Article in Barrons behind Paywall about 4% Rule Might not work

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  #31  
Old 01-24-2022, 08:36 PM
Boomer Boomer is offline
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Originally Posted by davem4616 View Post
I'm totally in the camp of enjoying the money we put aside

kids are fine with that (like that would influence me)
And, like I have said before, “Fly first class or your kids will.”

(Geez. I gotta get outa here. I am turning into one of those people who hangs out on the internet all day. Today, I seem to be in need of an intervention. Maybe I should say something political or really mean and get into trouble and get benched. Might be a way out. )

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  #32  
Old 01-24-2022, 10:00 PM
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Originally Posted by dewilson58 View Post
Thoughts: Market will be back, able to convert more dollars today. & Convert to maximize "lower" tax brackets.
not sure I get why the price of equity has any relationship to the taxable bracket, etc.

Thinking about this more, the RMD is based upon the closing value of the IRA at the end of year. So if the market is ramped into the end of the year, and then sells off by 30%, you are taking a big hit on the total asset values by the calculation of the RMD, if you have to take a significant percentage out when the market is down 30%. . .

I still don't get the logic unless the increase is at a very low to zero tax rate, based upon social security and the taxable limit of tax free income. . so if the social security is $35K and you are allowed an extra $20K of income prior to taxation, and your RMD is $10K, then yes, taking an additional $10K out with very low taxes makes sense, as long as it then goes back into investments. . .

something like that makes sense, but many RMD put them over the limit. .

anyway, much more fun than corporate finance at 64
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Old 01-24-2022, 10:32 PM
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When I was doing those conversions to Roth, my aforementioned CPA#1 said I was trying to free my money from its prison long before its sentence was up.

That was exactly it.

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Last edited by Boomer; 01-25-2022 at 06:19 AM.
  #34  
Old 01-25-2022, 06:25 AM
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Left a lot of money on the table but he slept very soundly at night and it's well worth it
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Old 01-25-2022, 06:30 AM
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Default 2% 3% 4%

If you live in The Villages then the odds are I you did pretty well in life. Further you probably saw the very expensive house up North and probably paid cash for the house year so you really do need a lot to live on and your Social Security probably pays most of what you really need so whatever Capital you really have just don't take a cruise every 3 months and you should do fine. If you can't afford to live the way you're living now it's really simple move 2 North Florida buy a $100,000 house and you're still has several hundred thousand Capital to live off of. Or have generous children like I do
  #36  
Old 01-25-2022, 06:31 AM
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Originally Posted by Stu from NYC View Post

Taking out 4% from your assets each year starting as you enter retirement has been a recommendation for many years.
I think recommended is a stretch. It WAS a recognized starting point for many folks to be used as a guideline, but updated thinking has changed to around 3%.
  #37  
Old 01-25-2022, 06:40 AM
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If these financial gurus are so smart why would there be a need to modify the 4% rule. Did not the rule accommodate economic changes over the long haul ? Every time there is a hiccup we need a new rule ? Not a very comforting feeling. Never forget fear and greed the world's two biggest motivators.
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Old 01-25-2022, 06:40 AM
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Originally Posted by Boomer View Post

Besides, I think I must be the only one in this lineup who thinks conversion to Roth before RMD age — and only if the stars align — can be an excellent idea.

Boomer
You are not the only one! I continue to Roth conversions up to my next tax bracket. Since I am still working, my 401k contributions go into my Roth account.
  #39  
Old 01-25-2022, 06:45 AM
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Don’t know how old you are. Not my business. But I do not regret having done it in my younger days. Having to get past RMDs and then add it on on top makes it not as much fun to do.

Boomer
60 is in sight.
"Couldn't" convert in my working years ............... hate those tax brackets.
Finally not working, looking at maybe some conversions & bringing some funds a shore.
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Old 01-25-2022, 06:46 AM
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Originally Posted by rustyp View Post
If these financial gurus are so smart why would there be a need to modify the 4% rule. Did not the rule accommodate economic changes over the long haul ? Every time there is a hiccup we need a new rule ? Not a very comforting feeling. Never forget fear and greed the world's two biggest motivators.
Thats the problem right there! It was never intended as a rule...more of a guideline. Over the years it became "a rule" that people viewed as inflexible and unchangeable, so thats why you literally see almost everyone questioning the 4%. Its kind of like the recommendation to walk 10,000 steps or drink 8 glasses of water, general guidelines that people now follow to the step...er...glass.
  #41  
Old 01-25-2022, 06:53 AM
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If these financial gurus are so smart why would there be a need to modify the 4% rule.
Haven't changed, 4% is still a good guideline.
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Old 01-25-2022, 07:21 AM
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Originally Posted by BlueStarAirlines View Post
Thats the problem right there! It was never intended as a rule...more of a guideline. Over the years it became "a rule" that people viewed as inflexible and unchangeable, so thats why you literally see almost everyone questioning the 4%. Its kind of like the recommendation to walk 10,000 steps or drink 8 glasses of water, general guidelines that people now follow to the step...er...glass.
I wonder why when the markets were breaking all time highs the gurus didn't change the "guideline" to 5%. I think I know. Without my money they make no money.
  #43  
Old 01-25-2022, 07:31 AM
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I wonder why when the markets were breaking all time highs the gurus didn't change the "guideline" to 5%. I think I know. Without my money they make no money.
4% a heuristic rule, a generalized rule of thumb based upon a generalized rule of fingers of inflation, bonds and equity returns. Simplicity for non financial long term planning before the explosion in market data and software programming. . .

you don't hear about the 4% rule much because the software programs create customized plans with as much detail as you want to stuff into it.

The fidelity plan has car replacement inputs with/without loans, has forecasted health care costs, now that it is a large expense, etc. . . so advancements make thumbs meaningless. .

that's why

Last edited by CoachKandSportsguy; 01-25-2022 at 10:56 AM. Reason: f*********** autocorrect
  #44  
Old 01-25-2022, 08:07 AM
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Interesting info. A nicely subtle way of promoting annuities.
  #45  
Old 01-25-2022, 08:08 AM
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A nicely subtle way of promoting annuities.
Not me.

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