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-   -   Anyone else preparing for a big selloff? (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/investment-talk-158/anyone-else-preparing-big-selloff-354511/)

dewilson58 04-08-2025 07:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by manaboutown (Post 2421660)
....................... As I have, some may find it an especially rewarding and even soothing read during the tumultuous times we are currently experiencing.

:coolsmiley:

dewilson58 04-08-2025 07:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CoachKandSportsguy (Post 2421628)
whew! If I make 85, I will be very happy. Most in my family make 90, if accompanied with good health care.

Jus make sure you have seatbelts in your cart....................you'll be fine.

:icon_wink:

Stu from NYC 04-08-2025 07:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MorTech (Post 2422032)
I am going to die at 97 years old chasing a candy striper down the hall of the nursing home...Jesus said so.

I have planned accordingly.

Will you remember what to do if you catch her?

manaboutown 04-21-2025 11:21 AM

How much lower will it go? Any guesses?

Shiller index was at 32.66 after the close 4/17/25.

Normal 04-21-2025 11:26 AM

End up in the 37,000s?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by manaboutown (Post 2426116)
How much lower will it go? Any guesses?

It’s a sell day. It could make it down to the upper to middle 37ks?

Babubhat 04-21-2025 11:33 AM

Follow the chart master

Charts Show The S&P 500 At Risk Of Falling To 4,200

Aces4 04-21-2025 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Babubhat (Post 2426124)

The good news is that stocks won't be overvalued, oversold anymore while at that level.:icon_wink:

LeRoySmith 04-21-2025 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by manaboutown (Post 2426116)
How much lower will it go? Any guesses?

I hope it's done going low.... I went all in on April 7th. 300 in voog and 100 on Tesla.

Now I hope it all comes back before I die.

Babubhat 04-21-2025 12:20 PM

Use options. Define your risk. In the long run we are all dead

CoachKandSportsguy 04-21-2025 01:32 PM

Am a 100% invested with the SP500 under 3800. .
Currently overhedged with puts, so net short making a 1-1/2% up day today so far.

Tomorrow could be turn around Tuesday, so selling put gains at the close. . or not. . already at 100%
depends upon the market recovery today. or not. .

most all accounts 80% + in cash. .

justjim 04-21-2025 01:48 PM

The Fed was setup to be independent. And Tariffs are inflationary. Not a surprise the market is “way” down.

Babubhat 04-21-2025 01:57 PM

So why are people not firing their financial advisors? Their job is to make you money every day. No excuses. They are too much like overpaid, underproducing players

Boomer 04-21-2025 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justjim (Post 2426160)
The Fed was setup to be independent. And Tariffs are inflationary. Not a surprise the market is “way” down.

Yes. Absolutely correct. The Fed is being scapegoated.

The Fed is not where the accountability for this mess should land.

The Fed has to function independently -- or further chaos will ensue.

We are trapped in the throes of that tantrum of tariffs.

Buying opportunities boil down to whistling in the dark.

Today is what that threat to the Fed has brought on. Imagine what would happen if that would actually happen.

This is well beyond a normal market fluctuation. This is a self-inflicted wound, infection spreading fast, teetering on the brink of sepsis.

I admit that I have never been this worried about the economy. And I have a very long memory.

Boomer

manaboutown 04-21-2025 06:15 PM

Shiller finished at 31.86 today, slightly less than double its historic median and mean. I put my toe in the stock market water a few times over the last couple months but am now standing aside. Many serious issues currently confront the world and I have no idea how any of them will turn out.

MorTech 04-22-2025 03:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by manaboutown (Post 2426116)
How much lower will it go? Any guesses?

Shiller index was at 32.66 after the close 4/17/25.

S&P - 3500

The Federal Reserve is going to start printing huge in May. I think a lot of that liquidity/counterfeit/fiat will go into Russell 2K as smaller companies come alive to compete. Gold and Bitcoin will also do well. The next 2 weeks are going to be, um, interesting.


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