Evacuating FLA??
 

Our friends are panicking and afraid of this hurricane heading toward glad. They are ready to evacuate. I. Haven't had news on so not sure how bad it will be. Anyone updated on this?

The guidance from Miami (see link below) has the "cone of panic" twice the width of Florida on Tuesday afternoon and it is expected to be of tropical storm intensity. The latest GFS simulation has it making landfall on the eastern part of the FL panhandle on Wednesday afternoon. In summary, it is still pretty far out. Tell your friends to calm down.

HURRICANE ELSA

Hurricanes are part of living here .

as is over-reacting - worrying that every tropical warning is going to be the "storm of the century"

Glad we are not living in glad.

Guess we will wait and panic at the last minute.

Maybe "your friends" should check with the Nat'l Weather Service or the National Hurricane Center ???

You obviously have internet access so for more professional info than all the weather prognosticators here try these: :D

National Hurricane Center
National Weather Service

People have to do what makes them feel safe/comfortable. No place is safe from natural disasters.

Sorry, I don't buy that line. It's the same crap people say about masks. Who cares what makes YOU feel safe or ME feel safe. We need to do that which makes sense, that which is recommended by the experts, and do it at the time recommended. Today I saw a cyclist riding alone with a mask on. You might say "he's doing what makes him feel safe". But in reality, he is a total moron. Likewise , you can stay in your home when it is under a mandatory evacuation because you feel safe. Another case of being a moron. Sorry if that is offensive, but that's simply the facts of the situation.

No need to ever panic. I gave you the link to the Miami hurricane center guidance. Use it.

I assume you were being disingenuous. But seriously, no one should panic. After all, when they do evacuate for a hurricane, THIS is the place they evacuate those people TO

One of the reasons we moved here was to "get away" from hurricanes in Southeast FL. Too few evacuation routes...either up I-95 or across Alligator Alley to SW Fl and then up I-75. Gridlock.

If you and your friends are in the villages, this is generally regarded as 'shelter in place' location. Irma came directly over TV a few years ago, wind gusts hit around 115 MPH, somewhere around 15 inches of rain in a 24 hour period. There was very little damage, some relatively minor flooding and the major power disruptions were in the historic areas. Also, we are inland and the storms lose intensity as they move over land. IMHO, the local television stations and papers have hurricane guides follow these, we are staying put.

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The path of Irma was actually west of us - the center of the circulation did not pass directly over The Villages. At that point, it was probably a tropical storm in intensity and the exact path is really not of much consequence since the circulation was pretty wide but it is a misconception that the center of the circulation passed over The Villages.

How can you just assume he's a moron because he's bicycling with a mask on? I bet he doesn't get any dragonflies in his mouth!

Only you can compare a hurricane to wearing a mask. Have you looked in the mirror…. Why do you care if someone is wearing a mask and then call them a moron for wearing it. Grow up.

I'll listen to Tucillo. I think he's a meteorologist.

You grow up! Decisions about masks and hurricanes should be based on factual information, not "feelings".

Endless similar posts from this guy.

As I said a waste of time.

I was trying to be funny. The ground here is great at absorbing moisture and we feel very safe from hurricanes.

Now tornadoes or sink holes that is a horse of another color.

Thats correct. If you PANIC every time a hurricane is mentioned, you are living in the wrong state.

A couple of days ago, the Villages Newcomers" hosted David Castro, Sumter County Emergency Management Director, for a discussion about what to do in emergencies.

One of the points he made was that recent tropical storm activity has not seriously harmed this area, that homes in The Villages are constructed to modern hurricane survival standards, and that the best thing for us is to shelter in our homes, not wander out in to the chaos of those jamming the highways trying to exit the area.

Watch the interview here: Emergencies in The Villages, Florida - YouTube and/or visit the Sumter County Emergency Preparedness site for more info: Emergency Management | Sumter County, FL - Official Website

That site has preparedness tips and offers an alert service.

Mr. Castro mentioned that surrounding counties have very similar sites and advice.

I hope this is a joke posting , the weather shows love to hype storms to get viewers , if a real hurricane is on the way you should have your supplies in place and follow officials directions.

Where is glad?

Oh Oh, time to run out and stock up on water, bread and toilet paper

Experts
 

No offense intended here, but I have and will continue to trust my own common sense, (as you said, that which makes sense), before I trust any "Expert". I have not successfully ascended into my 70's by doing what others have deemed necessary. I have learned that too many "Experts" in this world are primarily experts in in their own success, be that success notoriety, financial, or both. "Experts" and "common sense" are not always congruent.

The hurricane is too far out till Sunday to know with more certainty about the risks.There are some things you can do now. Don’t drive around with a nearly empty gas tank. You can fill up your gas tank when it’s gone down to 3/4 full. Buy some five gallon gas cans and fill them up too. Make sure that you know your insurance information, in case you will need it.

We also keep about 20 cases of water, about 12 cases of paper towels, and about 12 cases of toilet paper. We don’t have our whole house electric generator yet, that we ordered in January, but we have flashlights and lanterns. We have a lot of non perishable food. We have a grill with a full propane tank, plus an extra propane tank.

At some point, you have to make the decision to evacuate or stay. Many people say if the hurricane is a category 4 or 5, they evacuate. If you wait too long to evacuate, it might be 5 mph for hundreds of miles. Along the way, there will be dead cars that are clogging up the roads that are simply unreliable cars, or they ran out of gas. Many people wait till their gas tank is empty before they refill their gas tank. That’s a bad habit. You might need those extra 5 gallon gas cans that are all full, if it takes hours to fill up your gas tank or the gas stations run out of fuel on the way up north. If you wait too long, it’s too dangerous to evacuate. If you evacuate too early, then you might have evacuated for nothing if the hurricane weakens or changed course away from your location. If you’re too stressed out, then it’s better to evacuate sooner than later.

Why panic ...... throw a party!

:-(

In reality, when a northbound hurricane, like Irma, passes to the west of you, the winds are more dangerous in that location (thus it is called the more dangerous semi-circle). The Hurricane winds are amplified by the speed of advance. The right side of a hurricane may see winds upwards of 20 MPH faster than in the approaching eye of the storm. Likewise, on the left side of the hurricane path, the winds are decreased by the speed of advance.

Northeast eye wall is the strongest part of a hurricane . We were here for it and it wasn’t a walk in the park. Trees down, fences demolished. We will be riding this one out too if it comes here. What the last hurricane did as far as damage has nothing to do with what the next one has in store.

like Ron white says
"YOU CAN'T FIX STUPID"!!!!!!!!!

I was here during Irma, but we didn’t get 115 mph winds. I think the max was somewhere between 65-75 mph. The “Eye” came right over the Villages, but it had flattened out, so the winds were not that bad.

Run and take cover now. This could be very, very bad. Run.

Get new friends !

There are a lot of guys like that on here,

The first year I lived here we had 3 storms pass over. The first 2 I moved everything and it was just like a normal downpour. The 3rd time I did not move anything and that was the worst one and still nothing happened.
The biggest problem was a couple of years ago when the power went out for days in certain parts of TV that should have had stable power. Supposedly that has been fixed, the Lake Ella station was the SECO problem. I knew the people by name that I kept calling.
Tell your friends to relax, not nearly as bad as a tornado up north. We are too far off the water.

No, the center of the circulation did not come right over The Villages. It was just to the east of Crystal River and west of The Villages. This is actually tracked accurately because the NCEP accumulates forecasted path error statistics for the NWP models. Again, it really doesn't matter that much as the circulation was large and the intensity had dropped significantly.

Maps: Tracking Hurricane Irma’s Path Over Florida - The New York Times