Inverted Yield Curve Is Predicting Recession. What Are Other Economic Indicators Saying? | Fortune

I am not worried just yet.

National economic downturns and any indicators of same seem to be noted, and even celebrated by some folks for other reasons. At least on this Forum. Just watching from a safe seat. Not an expert.

We survived the last recession. I'm guessing we'll survive the next one. And the one after that.

I have leaned toward investing dividends of current holdings more to tax free muni's instead of back into stocks though.

A lot of people are working two jobs to survive (not prosper) tell them we are doing great now. That also brings unemployment down when someone works 2 jobs it is like two people working. Recession is going to occur, not if, but when? Probably 1-2 years.

The Fed - Finance

There are all kinds of resources out there for information. I still trust the main news sources like NBC, ABC, CBS and CNN. These are news and not entertainment like FOX news which I think does not even qualify as "news" because their "facts" are so skewed.

Or try going into a library and asking the reference librarian what are the best sources for information about economic trends in the US.

Absolutely!!!!!

You can trust all of them WHEN they promote and publish the facts and not their opinions which doesn't happen often these days. The opinions, the titles published do not always echo the thoughts of voters, so that in a National Election, many people are surprised and incredulous.

When I see a downturn in the Dow, I look immediately for a couple of posters on this forum to post and to gloat. At least it seems that way to me. I am not a financial expert. I am a retired Pre-School teacher. But thank heavens I am not as dumb as I look.

Librarians are trained to be impartial. Try going into one of the local Villages' area libraries. They can show you sources for reliable information about economic indicators and the like. And stuff about recessions and if they might happen.

People can make statistics suggest untruths but it is usually very easy to tell what they want you to believe.

There are many sources of good information out there.

And these are the reliable media like CBS, ABC and NBC as long as you check their numbers with proven other sources.

Also, I'm sure the vigilant person would check the fact from these "reliable" sources with a "non-partisan" fact checker like Snopes.

And don't forget these other 'fact-checking' sites...which most often agree with Snopes.

Truth or Fiction? - Seeking truth, exposing ficiton

Fact-checking U.S. politics | PolitiFact

Which, unfortunately for some, kinda blows the conspiracy theory about Snopes being 'biased'...right out of the water. :ho:

What's really sad, is that most people don't even bother to research and prefer to just believe/pass on...whatever fits their confirmation bias. :ohdear:

And for those who really want to research facts, here's a number of other sites to use to compare...what you've already researched.


The 10 Best Fact Checking Sites



IF you've even done any research...in the first place. :oops:

These look good. Talking to your local friendly and knowledgeable reference librarian is also a good idea. One that works in your community's library.

Charles Payne says the rate inversion is caused by huge amounts of foreign investment pouring in. Rate is staying low because a percent and a half is so much better that getting 95 percent of your principal back in ten years in Europe. Rate doesnt need to climb to attract investors. This is something new and is not the reason for previous inversions.