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-   -   An honest conversation about mass murder events (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/current-events-news-541/honest-conversation-about-mass-murder-events-334016/)

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120495)
Thanks for starting a thread that is serious (as opposed to the many threads about dog do-so on somebodies yard, which is to me just fertilizer for me) - it is a serious topic and deserves attention because MANY people are interested and they have a viewpoint and it would be educational to have those shared. Mass murder events are increasing in the US much more than in many other countries. In many other countries it would NOT be worth even a thread to discuss it because such crimes are practically non-existent. Children do NOT have to worry about being shot at school in most countries. I just had a thought about imagining hypothetical Beatle's song, "Imagine there are NO mass murder events - I wonder if you can - no children afraid to go to school or church - I know I'm NOT the only one!"

I have one minor question to ask......I thought that the definition of mass murder events was 5 or more. I have heard it that way on TV.......but, I dont't know for sure......3 or more may be correct.

I would also state that the reason 77% of all mass murder events involve pistols is SIMPLY that they are easier to conceal than a much longer AR-15 style rifle. Those that use an AR-15 style are likely to have put more PLANNING in the shooting and their POSSIBLE escape - as did the man escaping for a time dressed as a woman.
........A typical mass killing involving pistols is likely to be more UNPLANNED. Imagine a car full of gang bangers driving around high and drunk and they happen to see, on the street, a rival gang member out with his lady friend, brothers, and other friends. It becomes an impromptu execution! If 3 or 5 or more people end up dead, it becomes a statistic of a mass murder event with PISTOLS. I am sure that these hypothetical gang bangers would have PREFERED to use an AR-15 style rifle (maybe one with a bump-stop) to have greater efficiency from greater range. But, they used pistols because it was a target of opportunity.
........Also, killings of whole families in fits of RAGE would more likely involve PISTOLS.

Jim, welcome! This Buds for you! (Figuratively speaking)

The FBI definition is 3 people killed. EveryTown (Gun Control group) says 5. If I'm not mistaken the FBI used to have it as 5 before but changed it.

In my view a mass shooting is someone who is out for notoriety and plans to go someplace and shoot as many innocent people as they can before they die. That is a purely evil plot. We can't ignore that the vast majority of these are done by young men. I know I've said in jest that we should just allow women to own guns and the problem would be solved. That is likely a true statement, but unconstitutional, nonetheless.

I do hope you took the time to read the entire thread as there have been some excellent posts made and everyone is being civil to one another, for the most part.

I realize you're going to pointing to other countries and I do want to keep everything in context for a meaningful dialogue so kindly cite your sources of information.

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120512)
Someone that is very interested in competitive shooting, hunting, and is an instructor is justified in using a profile picture like that. It in NO way makes her opinions any less valuable than a person with a camera, cool white dog, fishing rod, or speed boat in their picture profile.

Thank you Jim. :angel:

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blackbird45 (Post 2120540)
There is a reality that has to be faced, 21 died in Uvalde, Texas school shooting and the police were reluctant to go in. If that man was wheeling a knife or a less lethal weapon, the odds the amount of death would have been less. Also, the police would not have thought twice of rushing in.

I have several opinions about Uvalde and we can dive into that if anyone likes. The first Police were on the scene within 3 minutes of the shooter. They did not engage for 77 minutes. During that time many more were either killed or bled out. I do believe the reason the Police did not act within the first moments was a complete lack of training for such a scenario. A symptom of that lack of training is the defunding of Police movement. When budgets get cut, training is the first to go. I have worked with a few Officers to improve their performance for the annual qualification and the lack of training disturbs me.

J Brisbois 07-30-2022 02:27 PM

The young child said "Well teacher if guns kill people, then my pencil just flunked this math test.

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120543)
Actually, Australia and some other countries have solved the problem of mass murder events. I keep saying that because it is not GENERALLY known to Americans. I rarely hear that mentioned on TV in connection with these events. If you look at a graph of which countries have gun crime problems the US is over double the next country.
Also, a graph of gun ownership by country shows that the US has 1.2 guns in civilian hands PER person. That is WAY more than Canada, Mexico, or any other 1st world country,

To give a very crude summary.......The US is the PROBLEM and Australia is the SOLUTION.

I will have to disagree with some of that. The list of "mass murder events" that you refer to is not a true list of mass murders. I've looked at the raw data, such as on the GunViolence website, an most of the events listed are not mass murders, they are mass injuries of which they deem to be 3 or more. If three people are shot with .22 pistols and have to go to the hospital, it makes the list. Do other countries count that? I have no idea.

To compare us to other countries the raw data has to be collected in the same way and analyzed in the same way to make it comparable.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trayderjoe (Post 2120228)
I agree that a consistent definition of mass murder events needs to be set, and further that gang violence, although abhorrent, should not be included. This has nothing to do with the value of lives lost, but rather evidence shows that non gang related mass shootings are more widely reported by the media and for longer periods of time.Consider too that people on this board seem to invest more of their time posting on these sensationalized murders versus the weekly killings in Chicago, or the loss of 380 people per day from excessive alcohol per the CDC (link), or “necking it down” to the 32 alcohol related drunk driving deaths per day reported by the NHTSA (link)

Another thing that needs to be done is to define mental illness. Does it include people with little to no socialization skills? Does it include pure evil? How are these types of people treated or managed? Are we self aware enough to recognize that “Nintendo babysitters” may be a contributory cause to lack of socialization skills?

Why is it that we continue to hear after a tragic event that these mass shooters left social media posts, or told people about intended violence, prior to the shootings? What can be done to facilitate reporting?

It has been suggested that we take away “the prize” of attention that may be driving copycat killers. Why is this so hard to do?

The focus needs to be on identifying the underlying causes in OUR society that trigger these shooters and then try to fix those causes. The waters get muddied by those who would compare countries since no country operates in a vacuum and such comparisons ignore the differences in cultures and their effects on societal pressures.

Lastly, we need to go back to enforcing the law and holding people accountable for their actions. You choose to do the crime, then be prepared to do the time.

As to identifying the underlying social cause of the problem......I have stated that IMO the recent Pandemic (which continues today in milder form) is a major factor in the recent increase in overall crime (like car thefts), gun crimes (like robberies and gun violence) and mass murder events. Studying the social psychology of the Pandemic would help to understand the INCREASE in mass murder events and might shed light on the need to eliminate the preferred rifles and magazines used by the most SUCCESSFUL (in a terrible way) mass murderers.

In general, Historically the US as a country began with gun violence. (I am not saying that it was not justified). If gun violence birthed the country, then the gun became a symbol of independence. July 4th is celebrated with fireworks, which is a symbol of cannon fire and the fireworks have the smell of black powder. That smell alone could be retained in the brains and psychology of impressionable youth. After the country was founded, steps were taken to irradicate the Native Americans through violent wars and relocations. Our country also condoned for a long time the violence that was done to Black Americans. After the Civil War, the wild west frontier began, in which, the gun had a prominent place. In movies and on TV the wild west has never died and the six-shooter and rifle had a part to play as big as any actor. And there was violence around labor strikes in the early 20th century. And also, racial violence.

Basically, the US is a country that has glamorized violence and particularly, gun violence. Today the US has a host of problems too numerous to mention, starting with over-population.... (OK I could not help mentioning my favorite). So, we are a historically violent country whose social cohesion is unraveling with 1.2 guns for every US civilian.....WHAT could possibly go wrong?

OrangeBlossomBaby 07-30-2022 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sarah_W (Post 2120550)
I do think it is worth noting that the 2nd Amendment mentions a "well regulated militia". I find most people don't know what that means. By definition a militia is formed from the body of the people. For example, on April 19, 1775 the British Regulars marched on Concord and Lexington for the purpose of seizing arms. They were met by the militia (Minutemen) and so sparked our American Revolution. These men were farmers, bakers, saddle maker, inn keepers, etc. Ordinary citizens, in other words. But remember, "well regulated militia". To be well regulated meant to be properly trained and outfitted. In other words, a man needed his firearm, ammunition, and proper training.

I can accept, from the spirit of the 2nd Amendment, that the people should be trained. How should that work, particularly? I think people should be taught specific safety principles, the operation of the firearm, proper holster draw, marksmanship, etc Given I do this for a living it may seem self serving and I can't help that. I do know that I have had students who gave me 2 hours per month for 7 months in a row, with the caveat that they had to go to the range at least once to practice the new things they learned, and at the end they could competently draw from their holster in under a second, engage the target, and move to another target.

That is 14 hours of training and at that point I've set them up to be respectable at a shooting competition. I'd like to see 8 hours of instruction, divided into 2 hour sessions and spread over a certain amount of time to demonstrate that someone is a safe shooter. Just my opinion.

Saying "they should be trained" is suggestive, not regulatory. Saying "they MUST be trained" is regulatory.

LEGAL ownership of firearms needs to come with a REQUIREMENT that the owner has training, and a license indicating that she has successfully passed that training, which comes with a background check, and is now qualified and authorized to possess that firearm.

Larchap49 07-30-2022 02:53 PM

Australia
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120543)
Actually, Australia and some other countries have solved the problem of mass murder events. I keep saying that because it is not GENERALLY known to Americans. I rarely hear that mentioned on TV in connection with these events. If you look at a graph of which countries have gun crime problems the US is over double the next country.
Also, a graph of gun ownership by country shows that the US has 1.2 guns in civilian hands PER person. That is WAY more than Canada, Mexico, or any other 1st world country,

To give a very crude summary.......The US is the PROBLEM and Australia is the SOLUTION.

Australians are almost as suppressed as Russians and Chinese, I doubt you would be happy with that much government interference, although you may find out sooner than you think

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby (Post 2120561)
Saying "they should be trained" is suggestive, not regulatory. Saying "they MUST be trained" is regulatory.

LEGAL ownership of firearms needs to come with a REQUIREMENT that the owner has training, and a license indicating that she has successfully passed that training, which comes with a background check, and is now qualified and authorized to possess that firearm.

That gets kinda tricky. The SCOTUS has made it clear that the government can’t require a license or permit to exercise our inalienable rights.

Much like a hunter safety course, the training could be mandatory as in a high school requirement. I would much rather every student be educated and competent with firearms instead of gender studies.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbrown132 (Post 2120346)
Everyone of these individuals is mentally ill. The mental health system in this country is broken and until it gets fixed this will continue. We have a grandson who for several years was in and out of hospitals. He would tell his mother he was hearing voices that were telling him to do bad things. She would him to the hospital, they would keep him for a day, release him and essentially the treatment was go home, take two aspirin and call me in the morning. This went on for two years. Finally, he woke up one night and got his mother and father up and said the voices in his head were terrible and they were telling him to go out and hurt people. They took him to the fourth hospital they had tried where he was admitted. After two days they were going to release him until his father said if they did he was going to call everyone news outlet he could find and tell them the hospital was going to release their son who was threatening to kill himself and other people. The hospital keep him and after a month of intense discussions with psychiatrists and drug treatment he was finally diagnosed with schizophrenia and has been doing well for several years now. The real problem is most hospitals are no longer staffed or capable of handling mentally ill patients. They may have a small psychiatric unit and that’s it. They need to start building more psychiatric hospitals that treat these types of individuals where they are taken seriously when they are seeking help. In this case our grandson had two loving parents who would not give up. In the case in Texas, and most others this was not the case and there were red flags all over the place that were ignored by the parents and police. Until they fix this system that is broken this unfortunately will continue.

I agree with your post, but it is very simple to see WHY this is the status quo.......TAXES namely HIGHER taxes would be needed to put a dent into crime and violence through mental health solutions and improvements. Currently, people are willing to accept social violence rather than pay higher TAXES. If the US were a better society with greater GNP and lesser GREED, then likely, improved health care WOULD decrease violence.

I believe that the least expensive, while still, somewhat effective solution is to study and augment some of the Australian SOLUTION. Nothing is perfect and some 2nd amendment purists and NRA believers would be extremely unhappy, but their children and grandchildren could, at least, go to school without fearing for their lives. A lot of what happens in the future depends on the public sentiment of RAGE if these mass murder events keep happening at this constantly increasing pace. If and when it happens to someone in YOUR family then it would become personal and NOT academic!

It also could (?) be also possible that with society stabilizing somewhat from the secondary psychological trauma from the Pandemic and that in about 5 years the number of mass-murder events returns to normal and hopefully an acceptable level.

Taltarzac725 07-30-2022 03:28 PM

If the government tried to take firearms away from US citizens they would probably hide many of them. And have many people assisting in this. Kind of like Prohibition and alcohol.

I have been wondering what they did about the Tommy Guns from that era? Thompson submachine gun - Wikipedia

National Firearms Act - Wikipedia

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Annie66 (Post 2120347)
I view this problem as I would view a fire. Fires exist because of 3 elements being present at any one time....... Oxygen ... fuel .... and heat. Remove any single element from the situation and no fire exists.

I think the same is true for mass shootings. The 3 elements being ...... a weapon (in particular assault guns with high-capacity magazines) ..... mentally disturbed people ...... and crowds of people (such as parties, malls, other gatherings, etc.).

Attempting to fix the mental health issues in our country just does not seem to be in the DNA of our legislators to fund an endeavor such as this. It's a more complex problem involving how to effectively identify mentally disturbed people and instituting fruitful treatment programs and successful evaluations. I never see that happening. If you do, please comment.

And of course, outlawing moderate to large gathering (however you want to define them) will never be a solution. All we have to do is look back at our Covid-19 experience.

The easiest solution, albeit an emotional one is removal of the weapons. I did not say all weapons. Just those that can kill many people in the shortest period of time. Prohibiting the sale of assault weapons, high-capacity magazines and things like bump stocks is the easiest way to break the triangle of mass shooting violence. Of course, this does not solve the problem completely, but as said in an earlier post when President Bush allowed the moratorium on assault weapons to pass, we saw a dramatic rise in these catastrophes. Identifying the definition of a mass shootings does not get to the root cause. It adds more blather to the discussion.

This leaves us with prohibiting the sale of assault weapons, etc. This has always ignited the emotional firestorm discussion about 2nd Amendment rights. In reality, our country did fine without assault weapons before their inception and would do fine without them in the future. The most emotional argument is if we prohibit assault weapons, then the legal ownership of pistols, hunting rifles, shotguns, etc. will also be taken away. I have to ask do those who spue this really believe what they are saying? Are they the majority or minority of gun owners? Their argument is purely affective language meant to stir the fires. Lastly, on this point ..... when the assault weapon ban was put into effect, was there a groundswell of activities to begin the prohibition of personal weapons for protection and hunting? I cannot recall any meaningful legislation that was proposed. I suspect neither can you.

Let's be reasonable. The only true actionable solution to this problem is to remove one of the elements. Take out the assault weapons from the triangle and we'll return to the days of the assault weapon ban and fewer and fewer truly heinous crimes on humanity out there.

That is EXACTLY what I have been trying to communicate. But, this post is so much more artful, educational, and articulate than anything that I have EVER said. Kudos. If only you would keep repeating it until it becomes the law of the land......I can put my keyboard away! On this subject anyway.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lpkruege1 (Post 2120349)
If you look at the destruction of the family, the removal of God from our lives, children being subscribed dugs at an unprecedented level, not teaching basic manners and respect, no discipline in schools or at home, what do people think will happen?
There is no such thing as an assault weapon. There are semi auto rifles and then there are military grade weapons used by the military that We as law abiding US citizens are not allowed to own. There are some allowances to own fully automatic weapons, but the list is too long to list here.

Growing up we carried our semi auto, pump, and single shot shotguns along to high school so we could stop on the way home to go hunting. We showed our teachers the shotguns, at least those that hunted. They showed us theirs. WE didn't have mass shootings.
If there was an issue at school with discipline, and my dad got called, and there was punishment when I got home. He didn't run to school threating to sue, he didn't get in fights with other parents, he didn't beat up the teacher. He punished ME. I was responsible. He didn't blame someone else for a lack of parenting. He didn't drug his child. He taught me manners, and respect for life and other people. Stop blaming an inanimate object. Put the blame where it needs to be.

Unfortunately, that is a description of a time long ago (and gone) in RURAL America. I grew up in the northern suburbs of a big city and had a friend that said that they had never seen a cow except on TV. Some people may have had a "Leave it to Beaver" type of childhood, but many in the big cities had a different life.

OrangeBlossomBaby 07-30-2022 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120585)
That is EXACTLY what I have been trying to communicate. But, this post is so much more artful, educational, and articulate than anything that I have EVER said. Kudos. If only you would keep repeating it until it becomes the law of the land......I can put my keyboard away! On this subject anyway.

It's wayyyyyy way past the point of no return with regards to the ban on assault or semi-automatic weapons. They're already out among the masses, there are more of them in this country than there are people. Banning assault weapons doesn't solve the problem, or even really address it.

Lawful people will have no problem getting a license. Getting a background check. People give up their "privacy" every time they open a bank account, get a motor vehicle license, buy health insurance, get a credit card, take out a mortgage, post on an online forum, and even in many cases, get a job. It's just one more box that has to be checked off, on the list of boxes in your lifetime.

Unlawful people will circumvent the law, and pay the consequences JUST by virtue of the fact that they possess a weapon they're not licensed to possess.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 04:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jacob85 (Post 2120354)
Where did the 77 percent come from? If you look at all the past shootings they all had guns that shot multiple bullets! Name a time where someone had a gun that shot one bullet at a time?

I could be satisfied with a single-shot rifle, shotgun, or pistol. Especially when they would significantly decrease the mass-murder events and make schools and churches safer. I doubt that most people would want to make that tradeoff. Maybe someday in the future if mass killing keeps increasing to an intolerable level, that might become a solution. It actually would preserve the 2nd Amendment and allow hunting, and home protection. The trick would be how to keep the bad guys armed only with similar low-tech firearms. But, it is a good thought experiment.

Aces4 07-30-2022 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120585)
That is EXACTLY what I have been trying to communicate. But, this post is so much more artful, educational, and articulate than anything that I have EVER said. Kudos. If only you would keep repeating it until it becomes the law of the land......I can put my keyboard away! On this subject anyway.

I couldn’t disagree more. This whole situation is far more complicated than this simplicity of assault weapons. We need mental health institutions and yes we can afford them, burn the ridiculous pork in the annual budget. Family values are critical as is faith. Most importantly, more of these mentally ill murderers are extremely bright. Fentanyl is far more available in copious amounts and far more insidious and deadly than any gun out there. And yes, the mentally ill will figure out how to obtain and use it for evil. We haven’t seen the horrors of what may lie ahead, China knows what it is doing, unfortunately.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bp243 (Post 2120416)
It would seem plausible to consider our USA gun-related deaths per capita with all other countries. For those countries that have lower gun-related deaths per capita, it would mean following up with the philosophy behind the gun controls in those countries. If we really want change, it's important to uncover those countries who are doing it the way that reduces the amount of deaths. Is that something that you'd be willing to do?

Americans are very ethnocentric and often prefer to blunder around and make their own mistakes rather than looking to other countries for solutions. Perhaps they consider these other countries to be somehow inferior. As Mr. Winston Churchill said, "America ALWAYS does the right thing, after all other solutions are tried."

Reiver 07-30-2022 04:31 PM

If you want to cut down on mass shootings (and crime in general) there needs to be a return to speedy implementation of punishments that are equitable to the crime, and well publicized.

Public executions would slow down the copycat killers who desire notoriety. Put their heads on a pike in the city hall square.
James Cagney in "Angels with Dirty Faces".

Reiver 07-30-2022 04:31 PM

double post

OrangeBlossomBaby 07-30-2022 04:45 PM

Another more drastic measure (for the USA, not so much for other places): instead of maintaining "registration" for all males age 18...

How about mandatory military training and service for all able-bodied/minded men and women between 18 and 20. It should be a civic duty to the country to serve. Plus they get their weapons training, real actual military training rather than this proud boys pretend garbage that gets peddled.

That way this younger generation can grow up to be adults who carry firearms, know how to use them, how NOT to use them, when to use them, when NOT to use them. And they've proven themselves mentally and physically capable of handling it.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sarah_W (Post 2120531)
According to EveryTown (Gun Control Group) it is 81%: Mass Shootings in America | Everytown Research & Policy | Everytown Research & Policy

According to Statistica it is 75%: • Guns used in mass shootings U.S. 2022 | Statista

According to USCCA it is 86%: Just a moment...

For reference, every gun used in mass shootings shoot one bullet at a time. I have not heard of a mass shooting that utilized a fully automatic firearm.

As a purely technical note and with even some semantics thrown in..........even an automatic military rifle fires only ONE bullet out of the barrel at a time. It fires bullets out of the barrel with ONE TRIGGER PULL for as long as it is pulled or when the magazine runs out of rounds. There may have been some derringer or shotgun with 4 barrels that had some kind of hammer that would strike the primers of all 4 barrels at the same time so that the bullets or shot exited the barrels at the same time - but, I don't know about any - and I can't see any advantage to it. And there would be a disadvantage of more weight.

Blueblaze 07-30-2022 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120534)
The problem with deciding that the SOLUTION to this mass murder problem is to lock up the LUNATICS - is that most of the lunatics are just talking and imagining themselves as heroes of mass-murder events. - 99.9% of them are likely to NEVER really actualize their demented dreams. The Police monitor as many dark channels of the web as they can and they have prevented SOME actual murders from happening. But they have a hard time figuring out which are those "just talking trash" and which are those willing to take action.

Psychologists have compiled statistics on mass shooters and have FAILED to identify a personality type that would reliably PREDICT who would be LUNATIC enough to do this crime. They do know that only about 5% of mass murderers are WOMEN.

50 years ago when a lunatic started raving about killing people, they were sent to an asylum and got some help. Innocents were protected.

Then educated idiots everywhere decided that that it was cruel to expose a lunatic to help when he didn't ask for it. So they emptied the asylums. And almost immediately, we started suffering mass murder events.

Politicians jumped on it to do something they had always wanted to do anyway-- disarm the citizenry. So they blamed the murders on the guns that had always been around -- not the lunatics that had suddenly showed up begging for spare change on every street corner, pooping in the street, camping in public parks, raving at strangers, and committing mass murder.

This is a pure cause-and-effect issue. It is only political because politicians make it that way.

Even if Clinton's stupid AR15 ban lowered the mass murder rate 2% (which it only did if you jimmy the numbers) -- THAT'S NOT ENOUGH. The rate used to be ZERO!

The last thing we need is for some lunatic who can't get his hands on a varmint rifle to discover that the recipe for a variety of bombs is widely available on the web, and the ingredients are much cheaper than an AR15.

rogerrice60 07-30-2022 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Keefelane66 (Post 2120188)
Reinstate the assault weapons ban it was a reasonable law until Bush allowed it to sunset now it’s out of control!

It's not the weapon, it's the weapon holder

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120592)
I could be satisfied with a single-shot rifle, shotgun, or pistol. Especially when they would significantly decrease the mass-murder events and make schools and churches safer. I doubt that most people would want to make that tradeoff. Maybe someday in the future if mass killing keeps increasing to an intolerable level, that might become a solution. It actually would preserve the 2nd Amendment and allow hunting, and home protection. The trick would be how to keep the bad guys armed only with similar low-tech firearms. But, it is a good thought experiment.

Armed citizens stop 2.5 million violent crimes every year. It is estimated that half or more saved at least one life. 3.7 million homes are broken into every year. The typical home invasion occurs between 10am and 3 pm. in 1 million of the home invasions the people are home and 270,000 of them become the victim of a violent crime. 46.5% involve weapons, 38.2% involve firearms. That means 1,413,400 home invasions involve an armed intruder. Approximately 1,000 people are murdered each year during a home invasion.

Armed citizens stop a lot of crimes every year and save a lot of lives. If I'm faced with an armed assailant, I want a semi-automatic with an extra magazine.
Never has a person who survived a gun fight complained of having too much ammo and never have they wished for an inferior weapon.

What are the chances you will ever face an armed assailant?
Answer: Not zero.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sarah_W (Post 2120541)
It would be an interesting beginning conversation. I think we have to step back for a moment and recognize that when firearms were removed from public ownership, did the murders stop? In other words, if you take away people's guns, are they then murdering people with knives, hammers, etc.

Murder per capita would be a good variable to look at. If someone murders my child or my spouse I am not concerned with the tool or instrument they used to kill my loved one. If someone stabs my daughter, strangles my daughter, or shoots her with a semi-automatic rifle, the funeral and burial are all the same. The seat is still empty at the table on Thanksgiving. That is why I focus on the evil heart that would take another's life.

The national conversation is about mass shootings right now although they make up 0.2% of the murders, meaning that 99.8% of murders will still occur even if we managed to eliminate mass shootings. The next level of the national conversation is AR style rifles, yet we know that 75-85% of mass shootings are done with handguns. If we break that down to real numbers it looks like this: 45,000 people in the US are killed by firearms. 54% of those were suicide. My opinion on suicide is that if a person is committed to kill themselves they will still do it. We now have 22,500 murders by firearms. I've read 70-80% of the murders are gang and drug related. I don't think most of us are in gangs. We are not left with 5,625 actual murders by firearms. That is consistent with the FBI figure of 6,000. As noted by EveryTown, 0.2% are mass shootings. That means each year 120 people are murdered as a result of mass shootings. 75% are done with handguns. That leaves us with 30 people being murdered each year during a mass shooting with an AR style rifle.

Every statistic above is horriic. But which number is most important? The media would have us to believe that the 30 people killed on average each year with an AR style rifle is the most important. Removing all AR styled rifles will save 30 people per year but what about the other 45,000? Do we not address that? How can I help you sleep at night without you infringing on my Constitutional Rights?

What is the goal then, really? Being murdered by a firearm isn't even in the top ten for cause of death in our country.

We can put things into perspective as well. 3,000,000 people die every year from medical mistakes/errors. You are 133 times more likely to be killed by your doctor than a thug with a gun. 91,800 people died last year from opioid overdose. You are 4 times more likely to die of an opioid overdose that being shot by a thug.

We can look at the mortality schedules at the CDC website. Being murdered doesn't even make their list of the top 10 ways to die. Heart disease is #1. Maybe we should ban bacon. Wow, that would be a bummer!

ETA: Sorry for the long post. While we are talking about per capita, it would also be prudent to look at the major cities that drive our murder rates.

OK, I just took a QUICK lap around my GOOGLE machine and......the Institute of Medicine said that in 2020 - 98,000 US people were killed by Medical ERRORS.

The House Oversite Committee said that recent mass murders totaled 234 people. These were at Uvalde, Las Vegas, Orlando Sandy Hook, Buffalo, Highland Park. Parkland, Sab Bernadino, Southerland Springs, and Boulder.

In 2019 the US had 4.12 gun homicides per 100,000 people
Israel had 1.05
Canada had .5
Australia had .18
The UK had .04

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 06:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taltarzac725 (Post 2120544)
Gun laws of Australia - Wikipedia

Some of that legal framework on gun control is quite interesting.

And it probably would lessen the number of mass shootings, no matter how you define them.

Interesting!

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sarah_W (Post 2120556)
I have several opinions about Uvalde and we can dive into that if anyone likes. The first Police were on the scene within 3 minutes of the shooter. They did not engage for 77 minutes. During that time many more were either killed or bled out. I do believe the reason the Police did not act within the first moments was a complete lack of training for such a scenario. A symptom of that lack of training is the defunding of Police movement. When budgets get cut, training is the first to go. I have worked with a few Officers to improve their performance for the annual qualification and the lack of training disturbs me.

I heard on TV that one officer (a school officer, I think) saw the Uvalde shooter walking outside after he had sent some shots at people in an adjacent parking lot. For some reason (?), that officer did NOT shoot at him. I believe that I heard that the shot was too long. There were a lot of changes to the story as time went on, so this may or may not be true.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sarah_W (Post 2120558)
I will have to disagree with some of that. The list of "mass murder events" that you refer to is not a true list of mass murders. I've looked at the raw data, such as on the GunViolence website, an most of the events listed are not mass murders, they are mass injuries of which they deem to be 3 or more. If three people are shot with .22 pistols and have to go to the hospital, it makes the list. Do other countries count that? I have no idea.

To compare us to other countries the raw data has to be collected in the same way and analyzed in the same way to make it comparable.

There are professional statisticians that are perfectly capable of comparing apples to apples and coming up with worldwide comparisons for different countries. Many people in the US are so ethnocentric that they believe the unlikely statement that the US is # 1 at everything and in ALL categories. It was true that after WW2 the US was in the top 10 in all worldwide categories. Today the Scandinavian countries and Switzerland are in the top ten. The US is around 30th or below in most categories. I think that it may be 21 in higher education. I have not looked in a while, but those lists should not be hard to find. I believe that jingoism is defined as believing that your country can do no wrong.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Larchap49 (Post 2120566)
Australians are almost as suppressed as Russians and Chinese, I doubt you would be happy with that much government interference, although you may find out sooner than you think

It is not just Australians that have close to ZERO problems with mass murder events, there are dozens of other countries without the problem that the US has.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 07:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby (Post 2120587)
It's wayyyyyy way past the point of no return with regards to the ban on assault or semi-automatic weapons. They're already out among the masses, there are more of them in this country than there are people. Banning assault weapons doesn't solve the problem, or even really address it.

Lawful people will have no problem getting a license. Getting a background check. People give up their "privacy" every time they open a bank account, get a motor vehicle license, buy health insurance, get a credit card, take out a mortgage, post on an online forum, and even in many cases, get a job. It's just one more box that has to be checked off, on the list of boxes in your lifetime.

Unlawful people will circumvent the law, and pay the consequences JUST by virtue of the fact that they possess a weapon they're not licensed to possess.

If mass murders keep increasing and become a much BIGGER problem than today, then the US will begin buy-backs and destruction of the weapons causing the most problems like Australia did after their mass murders. At some point in the future the US may HAVE to ask .......do they preserve American society or do they preserve the right for every citizen to own a military man-killing weapon? Everything in life is a trade off or balance..

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aces4 (Post 2120600)
I couldn’t disagree more. This whole situation is far more complicated than this simplicity of assault weapons. We need mental health institutions and yes we can afford them, burn the ridiculous pork in the annual budget. Family values are critical as is faith. Most importantly, more of these mentally ill murderers are extremely bright. Fentanyl is far more available in copious amounts and far more insidious and deadly than any gun out there. And yes, the mentally ill will figure out how to obtain and use it for evil. We haven’t seen the horrors of what may lie ahead, China knows what it is doing, unfortunately.

Yes. but, I don't want to go too far out into the weeds for SOLUTIONS.

Taltarzac725 07-30-2022 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120636)
I heard on TV that one officer (a school officer, I think) saw the Uvalde shooter walking outside after he had sent some shots at people in an adjacent parking lot. For some reason (?), that officer did NOT shoot at him. I believe that I heard that the shot was too long. There were a lot of changes to the story as time went on, so this may or may not be true.

He was scared about collateral damage if he took the shot.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blueblaze (Post 2120613)
50 years ago when a lunatic started raving about killing people, they were sent to an asylum and got some help. Innocents were protected.

Then educated idiots everywhere decided that that it was cruel to expose a lunatic to help when he didn't ask for it. So they emptied the asylums. And almost immediately, we started suffering mass murder events.

Politicians jumped on it to do something they had always wanted to do anyway-- disarm the citizenry. So they blamed the murders on the guns that had always been around -- not the lunatics that had suddenly showed up begging for spare change on every street corner, pooping in the street, camping in public parks, raving at strangers, and committing mass murder.

This is a pure cause-and-effect issue. It is only political because politicians make it that way.

Even if Clinton's stupid AR15 ban lowered the mass murder rate 2% (which it only did if you jimmy the numbers) -- THAT'S NOT ENOUGH. The rate used to be ZERO!

The last thing we need is for some lunatic who can't get his hands on a varmint rifle to discover that the recipe for a variety of bombs is widely available on the web, and the ingredients are much cheaper than an AR15.

The asylums were emptied out into the slums.... which is almost poetic. I believe that the asylums were emptied out to save taxpayer money for the highest bracket citizens. Mental health care is expensive if done correctly. I would like to compare how mental health treatments are handled in Sweden or Japan and the US. And also what % of GDP is dedicated to it in various countries. Mental health care costs starting at a young age could pay dividends later with an adult that is less inclined to commit crimes of gun violence and mass-murders. The cost could offset each other leaving society more stable.

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sarah_W (Post 2120624)
Armed citizens stop 2.5 million violent crimes every year. It is estimated that half or more saved at least one life. 3.7 million homes are broken into every year. The typical home invasion occurs between 10am and 3 pm. in 1 million of the home invasions the people are home and 270,000 of them become the victim of a violent crime. 46.5% involve weapons, 38.2% involve firearms. That means 1,413,400 home invasions involve an armed intruder. Approximately 1,000 people are murdered each year during a home invasion.

Armed citizens stop a lot of crimes every year and save a lot of lives. If I'm faced with an armed assailant, I want a semi-automatic with an extra magazine.
Never has a person who survived a gun fight complained of having too much ammo and never have they wished for an inferior weapon.

What are the chances you will ever face an armed assailant?
Answer: Not zero.

In the unlikely dream world that I talked about where everyone (good guy or bad) had access to only single-shot firearms - then in an armed home invasion both the good and bad person would be equally armed. So, that would be neither a positive for society nor a negative. The REAL POSITIVE benefit to society would be that schools and churches and large gatherings would be MUCH safer because the mass murderer would reload S-L-O-W-L-Y. which would allow bystanders to physically assault and STOP him. So single-shot firearms would be a net big positive for society. I offer this up as just a thought experiment. It is VERY much the same for the decision to prevent most citizens from owning automatic firearms. In this case the LOWER tech the better. This is the same idea that the world leaders use when they want no more nuclear-armed countries. Another case where low-tech is preferable!

jimjamuser 07-30-2022 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taltarzac725 (Post 2120650)
He was scared about collateral damage if he took the shot.

Thank you. And also, a good example of why Police should carry rubber bullets and short shotguns to deal with various possible situations. I wonder if a small stun grenade or an exploding spray of teat gas would have been useful in that situation. Or even a bean bag shot from a shotgun or a shotgun shell loaded with sand???? Just brainstorming stuff.

Aces4 07-30-2022 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120647)
Yes. but, I don't want to go too far out into the weeds for SOLUTIONS.

Point being, if there are mental health issues, simply removing a gun won’t work. If they are ill and determined, there are far worse tactics they will use. A gun may be less lethal than other methods that may be employed… the Oklahoma bombing tragedy comes to mind among other schemes.

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120626)
OK, I just took a QUICK lap around my GOOGLE machine and......the Institute of Medicine said that in 2020 - 98,000 US people were killed by Medical ERRORS.

The House Oversite Committee said that recent mass murders totaled 234 people. These were at Uvalde, Las Vegas, Orlando Sandy Hook, Buffalo, Highland Park. Parkland, Sab Bernadino, Southerland Springs, and Boulder.

In 2019 the US had 4.12 gun homicides per 100,000 people
Israel had 1.05
Canada had .5
Australia had .18
The UK had .04

My mistake on the medical errors it appears I put in an extra zero. It should have said 300,000 people die every year from medical errors. Your Health Care May Kill You: Medical Errors - PubMed

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120636)
I heard on TV that one officer (a school officer, I think) saw the Uvalde shooter walking outside after he had sent some shots at people in an adjacent parking lot. For some reason (?), that officer did NOT shoot at him. I believe that I heard that the shot was too long. There were a lot of changes to the story as time went on, so this may or may not be true.

This bothered me a great deal when I read the ALERRT report on Uvalde. That is the Advanced Law Enforcement Rapid Response Training center. This is the training center law enforcement sends officers to for rapid response such as mass shootings. Their assessment of the Police response to the Uvalde shooting will anger any adult who cares for innocent victims especially children. You are correct. Ramos crashed the pickup into a ditch. Two employees from a funeral home walked toward him to see if they could help. He took shots at them and they ran back. An officer witnessed this. There is video cam from the officer of Ramos leaving the truck and walking across a field toward the school carrying his rifle.

The distance from the officer to Ramos was 146 yards. He had Ramos in his sights and called his supervisor for permission to take the shot. His supervisor did not respond. The officer called again and by the time he got a response, Ramos had entered the school. This is the point where lack of training failed those children and teachers. The officer knows Ramos took shots at two people, is walking toward a school and is armed and dangerous. He should NOT have called for permission. The officer had an AR and 146 yards is a very easy shot to make. It sickens me that he did not take the shot and avoid the mass shooting all together.

Of the approximately 400 officers who responded to the call that day, they all failed. One of the first officers who arrived tried to engage Ramos but did NOT have support from his fellow officers and when it took concrete shrapnel to his head, he retreated. What followed his actions was nothing short of cowardice.

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120644)
If mass murders keep increasing and become a much BIGGER problem than today, then the US will begin buy-backs and destruction of the weapons causing the most problems like Australia did after their mass murders. At some point in the future the US may HAVE to ask .......do they preserve American society or do they preserve the right for every citizen to own a military man-killing weapon? Everything in life is a trade off or balance..

I don't see that happening. Forced buy back is the same thing as gun confiscation. The term is comical actually since the government didn't sell the guns in the first place they can't "buy back". I do not see this ever happening in our country. I can't fathom the loss of life from the people who would refuse to surrender their guns added to the loss of life from those trying to confiscate them.

Let's use some critical thinking here. As we know most mass shootings are done with handguns. If you think Americans would ever surrender handguns, well, I have no uncertainty the answer is no. Therefore, all of this effort is over AR styled rifles. Millions of dollars spent to try to ban them. I did the math in an earlier post but the reality is AR style rifles are responsible for 30-40 murders per year. So, the 77% of mass shootings would still occur and the 23% of killers who preferred to use an AR wouldn't have one and therefore would opt for handguns instead to do their mass shooting. What would we gain?

Let's start by hardening the schools, which is much more cost effective, and we begin by saving children.

Sarah_W 07-30-2022 09:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2120663)
In the unlikely dream world that I talked about where everyone (good guy or bad) had access to only single-shot firearms - then in an armed home invasion both the good and bad person would be equally armed. So, that would be neither a positive for society nor a negative. The REAL POSITIVE benefit to society would be that schools and churches and large gatherings would be MUCH safer because the mass murderer would reload S-L-O-W-L-Y. which would allow bystanders to physically assault and STOP him. So single-shot firearms would be a net big positive for society. I offer this up as just a thought experiment. It is VERY much the same for the decision to prevent most citizens from owning automatic firearms. In this case the LOWER tech the better. This is the same idea that the world leaders use when they want no more nuclear-armed countries. Another case where low-tech is preferable!

In the words of Col. Jeff Cooper, if you find yourself in a fair fight your tactics suck.


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