Covid 19
 

I'm Confused???? 42,402 cases reported in Florida. Is this a cumulative total? Does any body ever get better? If they do why are they reported as cases in Florida? Are the (Deaths) part of this number? Shouldn't anybody who has died or gotten better be subtracted from this number? WHAT IS THE ACTIVE NUMBER OF CASES ? Just asking Len

Still confused. so all 42,000 are still active cases? Or did I miss something? Len Thanks for the reply.

This site leaves a lot to be desired. Does not count anyone who does not have FL drivers license. They could be snowbirds who live here, die here and have their final resting spot here, BUT they are not counted. Makes us look better for opening up more.

Not an authority, I would think it is those testing positive accumulative. Some get better on their own, some are hospitalized and some die.

go here, scroll down to find data for each Florida county

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...s_20200513.pdf

The numbers reported are all positive antigen tests done in Florida. It has nothing to do with driver's licenses or snowbirds or immigration status. It simply means someone had a nasal swab [usually] and it was positive. It does not count any person who had Covid symptoms and either tested negative or was not tested and died or was seen without testing being done despite the clinical situation fitting Covid. It will not include people who have antibody tests to show they are "immune" which the test may not really show.

The number is not meant to reflect active cases, it is the total that have occurred since the pandemic. The dashboard shows you how many are Floridians vs visitors and also you can dig down and look at ages and counties and localities. You can also see that about 700 children under 15 have tested positive. I am pretty sure they don't have licenses.

If you want to know "active" cases I'd suggest looking at the graphs showing new cases by date. Any case within the last 14 days would still be new enough that it would be considered potentially infectious. Look at the Florida DOH dashboard and select See State Report in the box Review case, monitoring and PUI information on the latest COVID-19 Report.

Go down a bit and you can see the 14 day report. It is showing about 700 new cases a day over the last 2 weeks, steadily, not going down and not because of increased testing.

Recovery Rates
 

MAY 1st 34,728 cases. 1314 deaths
MAY 14 42,402.cases 1827 deaths Cumulative
Recovery Time 2 weeks for 75% of 34,728 = 26,046 recovered
Subtract recovered from May 1st and the current deaths of 1827
And subtract from 42,402 and the current cases are 14,529

Just my math. Maybe I'm wrong but the numbers add up. Len

For my money, blueash is the only Covid-19 advice and comment worth listening too.
Straight answers, no BS.
Plenty of other 'knowledgable' posters, but most seem to have an agenda to suit ther own theories.

No Agenda just curiosity. No body can answer my question. Sorry if you took it the wrong way. Len

Sorry, was just passing on MHO about blueash.

Cant help with your question, except to say it is a rolling total, and if you take off the dead, and cases over 14 days old, you would not be far off the total of active cases.
But I don't follow the scores!!

That is the total number from the beginning. The rate of those who have gotten better is running 2 to 1 to the death numbers. here are the totals from the eek following the opening, they are going down From April 25, to May 3, nine days before Florida opened there were 5,798 newly diagnosed Corona Virus cases.

From May 4, the day Florida opened to May 12, also nine days later, there were 5,468 cases diagnosed. That is a decrease of 330 new cases. That shows the curve is still going down.

Deaths In Florida from CV-19;
April 26 to May 3 there were 341 deaths in the eight days prior to opening

May 4 to May 11 there were 194 deaths in the 8 days after Florida opened. A decrease of 146 deaths due to CV-19.
Now you know the rest of the story, and the truth.

Really impossible to tell a very small number have been tested and the people tested are first responders and people showing symptoms.

You would need to look at the number tested versus the number tested possitive to get a rate. The kicker is you can have it without bad symptoms and not be tested.

The antibody test gives you an idea on how many people have had it without getting tested. Some areas that number was as high as 25%.

There is nowhere to get tested post-covid. They are only testing symptomatic patients. My doctors office (Colony) said they are not doing testing at all. They even cancelled my regular well visit appointment. If you want to be tested, you have to get an appointment at the public health departments in Bushnell. It’s crazy.

The whole country is looking at FL and similar states like Georgia in what is happening after re-opening. These numbers look encouraging. Is the re-opening going this well? You read the news and hear all about the expected new wave or second wave after re-opening and that states are re-opening too fast or being too aggressive. But the numbers seem good. Too good to be true? Too early to really know?

nobody knows the absolute answer to any of this yet....they're still trying to get their arms around it

Think about it...they don't even know what they don't know yet

the media hype and bits of information going around on this can drive you crazy....I try to avoid it

you know how to stay safe

I totally understand your question. It would be nice to have reports that say, for instance: 100 new cases today, 500 recovered, 1000 total cases in FL. It’s hard to tell how many new cases daily when it’s added to the total. Also, I see reports of people leaving hospitals and would like to read about people that have survived and never had to go to hospitals. I cannot find much information on people recovering at home.

Misleading us older folks who are actually most vulnerable. Why?

Lake, Marion, Sumter Counties: Population 854,944. To date, there are 711 cases ( so your chances of getting sick are 7.11 per 100,000 ) and to date there are 35 deaths ( 3.5 per 100,000 ). On any given day, there are 12 deaths from all causes - that's PER DAY. Since we started tracking there is 1/3 of a person A DAY dying from CV19. You're far more likely to get killed driving your car.

This is the total number of cases since the beginning. It does include deaths. Yes, people do recover. So many of those cases are already recovered. Deaths are also reported separately, but are included in the number of cases we have had. Every time a new case is reported, it is added to the total.

So instead of a scary number like 42,000 we are closer to 15,000 among how many million people live in Florida? Millions

Do a Bing search
 

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They have a we site that gives the stats state by state and in some states county by county. Sending the link was disallowed.

The cases in The Villages are listed at 78. It has been at or near this number for quite a while now so I think they are listing all reported cases but not the reduced number of cases from people who have gotten over the virus.

This website may help. 33,955 active cases. I don’t see how they come up with that number because within three weeks of getting infected you either get better or not. With that thought than 33,955 people have become infected within the last three weeks. Don’t get it. I mean these numbers and the virus.

United States Coronavirus: 1,465,259 Cases and 87,303 Deaths - Worldometer

Most Relevant to TV
 

Daily Sun today (5/15): Villages hospital currently has no Covid patients and has had no new Covid hospitalizations for 3 weeks.

All reports regarding epidemics seem to be total cases, like the number of cases for the 1917-18 "Spanish Flu" and the numbers bandied about in comparison to seasonal flu, automobile deaths, etc. The number of active cases can be reasonably estimated by subtracting the number of deaths and recoveries ( usually in the reports somewhere).

Unless crystal balls really work, those opinions/prognostications are just all guesswork. News outlets spinning their 24/7 wheels.

This site has sortable tables for deaths, recoveries, and new infections during the past 24 hours by state.