MandoMan |
08-31-2021 07:02 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Toymeister
(Post 1996664)
I've been to Afghanistan, four tours
First you need to grasp the size of Afg, next you need to think how you get around Afg. Essentially, there is one road, the ring road, to get from many bases (FOBs) to another. This is not interstate level pavement, or pavement at all.
This one will be hard to grasp for many:
The US has said repeatedly that we are leaving, sometimes we even close a base only to reopen it again. Obama did something similar in 2015 when announcing a certain troop level only to step back from that number (this is a fact not a political statement).
So, let's say you are in Afg and another politician says 'we're out of here' do you believe it? Probably not. Let's say you are working at Bagram (BAF), now you have to dash over to Kabul, over the mountains. Just 70 miles, no problem right, just like a trip to Daytona! Eh, no.
US forces avoid that trip with MRAPs.
Suffice to say unless you caught a flight from a base you were screwed. Easy?, again no as the base shrinks more and more of the base perimeter becomes the responsibility of Afghan forces. Competency and the Afghan forces are two words which do not share the same sentence. If they don't let you in you're toast.
I could go on. Ask questions if you want more details.
One more thing, the State Dept might not know how many US citizens are in AFG but I will tell you 99% of the citizens are contractors and 99% of those are DoD contractors and with absolute certainty we do know who they are and if they left AFG. I personally supervised that program.
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Thank you. Well said. There are also medical workers and charity workers who believe they are crucial to saving lives and decide to risk their own lives to save others. (Sort of like the military, but with differences.) There are a few who have developed local ties, perhaps through marriage, and decided they won’t leave until they can get their families our at the same time. There are a few who are running engineering projects that will fall to pieces if they leave.
I’ve been listening to Shelby Foote’s three volumes on the Civil War for the second time (100 hours). One thing those books make clear is that whatever plans were made, on either side, could be foiled by muddy roads, a river rising, tired horses, sick troops, not arriving somewhere on time, misunderstanding orders, or failure to carry out orders. A couple minutes one way or another could win or lose a battle. Plans could be leaked or intercepted. Lucky shots could change the course of battles. Information failures and logistics problems could be fatal. (In a way it’s a bit like how there are so many things on football fields that can change the course of events.)
I think that after a horrible muddle caused by the unexpected happening, our country—government, Pentagon, and those around the world working on this—did a pretty wonderful job ramping up the effort in just a few days to taking out thousands a day to somewhere else. I’m reminded of Dunkirk, and what a muddle that was, and how much less certain of success it seemed at the time, and how close it came to not working, and how many didn’t make it home, and how it was a desperate retreat recast as a victory, and how even civilians pitched in to help save lives.
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