / I think people are sick of the freeloaders .And are leader was won of them .Being from Chicago I know he as dishonest as most of the Democratic party from cook county.Yet he won over people who turn a blind eye or just do not care as long as their party gets in.

[Guest]

What October surprise might that be?

[Guest]

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_pr esidential_election,_2012)

[Guest]

What October surprise might that be?

It is a term used in politics since the 70's and I hate to quote Wiki but also hate to type things that I thought everyone new...but here goes..

"In American political jargon, an October surprise is a news event with the potential to influence the outcome of an election, particularly one for the U.S. presidency. The reference to the month of October is because the Tuesday after the first Monday in November is the date for national elections (as well as many state and local elections), and therefore events that take place in late October have greater potential to influence the decisions of prospective voters.

The term came into use shortly after the 1972 presidential election between Republican incumbent Richard Nixon and Democrat George McGovern, when the United States was in the fourth year of negotiations to end the very long and domestically divisive Vietnam War. Twelve days before the election day of November 7, on October 26, 1972, the United States' chief negotiator, the presidential National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger, appeared at a press conference held at the White House and announced, "We believe that peace is at hand".[1] Nixon, despite having vowed to end the unpopular war during his presidential election campaign four years earlier, had failed to either cease hostilities or gradually bring about an end to the war. Nixon was nevertheless already widely considered to be assured of an easy reelection victory against McGovern, but Kissinger's "peace is at hand" declaration may have increased Nixon's already high standing with the electorate. In the event, Nixon outpolled McGovern in every state except Massachusetts and achieved a 20 point lead in the nationwide popular vote. The fighting ended in 1973, but soldiers remained in Vietnam until 1975.

Since that election, the term "October surprise" has been used preemptively during campaign season by partisans of one side to discredit late-campaign news by the other side."

October surprise - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_surprise)

It is a term used in both parties and both will try and "save" something for that period that might swing an election.