Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
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Is Coronavirus Testing Data Flawed?
Florida and New York both have about the same population. Both states are testing about the same number of people for the virus per day. But, recently, the data results are showing that Florida has about 10 times as many confirmed cases per day as New York. Is that because people in New York are 10 times more prudent at avoiding the virus? I don't think so. I think that part of the discrepancy can be explained by the fact that the people being tested are not a true representation of the population. Most people are only tested because they chose to be tested, and so they show up at a testing center. In that respect, I believe the data is flawed. I suspect that the circumstances for people who decide to get tested are different in Florida vs New York.
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#2
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Any patient in the hospital for covid gets tested everyday. So if they were in the hospital for 12 days, they would have 12 positive tests. I have heard these 12 positives are being reported and interpreted as 12 new cases. Reporting is statistically flawed, IMHO, based on the reporting organizations desires to prove more or less. This is just my opinion.
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#3
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I have heard of both false positive and false negative results. Just went to the doctor earlier this week and asked if there was any point in getting a test if I showed no symptoms and hadn’t been anywhere, and always wore my mask (eg., grocery store). Also, as noted above, is double-counting occurring, if someone has more than one test?
The doctor said don’t bother. I just don’t see the point if the above conditions are met.
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#4
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New York appears to have hit the low herd immunity threshold postulated by Nobel Laureate Michael Levitt where virus burns out after infecting 15-25% of population. This is why they have very few new cases now. Florida appears to have peaked July 18 and new cases are going down. We should be in same position as New York by end of September. The tests are fairly accurate with low rates of false results, but they are not perfect. |
#5
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"The United States has recorded more than 2,000 coronavirus deaths in 24 hours, the highest number of daily fatalities in three months, Johns Hopkins University's real-time tally showed Thursday.
The country, which has seen a major resurgence in coronavirus since the end of June, added 2,060 deaths in one day as well as more than 58,000 new cases, the Baltimore-based university showed at 8:30 pm (0030 GMT Friday). The last time the US recorded more than 2,000 deaths in 24 hours was on May 7." US Records More Than 2,000 Deaths in 24 Hours for First Time in 3 Months |
#6
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No one believes the truth when the lie is more interesting Berks County Pennsylvania |
#7
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Maybe add a percentage of the population practicing safe practices. If 50%, the combination approaches 70-80% so as long as safe practices are maintained in that percentage of the population? |
Closed Thread |
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