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How much lower will it go? Any guesses?
Shiller index was at 32.66 after the close 4/17/25. |
End up in the 37,000s?
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Now I hope it all comes back before I die. |
Use options. Define your risk. In the long run we are all dead
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Am a 100% invested with the SP500 under 3800. .
Currently overhedged with puts, so net short making a 1-1/2% up day today so far. Tomorrow could be turn around Tuesday, so selling put gains at the close. . or not. . already at 100% depends upon the market recovery today. or not. . most all accounts 80% + in cash. . |
The Fed was setup to be independent. And Tariffs are inflationary. Not a surprise the market is “way” down.
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So why are people not firing their financial advisors? Their job is to make you money every day. No excuses. They are too much like overpaid, underproducing players
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The Fed is not where the accountability for this mess should land. The Fed has to function independently -- or further chaos will ensue. We are trapped in the throes of that tantrum of tariffs. Buying opportunities boil down to whistling in the dark. Today is what that threat to the Fed has brought on. Imagine what would happen if that would actually happen. This is well beyond a normal market fluctuation. This is a self-inflicted wound, infection spreading fast, teetering on the brink of sepsis. I admit that I have never been this worried about the economy. And I have a very long memory. Boomer |
Shiller finished at 31.86 today, slightly less than double its historic median and mean. I put my toe in the stock market water a few times over the last couple months but am now standing aside. Many serious issues currently confront the world and I have no idea how any of them will turn out.
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The Federal Reserve is going to start printing huge in May. I think a lot of that liquidity/counterfeit/fiat will go into Russell 2K as smaller companies come alive to compete. Gold and Bitcoin will also do well. The next 2 weeks are going to be, um, interesting. |
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