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The protesters, rioters and looters where numerous, uncontrollable and have little respect for the law. Golfers simply don't fall into that category.
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The only problem with your report is that the the time between exposure and symptoms of COVID 19 is 12 to 14 days not 5 to 10 days.
But of course you can’t attribute the spike to the protest if you deal with the facts. Fiction is good though. |
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Who is John Galt - Google Search |
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Might want to notify John Hopkins about this, since their study and many others confirmed the following. The researchers found that the average time it took for symptoms to appear was 5.5 days, and the median—or midpoint by which half of the people who developed symptoms had started to feel sick—was 5.1 days. Overall, fewer than 2.5 percent of infected people started showing symptoms within 2.2 days, and 97.5 percent had developed symptoms within 11.5 days. Coronavirus symptoms start about five days after exposure, Johns Hopkins study finds | Hub |
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A median of 5.1 days means there are as many days less than 5 as there are days more than 5. The fewest number of days for symptoms to occur is 2 according to what I've read, so adding 3 to 5.1 gives you 8.1 days. For fans of medians, I'd say a good estimate of onset of symptoms would be 2 to 8 days. |
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Since the majority of new cases are younger people, I'm afraid the risk of exposure to non-symptomatic individuals has increased significantly.
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Here is the percent positive (rounded to the nearest whole number) among people being tested the first time, from the FL Department of Health from June 6 to yesterday (June 6 at the top of the list):
3 4 4 5 6 5 6 4 5 7 10 This is the number of positive cases divided by the number of tests that day. It's considered a much better metric than the number of positive cases. A bit troubling, but not unexpected. |
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The protests started in Minneapolis on May 26, rest of cities followed suit starting May 27, so those saying it takes more days to show symptoms, get tested, get results are not disproving that protests are the source for the spikes starting June 12. |
They are having sex with strangers again and then like a pregnancy test they are getting a COVID test
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It sure would be more comforting, if the number of cases and deaths were going down faster or at least staying even.
Instead of those areas, where they seem to be increasing. Here's hoping The Villages gets as lucky this time around as the first. |
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Home | Florida Department of Health COVID-19 Outbreak 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 This is the number of positive cases divided by the number of tests that day. It's considered a much better metric than the number of positive cases. Seems pretty stable - not a bad reading for the Villages. And as Goodlife would say, it's because there were no protests in the Villages. In any case, it doesn't appear the reopening is having an adverse effect on the Villages, based on these data. |
from what I've been reading it seems like the huge numbers are coming from Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties
we all know what we need to do to stay safe we all have free will...hopefully we also have good judgment this is not over |
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New study on Italy shows 70% of covid 19 positives under age 60 are asymptomatic.
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2006/2006.08471.pdf Median age of Florida positives is dropping a lot Attachment 84672 Percent of deaths per case is also dropping (blue line) Attachment 84673 So the spike we are seeing is mostly younger people. They think they are invulnerable, don't wear masks a lot, and also like to participate in protests, go to bars etc. Average age of protesters is mid 20s. Death count lags positive tests by 3-4 weeks, I don't expect a lot of deaths from these spikes as it is mostly younger people, but they can spread it to us and are often asymptomatic. Beware the MIllennials :icon_wink: |
How would we know?
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The media, traveling and protest?
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Memorial Day: typical day for LARGE GROUPS of people to gather and celebrate stuff. BIG huge family day, neighborhood cookout day, store sales day. The days after Memorial Day - those are the days where everyone who became infected ON Memorial Day return to their usual businesses of living life, and infect anyone who wasn't at their celebration days before. THIS recent Memorial Day: the same time that some of the restrictions were lifted and people were given the go-ahead to "not stay at home." Potential result: people who were infected on Memorial Day, spread their virus exponentially that day, because it was Memorial Day. And then the lifted restrictions allowed everyone who became infected, to infect other people. Thus - the spike. Again - protests played a part. But the most prevalent spikes have occurred, at least in Florida, primarily in counties where the spikes were prevalent prior to George Floyd's death. And so - those spikes would've happened even if George Floyd didn't get killed. Maybe not AS MUCH as they did since he was killed. But they still would've happened. The spikes were caused by the state relaxing restrictions and people refusing to social distance - at WHATEVER venue they attended. |
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I don't mean YOU Orange Blossom Baby...I mean you as in people in general. |
Did anyone see the beaches on Memorial Day , how about Texas where they barely closed down all has anyone looked at the map why are there not spikes in Nee York City , Boston’s there will be cases from marches, but there will b from many other irresponsible behavior . It’s scary to think that you can show what a good American you are by not wearing a mask
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that being self indulgent BS! |
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Spike dates Orange and Hillsborough June 10 Dade and Palm Beach June 12 Broward June 15 Might want to look things up before leaping. |
Here is the percent positive (rounded to the nearest whole number) among people being tested the first time, from the FL Department of Health from June 6 to yesterday (June 6 at the top of the list):
3 4 4 5 6 5 6 4 5 7 10 9 10 This is the number of positive cases divided by the number of tests that day. It's considered a much better metric than the number of positive cases. Goodlife, I'm not convinced it's possible to identify one cause over another. If the upsurge is from the protests, it's going to have the same effect as if it came from relaxing restrictions. Exponential spread starting with the protests is going to continue to work its way through the population just the same as if it started with bars and restaurants, so I'm not sure what you're trying to say. Only if the "protest effect" petered out over time, with a corresponding drop in the numbers would we be able to attribute the current spike to the protests. But I don't see that happening given the exponential nature of how the virus is spread. |
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Protest outside with mask bad for out health , I’m sure there some truth to that , but most here don’t have a problem with a massive indoor rally with no masks required in a city with a big spike in cases . Hmmmm makes you wonder
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"How long is it between when a person is exposed to the virus and when they start showing symptoms? Recently published research found that on average, the time from exposure to symptom onset (known as the incubation period) is about five to six days. However, studies have shown that symptoms could appear as soon as three days after exposure to as long as 13 days later. These findings continue to support the CDC recommendation of self-quarantine and monitoring of symptoms for 14 days post exposure." |
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