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-   -   Please just stay home a little while longer if you are... (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/medical-health-discussion-94/please-just-stay-home-little-while-longer-if-you-306294/)

Jazzman 05-10-2020 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JoMar (Post 1761996)
My question, if all those that want to get on with their lives are willing to infect the others or get infected by the others that want to get on with their lives, is it because they believe they can easily survive, don't believe any of the stats or believe it only happens to those with underlying conditions or are vulnerable? Just curious?

so you will self quarantine until everyone in the US or the world for that matter will A) receive a vaccine and B) be tested for antibodies? You’ll have a long wait. And oh but the way, if you are tested and are asymptomatic and the test reveals you are a carrier, then you’re in it for the long haul.

DecaturFargo 05-10-2020 08:58 AM

It's all selfishness. They should be part of the "me" generation.

Jazzman 05-10-2020 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Boomer (Post 1762298)
Hello, ficoguy,

You don’t miss a beat, do ya —

Oh well, I hope you will give my post here some thought.

As of yesterday morning, the reported numbers were, as follow:

Global:
Cases: 3,979,442
Deaths: 276,421

United States:
Cases: 1,291,100
Deaths: 77,489

Whether it be contract negotiations or ROI, I have always paid attention to percentages. Feel free to check my math. I did it in my head so it might be a little rough:

33% - United States Percentage of Global Cases
28% - United States Percentage of Global Deaths

I was appalled at what I was seeing in those numbers so I looked up the percentage of the US population relative to the population of the world:

4.5% - Yep. That’s us, our population, in relation to the whole world. I was beyond appalled at that stat.

Even though the virus could not have been stopped, it seems like it could have at least been headed off at the pass by responding to what was known in, ohhhh, let me see — January.

And why are tests being stonewalled? A numbers game?

Sassy Boomer

As stated by Dr. Birx, they are very liberal with the numbers when it comes to listing Covid as the cause of death. Over the last few weeks there have been a number of physicians who have stated publicly that they were/are directed to list any death any death as Covid caused or related I even though the patient had severe medical complications in addition to being infected. The testing isn’t being stonewalled, you want accurate test results and currently for example there are only five diagnostic companies that have had their antibody tests approved for public use.

Boomer 05-10-2020 09:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Boomer (Post 1762298)
Hello, ficoguy,

You don’t miss a beat, do ya —

Oh well, I hope you will give my post here some thought.

As of yesterday morning, the reported numbers were, as follow:

Global:
Cases: 3,979,442
Deaths: 276,421

United States:
Cases: 1,291,100
Deaths: 77,489

Whether it be contract negotiations or ROI, I have always paid attention to percentages. Feel free to check my math. I did it in my head so it might be a little rough:

33% - United States Percentage of Global Cases
28% - United States Percentage of Global Deaths

I was appalled at what I was seeing in those numbers so I looked up the percentage of the US population relative to the population of the world:

4.5% - Yep. That’s us, our population, in relation to the whole world. I was beyond appalled at that stat.

Even though the virus could not have been stopped, it seems like it could have at least been headed off at the pass by responding to what was known in, ohhhh, let me see — January.

And why are tests being stonewalled? A numbers game?

Sassy Boomer

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 1762300)
Global deaths all other causes: 153,400 PER DAY


Aw, c’mon, my entire quote is above. Why did you pick and choose what part to use with your response. (rhetorical question — thus no question mark)

I gotta get outa here. Too many posters tuned in to screens that keep them in a constant state of agitation — and it shows. And — then — this morning — damn contagious to me.

Maybe reading up on the amygdala, and also on the Dunning-Kruger effect, could help to understand what’s going on, causing us to be tribal. Brain science, used to manipulate for the purpose of grabbing power, is wrecking our country.

And, who among us has not had a personal relationship affected as a result. (This tribalism has even affected dating. A woman I know tells me that knowing someone’s politics are opposite is an immediate deal-breaker. Whatever happened to, “Hey, baby, what’s your sign?”) (sigh) Oh well, I digress —

Anyway, I have to stop looking at TOTV because eventually sitting on my typing fingers stops working. Not good for me.

Pogo was right.

Still Sassy, and Nostalgic Boomer

youngerday 05-10-2020 09:18 AM

Fauchi and Birx are credible doctors who need to be trusted. Who else would you trust?

ficoguy 05-10-2020 09:27 AM

Actually you are facing the odds of 8.2 fatalities PER DAY in traffic accidents amongst Lake, Sumter and Marian Counties. By comparison, the deaths from CV19 for those 3 counties TO DATE is 3.9 per 100,000, total (not PER DAY)
Population: 854,944 Deaths to date 33.
The only thing you have to fear is fear itself, someone once said....and he was a famous Democrat. Who had Polio....

Jimbo120 05-10-2020 09:51 AM

Thank you for posting this. No need for everyone to argue over what to do next. Although I am not ready to mix it up with people just yet there are plenty of people who are. We all know what to do to keep from getting infected. Afraid? Stay home. Need to work? Go for it. Time for everyone to quit letting the media and the government pretend they have a zero risk solution. We need to return the power of choice (and risk) to the people.

huange@verizon.net 05-10-2020 10:11 AM

Let’s thank all those who opt to stay at home for a potential lower rate of Covid19 deaths if/when this pandemic is solved or run its course.
Let’s thank all those who opt to support and patronize the reopening of businesses for having some resemblance of an economy in place when this pandemic is over as well as allowing millions of people to get back to continuing their livelihood.

billethkid 05-10-2020 10:30 AM

Why is it offered "... stay home if you are afraid..."?

So does it then follow if one goes out they are brave?
No! It just happens to be one opinion.

Some of us stay home because for us...... it makes sense in the current environment.

Has nothing to do with being afraid!

StephenG 05-10-2020 10:41 AM

Wow! I am very pleased with the level of discourse this has generated. A lot of very good opinions and ideas have been expressed in all aspects of this recovery situation. I respect everyone who took the time to express their thoughts and opinions in this matter. It’s obvious that we have a community of a lot of very good spirited people who just want to do what’s right. I am glad that as a community we are able to come together and have a respectful discourse in this matter. I think the most important thing at this point is that as changes are introduced and freedoms are re-substantiated we continue to have a positive and respectful discourse. Our goal must be to all join together and contribute to the recovery effort by means of communication and discourse and when necessary action. So for now God bless you all, And remember you are divinely protected within the hedge of his love.

xNYer 05-10-2020 10:41 AM

Faucet
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Wallyworld (Post 1762009)
Seriously, you believe everything you hear from Fauchi and Birks.

No, I believe the guys I went to high school with and failed Science. They posted some really interesting theories on Facebook.

tvbound 05-10-2020 10:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billethkid (Post 1762443)
Why is it offered "... stay home if you are afraid..."?

So does it then follow if one goes out they are brave?
No! It just happens to be one opinion.

Some of us stay home because for us...... it makes sense in the current environment.

Has nothing to do with being afraid!

You make an excellent point.

It seems to me, that some people are primarily motivated by a fear of appearing weak.

It's almost like being on the 7th grade school yard, where the bully "dares" someone, so that the bully can try to repress their own personal fears and insecurities.

All too many people however, aren't strong enough internally to stand up to those bullies though and will take on that dare, even if they know it will most likely harm themselves.

That's not being brave, it's actually being just the opposite.

shelley77 05-10-2020 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stnkydogs (Post 1762281)
There are multiple studies that support the effectiveness of social distancing. Logically if it prevents transmission it also prevents deaths from Covid. Irresponsible behavior will risk the lives of others, including the health care professionals you will no doubt seek out if you get Covid. Regarding the economic impact, it seems many Villages are financially healthy, with no impact on regular pension and SS deposits. Question is, how are you helping to support those less fortunate? Have you donated to the cause recently, have you generously (over) tipped delivery or take out persons, have you supported the local food bank? Everyone has a part to minimize the impact of the pandemic. Stop whining, we're all in this together. If you're bored, find a new activity that won't risk the health/welfare of others.

Please show me one study that shows the effectiveness of social distancing. I have not been able to find one.

tvbound 05-10-2020 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shelley77 (Post 1762464)
Please show me one study that shows the effectiveness of social distancing. I have not been able to find one.

How about history?


Analysis: Spanish Flu Pandemic Proves Social Distancing Works


Quote:

In a new paper published in the Journal of the American Society of Cytopathology, Stefan E. Pambuccian, MD, MIAC, a professor and vice chair of the department of pathology and laboratory medicine at Loyola University Chicago’s Stritch School of Medicine attempts to answer those questions using the “Spanish Influenza” pandemic of 1918-1919 as a model.
In short, his answer to the question of whether social distancing works is: yes.

"The stricter the isolation policies, the lower the mortality rate,"
Pambuccian said, in a press release.


tvbound 05-10-2020 11:09 AM

And on a purely an anecdotal level, a couple of very high profile cases in the last few days, involving an environment that chose not to social distance or even wear masks, should make most people stop and think.

Rosebud1949 05-10-2020 11:14 AM

Someone please explain why.. you can swim in a pool with others ( like bathing with them) .. have your hair cut and nails done ( close contact with stylist) Line up for take out, shoulder to shoulder, sit in and eat. Even the grocery store has rules, and we wear masks and gloves, and feel safe there.

Yet we cannot play pball 6 foot from your partner, and 15-20 feet from your opponents OUTDOORS, with gloves, mask and sterilized balls... yes 6 foot social distance while waiting..... 2 months now...yet I am still expected to pay amenities.. WHAT AMENITIES.. this applies to all other sports Rec have banned indefinitely....... Perhaps we are not shouting loud enough.

MASKS & Gloves, everyone, and lets play.... we will have NO IMMUNITY to anything if we dont try to get out soon... Marion, Lake and Sumter Counties figures have hardly moved for a week.... if they rise, when we play, then we re-think the rules.....

Slapnut 05-10-2020 11:46 AM

You have bought into this media frenzy. Get over it. If it was or is as bad as the media wants you to think it is then all of the people who went and still go to Walmart home depot and Lowe's would all be sick or dead. I rest my case.

golfing eagles 05-10-2020 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billethkid (Post 1762443)
Why is it offered "... stay home if you are afraid..."?

So does it then follow if one goes out they are brave?
No! It just happens to be one opinion.

Some of us stay home because for us...... it makes sense in the current environment.

Has nothing to do with being afraid!

I don't understand your post at all.

If someone goes out, all it proves is that they are NOT afraid, but not necessarily BRAVE

If staying home makes "sense". it must be because those people are afraid of something, unless they are agoraphobic, in which case they were afraid of going out in the first place.

So, you can call it sensible, responsible, protective others and so forth, but in reality it has EVERYTHING to do with being afraid

Slapnut 05-10-2020 12:01 PM

Fauchi has been so wishy-washy and keeps changing his mind about what should be done to minimize this so called virus. I wouldn't let him pull a tooth. Be careful when it comes to putting your faith in some idiots hands

coffeebean 05-10-2020 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jacob85 (Post 1762241)
Sometimes there is no one else to do your shopping or go to the store so please people at least wear a mask. It’s the least you can do

Grocery stores have delivery services and I've heard they work out great.

Velvet 05-10-2020 12:10 PM

I think of government, in general, as the lowest common denominator for the benefit of society. Individuals can do better. But for those who, for various selfish reasons, chose not to follow even that low expectation, we need policies and rules.

If compassion and consideration guides you, you will generally make the right decision, whether you go to the grocery store or anything else you do that involves others.

coffeebean 05-10-2020 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rrlavigne (Post 1762273)
The president and VP are now being tested daily. All those around them are also tested and are wearing masks. There's new strict virus protocol in the WH. This is the guy who put in place government guidelines then immediately posted praise for people protesting those same guidelines. Fact, not fake news. We debate sheltering vs the economy. (Sometimes in a very nasty way) We debate who to trust with the information we're getting. Well actions speak louder than words. Look what's going on in the WH.

Do as I say, not as I do, including our president. Wonder why people are non compliant.

coffeebean 05-10-2020 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StephenG (Post 1762451)
Wow! I am very pleased with the level of discourse this has generated. A lot of very good opinions and ideas have been expressed in all aspects of this recovery situation. I respect everyone who took the time to express their thoughts and opinions in this matter. It’s obvious that we have a community of a lot of very good spirited people who just want to do what’s right. I am glad that as a community we are able to come together and have a respectful discourse in this matter. I think the most important thing at this point is that as changes are introduced and freedoms are re-substantiated we continue to have a positive and respectful discourse. Our goal must be to all join together and contribute to the recovery effort by means of communication and discourse and when necessary action. So for now God bless you all, And remember you are divinely protected within the hedge of his love.

Nope. Don't buy it.

coffeebean 05-10-2020 01:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tvbound (Post 1762480)
And on a purely an anecdotal level, a couple of very high profile cases in the last few days, involving an environment that chose not to social distance or even wear masks, should make most people stop and think.

Yup....."do as I say, not as I do". Bit them in the ass, didn't it?

GoodLife 05-10-2020 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rrlavigne (Post 1762273)
The president and VP are now being tested daily. All those around them are also tested and are wearing masks. There's new strict virus protocol in the WH. This is the guy who put in place government guidelines then immediately posted praise for people protesting those same guidelines. Fact, not fake news. We debate sheltering vs the economy. (Sometimes in a very nasty way) We debate who to trust with the information we're getting. Well actions speak louder than words. Look what's going on in the WH.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), and Dr. Robert Redfield, director of the Centers for Disease Control, will quarantine for 14 days.(after possible exposure to virus) Stephen Hahn, the head of the Food and Drug Administration, has already gone into quarantine.

Fauci becomes third member of White House coronavirus task force to enter quarantine

Ever seen these infectious disease guys wearing a mask? I got it, let's blame the White House! :a040:

donassaid 05-10-2020 08:41 PM

Before you opt for any vaccine, Google past vaccines developed by Bill Gates which resulted in death, sterility and a myriad of other medical issues. You have got to be an idiot to take ANY vaccine, including flu shots. The best thing we can do, if you are healthy and have no other issues, is to get back to work and our normal activities and let our bodies develop their own antibodies and immunity to Covid 19. It's called "herd immunity".

tvbound 05-10-2020 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by donassaid (Post 1762749)
Before you opt for any vaccine, Google past vaccines developed by Bill Gates which resulted in death, sterility and a myriad of other medical issues. You have got to be an idiot to take ANY vaccine, including flu shots. The best thing we can do, if you are healthy and have no other issues, is to get back to work and our normal activities and let our bodies develop their own antibodies and immunity to Covid 19. It's called "herd immunity".


You made me curious.

Here's what I found.


PolitiFact | Anti-vaxxers spread conspiracy about Bill Gates and India’s polio vaccination

Quote:

A popular conspiracy theory on Facebook digs into Bill Gates’ past to try to discredit his current efforts to speed up the development of a coronavirus vaccine.

An April 13 post claims the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation "tested a polio vax in India between 2000 & 2017 and paralysed 496,000 chlidren."

"Fact!" the post reads.

But it’s not.


graciegirl 05-10-2020 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by donassaid (Post 1762749)
Before you opt for any vaccine, Google past vaccines developed by Bill Gates which resulted in death, sterility and a myriad of other medical issues. You have got to be an idiot to take ANY vaccine, including flu shots. The best thing we can do, if you are healthy and have no other issues, is to get back to work and our normal activities and let our bodies develop their own antibodies and immunity to Covid 19. It's called "herd immunity".

Bill Gates is founder of Microsoft which has nothing to do with producing medical vaccines of any kind. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation funds many projects all over the world. I would have to guess that there is a conspiracy theory circling and you have accepted it as truth.

The way that our bodies develop antibodies and immunity is to survive the infection or receive a vaccine. When it is clearly happening that 80% of those who have died from Covid-19 are over 65 and that is the age of many people who live here in The Villages your opinion seems like a very dangerous one.

Most people use preventative measures to keep healthy and people over fifty are wise to get the shingles shot, all three kinds of pneumonia shot, and the seasonal flu shot. It is good to keep up with tetanus and also perhaps be revaccinated against pertussis, (whooping cough) if there is a new baby grandchild.

I am not a medical person but I am aware of current health trends simply because I love my family and want to protect them from harm.

biker1 05-10-2020 09:27 PM

Bill Gates is not CEO of Microsoft. He stepped down from that position 20 years ago in 2000. He was Chairman of the Board but stepped down from that position in 2014. He recently announced he is leaving the Microsoft Board all together.

Quote:

Originally Posted by graciegirl (Post 1762756)
Bill Gates is CEO of Microsoft which has nothing to do with producing medical vaccines of any kind. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation funds many projects all over the world. I would have to guess that there is a conspiracy theory circling and you have accepted it as truth.

The way that our bodies develop antibodies and immunity is to survive the infection. When it is clearly happening that 80% of those who have died from Covid-19 are over 65 and that is the age of many people who live here in The Villages your opinion seems like a very dangerous one.

Most people use preventative measures to keep healthy and people over fifty are wise to get the shingles shot, all three kinds of pneumonia shot, and the seasonal flu shot. It is good to keep up with tetanus and also perhaps be revaccinated against pertussis, (whooping cough) if there is a new baby grandchild.

I am not a medical person but I am aware of current health trends simply because I love my family and want to protect them from harm.


golfing eagles 05-11-2020 04:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by donassaid (Post 1762749)
Before you opt for any vaccine, Google past vaccines developed by Bill Gates which resulted in death, sterility and a myriad of other medical issues. You have got to be an idiot to take ANY vaccine, including flu shots. The best thing we can do, if you are healthy and have no other issues, is to get back to work and our normal activities and let our bodies develop their own antibodies and immunity to Covid 19. It's called "herd immunity".

No, actually you have to be an idiot to believe that, follow that advice, or even post it in the first place.

Let's examine a few vaccines:

First of all, the only type of vaccine that you can get any form of the disease from are live attenuated vaccines. Most flu shots are inactive vaccines, ie: the worst you can get is a sore arm.
One of the first vaccines was developed by Edward Jenner in 1796 for smallpox---a disease that killed unknown millions with a 30% mortality rate and is NOW EXTINCT since 1975 due to vaccinations. By the way, the current smallpox vaccine is based on a related virus and you CANNOT get smallpox from it.
How many millions were killed by polio? The vaccine can give a form of polio to 2 in 1 million recipients, and that included household contacts of the vaccinated person.
Measles vaccine has an equally low incidence of causing the disease
Diphtheria, Pertussis and Rubella are inactive vaccines, tetanus is a toxoid.
Most of these vaccines are 85-95% effective
So, for every bad side effect of these vaccines, thousands of cases and deaths are prevented
Influenza kills about 44,000 Americans/year on average, that number would be less than 1/2 if everyone got their flu shot.

So PLEASE, ignore that idiotic post and get your vaccinations as recommended by THE EXPERTS AT THE CDC, and not some conspiracy theory nut job.

graciegirl 05-11-2020 04:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by biker1 (Post 1762765)
Bill Gates is not CEO of Microsoft. He stepped down from that position 20 years ago in 2000. He was Chairman of the Board but stepped down from that position in 2014. He recently announced he is leaving the Microsoft Board all together.

I was not aware of that. I apologize. I have changed the wording to founder of Microsoft.

graciegirl 05-11-2020 04:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 1762773)
No, actually you have to be an idiot to believe that, follow that advice, or even post it in the first place.

Let's examine a few vaccines:

First of all, the only type of vaccine that you can get any form of the disease from are live attenuated vaccines. Most flu shots are inactive vaccines, ie: the worst you can get is a sore arm.
One of the first vaccines was developed by Edward Jenner in 1796 for smallpox---a disease that killed unknown millions with a 30% mortality rate and is NOW EXTINCT since 1975 due to vaccinations. By the way, the current smallpox vaccine is based on a related virus and you CANNOT get smallpox from it.
How many millions were killed by polio? The vaccine can give a form of polio to 2 in 1 million recipients, and that included household contacts of the vaccinated person.
Measles vaccine has an equally low incidence of causing the disease
Diphtheria, Pertussis and Rubella are inactive vaccines, tetanus is a toxoid.
Most of these vaccines are 85-95% effective
So, for every bad side effect of these vaccines, thousands of cases and deaths are prevented
Influenza kills about 44,000 Americans/year on average, that number would be less than 1/2 if everyone got their flu shot.

So PLEASE, ignore that idiotic post and get your vaccinations as recommended by THE EXPERTS AT THE CDC, and not some conspiracy theory nut job.

My post just now went ahead of this valuable information from a fellow Villager and a retired doctor who I respect very much. I will repost it here.

biker1 05-11-2020 05:53 AM

He is actually the co-founder.

Quote:

Originally Posted by graciegirl (Post 1762774)
I was not aware of that. I apologize. I have changed the wording to founder of Microsoft.


Swoop 05-11-2020 08:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 1762773)
No, actually you have to be an idiot to believe that, follow that advice, or even post it in the first place.

Let's examine a few vaccines:

First of all, the only type of vaccine that you can get any form of the disease from are live attenuated vaccines. Most flu shots are inactive vaccines, ie: the worst you can get is a sore arm.
One of the first vaccines was developed by Edward Jenner in 1796 for smallpox---a disease that killed unknown millions with a 30% mortality rate and is NOW EXTINCT since 1975 due to vaccinations. By the way, the current smallpox vaccine is based on a related virus and you CANNOT get smallpox from it.
How many millions were killed by polio? The vaccine can give a form of polio to 2 in 1 million recipients, and that included household contacts of the vaccinated person.
Measles vaccine has an equally low incidence of causing the disease
Diphtheria, Pertussis and Rubella are inactive vaccines, tetanus is a toxoid.
Most of these vaccines are 85-95% effective
So, for every bad side effect of these vaccines, thousands of cases and deaths are prevented
Influenza kills about 44,000 Americans/year on average, that number would be less than 1/2 if everyone got their flu shot.

So PLEASE, ignore that idiotic post and get your vaccinations as recommended by THE EXPERTS AT THE CDC, and not some conspiracy theory nut job.

How do you figure that the number of flu deaths would reduce by 50% if everyone got the flu shot? First, the people currently getting flu shots are already typically the most vulnerable. Giving flu shots to young healthy people would have a minimal effect on the mortality rate. So since the flu shot is about 50% effective and a large number of at risk people already get it, how would inoculating everyone further reduce the number by an additional 50%?Lastly the flu shot for any given season is based on the best guess as to what strains will be most prevalent. When they guess wrong the numbers climb significantly.

golfing eagles 05-11-2020 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1763009)
How do you figure that the number of flu deaths would reduce by 50% if everyone got the flu shot? First, the people currently getting flu shots are already typically the most vulnerable. Giving flu shots to young healthy people would have a minimal effect on the mortality rate. So since the flu shot is about 50% effective and a large number of at risk people already get it, how would inoculating everyone further reduce the number by an additional 50%?Lastly the flu shot for any given season is based on the best guess as to what strains will be most prevalent. When they guess wrong the numbers climb significantly.

Are you trying to "educate" me???? If so, :1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl:

That being said, the 50% number is a guess based on the percentage of the population that gets flu shots (approx. 31%) and generally normal distribution. Flu shots, are NOT confined to those most at risk, so that number is only minimally skewed. And yes, CDC goes to Asia in Dec-Feb of the previous year and samples the prevailing influenza viruses, the decides on generally 3 strains to include in the vaccine. It is not 100% effective. On average it is 86% effective, some years 94%, other years < 70%. When an unforeseen strain emerges late in the season, it is close to 0% effective against it

Swoop 05-11-2020 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 1763265)
When it comes to medical expertise, pretty much so. What you call "pompous" is actually a reaction to the torrential outpouring of misinformation by non-professionals and those that googled something for 2 minutes and don't understand what they read. (NOT referring to you in particular)

You started this by challenging something that was a guesstimate based on percentages of the population that receive influenza vaccines every year. Your percentages are a bit different than mine. You feel this skews the population subsets that are subject to death by flu a lot, I didn't think it was all that much. But I built a large margin of error into that guesstimate based on a population of 330 million and an average of 44,000 deaths/year. So maybe it isn't 50%, it could be 45, or 40, or 35%.

So what, my point remains the same
Somebody posted that they would never get a vaccine for anything, I pointed out how nonsensical that was. That's why I get "pompous"

I am certainly not anti vaccine and I only addressed your off the cuff assumption of a 50% reduction. It was your response that it was laughable that I dared to question you that was pompous.

golfing eagles 05-11-2020 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1763280)
I am certainly not anti vaccine and I only addressed your off the cuff assumption of a 50% reduction. It was your response that it was laughable that I dared to question you that was pompous.

It wasn't you that was "anti-vaccine"

Actually, it would be an interesting research project:

Divide the population into 10 year age cohorts, look at the percentage in each cohort that gets flu shots and look at the deaths in each group. Then assume an average 80% vaccine efficacy and get a more accurate "off the cuff" assumption. I'm not sure that information is available, and I'd rather go golfing anyway

shut the front door 05-11-2020 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by graciegirl (Post 1762321)
NO. It is not the 5% with underlying conditions. NO. NO. NO. It is all people over 65. 80% of people who have died from Covid-19 are the elderly, folks over 65, and the older the higher the risk goes, whether or not they have underlying conditions, which most people do have. High blood pressure? Overweight? Do not exercise enough? I keep hearing people assume they are safe because they have no "underlying conditions" but if you are living here you are old enough to be in the high risk group.

Wow, painting with a mighty broad brush there.
The median age in the villages is 70.9. Meaning half of villagers are under that age, which mean that a big percentage of that half are under 65.
Worry about yourself and don't judge others.

shut the front door 05-11-2020 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Heyitsrick (Post 1762309)
Thank you. This is what many - here and elsewhere - just won't respond to. It's like "yeah, 'they'll' figure that out when the right time comes". Sorry - it's almost assuredly not going to work that way. "But you just want to put us all at risk with your irresponsible behavior!!!" Right... We know about that irresponsibility. It's the kind of irresponsibility where you work for a living to raise and feed yourself and your family. That's selfish and irresponsible. Gotcha.

So when, then - specifically and explicitly - do you think it's going to be OK to get back to some semblance of living? Six months? A year? Eighteen months? Please...give an actual time vs. some generalized comment. No "whenever the politicos and epidemiologists say it's ok!" response. Where's our answer(s) on how the economy is going to come back? And why don't we - as a whole - care about that? It's astonishing to me. There's no "big picture" here any longer.

The damage done to the economy already is devastating. But hey, it's a good thing every company - particularly small companies and independent contractors and/or gig workers - have saved tons of money to carry them through this minor inconvenience. Oh wait - real life doesn't really work that way. These companies will perish. The employees will have to hope they can find new and commensurate jobs. Tough luck for them, though, right? At least we're retired! And no big deal, the Fed will just print trillions of dollars to prop things up.

What I find selfish is people who think nothing of preaching responsibility about what others do vis-à-vis their activities and the virus, yet seemingly don't think one wit about where we're all going to be at that yet undetermined time when people feel they can relax the hunkering down. You should try to envision that. It's not going to be pretty.

I know, I know...cue the "the economy doesn't matter if you're dead!" remarks. Add to that the "you don't have the right to infect me!" comments. Expected. But there are many daily activities that entail risks of sorts that we think nothing of. We engage in them because they are part of what encompasses living. Now, what we collectively engage in is fear.

Many of us don't do anything to keep our own bodies in shape - thereby increasing the odds that we'll succumb to some medical malady, virus-related or not. But hey, don't risk my life by potentially spreading that virus! If I want to be overweight, drink and smoke, that's my choice! Of course, your family and friends might think differently.

What there should be is a plan to help protect and sequester the elderly and otherwise vulnerable, while allowing younger people to go back to work. Keep this in place until there is that vaccine. It's a sensible - and reasonable - compromise.

Yeah, I'm just someone else worrying about that little thing called the economy. I just don't grasp what's really important. Who needs an economy, anyway? What am I thinking? We'll all be fine.

Very well said, Rick.
Those who are scared of catching the virus in public because some of us are living our lives need to stay home. And while they're there, they need to stop calling Community watch every time they see something that offends them!
It is not my job to wear a mask to protect you, it is your job to protect yourself. If you're that scared, STAY HOME!
And btw, most of the paranoids that post on here would be surprised at how many that are out and about have already had the virus, whether asymptomatic or not, and have the antibodies. When this is all said and done, and antibody tests are given to most of the population, they're going to be a little embarrassed at how their statistics will change. What will they do when the sky isn't falling any more? I guess they'll have to find another reason to call Community watch.

billethkid 05-11-2020 04:20 PM

I still do not buy it when those who choose to follow the guidelines are categorized as "scared".

They are as entitled to their decision without a negative labeling by someone who does not.


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