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I went through the dot-com bust and would never do it again. I put my money into plain old CDs an have done much better than I did with the market. Until just recently I had 6% CDs that matured after 10 years. I now have 3% to 4% CDs and they are doing well. Making money each month and compounding so I'm happy. I have the "pillow factor" under control. All these market problems are of no concern to me. In fact when the Feds raise the rates the CD rates go up so it a win-win for me.
Also CDs have zero cost - no management fees, buy/sell fees, and many other fees that stock/bond places charge investors. My go to places for CDs are Pentagon Federal and Navy Federal Credit Unions. These 2 credit unions have the highest ratings. |
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Have not touched stocks for 25 years, just played a little with currency rates.
Anyone who travels, or plans to in near future to Europe, and specially to UK, now is a very good time to purchase £ and Euros. US$ is strong against both, in fact the £ has tanked! |
I never try to time the stock market because I admit that I don't understand it. I have always been a buy and hold investor and have done well. They say that the stock market responds to predictions of future events. If that is so, then why is the market going down now when everything that has happened with interest rates and the economy was totally predictable at least 6 months ago? Also, they say that owning stock means that you actually own part of a profitable company. So, if I own shares in McDonald's, that sells millions of hamburgers every day at a profit, why does the stock value decline when other stocks decline in a single day? Just because some stocks go down, should have no effect on the number of hamburgers that McDonald's sells that day, and the value of the company. Can one of you stock market timers explain these things?
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I always find it interesting at how many claim (while being anonymous) how well they've done - 'timing' the market(s). Sorry, if I don't believe 90% of ya. While the last month has been a bit rough, I personally will continue with my (relatively conservative) investment allocations and will sleep comfortably knowing that I don't need to sell/draw down anything, as I am fortunate to have defined benefit pensions for my retirement income. Recognizing that not everyone is as lucky, I would still caution against panicking and selling at such a low point, since history shows that doing so puts you at risk of missing out on some significant gains in a very short period - 'when' (not 'if') the markets rebound. Good luck to all. |
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Not for me as I do like to at least see some dividends coming my way. |
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I just stated that anyone considering a trip to Europe or UK, now is a very good time to buy the currency. Tomorrow could be better, or worse, but now is a bargain. |
Another horrible CPI report today. How high will interest rates rise?
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According to traditional economic definitions we are already in a RECESSION, however upcoming midterm elections (with associated rhetorical devices) prohibits the open use of the word. My bet is that the next 12-18 months (possibly longer) will be tough economically. Not a good time to be selling a home...
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Second, market valuation movements is due to investor preference between real treasury bond interest and capital gain rates and stock potential real cash flow growth and dividends. Macdonalds might has a terminal growth rate of 3 pct over inflation, but still subject to human management mistakes or other event risks to the company. if bonds have a 5 percent return over inflation, where would you put new money for the moment? bonds would be where one would get a better yield at the moment. So in reality, its the competition between future stock company uncertainty of cash growth rates, and the relative certainty of bond real interest rate and capital gains certainty by the return of capital at the bond life end. simple, but portfolio implementation is very difficult with the uncertainty of the future in any particular equity. current recent long for me, though underwater, are long treasury bonds and XLE posing CFA guy |
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What is XLE? |
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