Market Week: February 2, 2015

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Old 02-03-2015, 10:04 AM
Certified Financial Group Certified Financial Group is offline
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Default Market Week: February 2, 2015

The Markets
The strength of the U.S. dollar contributed to weak Q4 earnings reports from some major blue-chip companies that earn a substantial portion of their revenues overseas. That in turn contributed to more losses for equities across the board, with the Dow and S&P 500 suffering the most. As a result, investors continued to seek the security of U.S. Treasuries; the benchmark 10-year yield has now lost roughly half a percentage point since the beginning of the year as demand has driven up prices.

Last Week's Headlines
The U.S. economy grew more slowly in Q4, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis's initial estimate. The 2.6% increase in gross domestic product was roughly half the 5% seen in Q3. The BEA said increased imports, cuts in federal government spending, reduced business investment, and sluggish exports helped slow economic growth. The major bright spot in the report was a 4.3% increase in consumer spending--the fastest growth since before the financial crisis.
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy committee once again said it is in no hurry to begin raising interest rates, in part because it foresees inflation slowing even further in the short term before eventually rising closer to its 2% target. The committee said it expects moderate U.S. growth to continue, and its statement expressed little concern about international economic weakness.
The Commerce Department said durable goods orders unexpectedly fell 3.4% in December--the fourth decline in the last five months. Though a 55% drop in commercial aircraft orders played a significant role in the weakness in new orders, the Commerce Department said business spending on capital equipment also fell 9.7%.
After a slow November, sales of new homes were up 11.6% in December, according to the Commerce Department. However, the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index showed that home prices continued to struggle; the index fell 0.2% in November, and the 4.3% increase over November 2013 was less than the 4.5% annual gain seen the previous month.

Eye on the Week Ahead
As the new Greek government settles in, investors will be assessing its chances of success in altering the bailout agreement imposed by the so-called "troika"--the European Commission, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund. Consumer and manufacturing data are on tap as earnings reports continue to come in. And the release of President Obama's budget for the upcoming fiscal year will doubtless prompt discussion of the potential impact of any proposed tax reforms.

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All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal, and there can be no guarantee that any investing strategy will be successful. Prepared by Broadridge Investor Communication Solutions, Inc. 2015.
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