Hurricane Watch Sumter County
 

So three channels are posting a Hurricane Watch for Sumter until Saturday 11:15pm. No prediction of rain amounts yet.

Wondering if news is just being cautious.

From Sumter County Sheriff:

Hurricane Watch issued August 27 at 4:58PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

August 27, 2023 at 17:00:41 EDT
A Hurricane Watch means hurricane-force winds are possible somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Wildwood - Lake Panasoffkee - Bushnell * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58 to 73 mph - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical storm force. -

PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be underway. Prepare for significant wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. -

POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts -

THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for moderate flooding rain - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are possible. - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action may result in serious injury or loss of life. -

POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches overflow. - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures. * TORNADO -

LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. -

POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Tampa Bay Area, FL

Shared from the Sumter County Sheriff's Office app at Sumter County Sheriff's Office (FL)
App Store Links

Governor issued a state of emergency earlier in the day - Sumter was one of the counties included.

National Hurricane Center has updated the forecast southward so that the edge now includes Tampa and comes close to the Villages.

Still three days out so a lot can change. Doesn't hurt to start thinking about what you might need for this hurricane season.

News is just reporting…….not calling the watch.

You are correct it’s posting from the National Weather Service. This if it does meander to TV would be our second go around.

Guess grocery shelves will be empty in 24 hours. Good reason to find all those items in your freeze you forgot about, and cook them������

Items exempt from sales tax during the Disaster Prep holiday period, 26 AUG - 8 SEP.

Click here.

https://www.talkofthevillages.com/fo.../10300-sig.jpg

Will be following the news

Hope everyone has Utube, or prime, or Get out the dvd’s if you have them….last time every channel had non stop weather maps minute by minute. With very little changes every hour.

Which Insurance Companies will leave next?

Just Sumter? What about Marion?

Thank you for this notice.

Remember that a lot of the people on the Gulf Coast of Florida over by Cedar Key, New Port Richey, Clearwater, Palm Harbor,Tarpon Springs, Sarasota, Homostassa Springs come inland to get away from the storm. They come to around this way.
Florida State Map | USA | Detailed Maps of Florida (FL)

The big worry here are tornadoes.

OK but not sure of your point.

We are not the ones who need to get out of harm's way usually. Unless a tornado is involved and it is hard to plan for those.

We may lose power for a day or two but usually some of the surrounding areas have homes that are without power a lot longer.

The developers picked a great area here in Florida to set up the Villages. We are pretty safe except for from tornadoes and lightning strikes.

Hurricane Watch issued August 27 at 11:06PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

August 27, 2023 at 23:08:43 EDT

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Wildwood - Lake Panasoffkee - Bushnell

* WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph -

THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74 to 110 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or 2 hurricane force. -

PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be rigorously underway. Prepare for considerable wind damage. -

ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. -

POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks. - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Large areas with power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for moderate flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are possible. - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action may result in serious injury or loss of life. -

POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches overflow. - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures. *

TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. -

POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Tampa Bay Area, FL

Shared from the Sumter County Sheriff's Office app at Sumter County Sheriff's Office (FL)
App Store Links

Asian ....watch the news starting today. Whole different ballgame. DO NOT take this lightly.

Geez people, tis the season! and the height of hurricane season is from the middle of august through the middle of september. .

current forecast in Tampa is a 4-7 ft storm surge surge, which is insurance company hammering. . for lots of very expense waterfront homes..

which insurance company will remain is the real question!

Windward Side
 

TV is on the windward side of the current path prediction which, if accurate, will net us some serious wind and rain for Idalia midweek.

Then again, Ian had the same predicted path and it turned to hit Ft. Meyers sparing TV.

Be aware? Yes. Prepare? Yes. Panic? NO!

As others have pointed out, the Villages is where Tampa goes to escape the storm.

I've lived in hurricane country for a long time. Obviously the big threats are flooding and wind damage mostly due to falling trees and power lines. The Villages has few large trees around homes and few vulnerable power poles, minimizing wind damage except for that to our buildings themselves but they are designed to withstand a lot of wind. Flooding is another matter. I saw what happened to the lower areas around Orlando last year. I don't think TV is as likely to flood that bad except maybe the areas south of 44.

Maybe your relatives and friends head to the Villages to evacuate. I lived in the St Pete Area for 18 years. When people evacuate they are instructed to head toward places outside of the weather center cone. If you evacuate somewhere inside the cone, you are still going to experience hurricane winds, flooding, and power outages. There is also a possibility that trees and debris will block the roads making it difficult to return home. Not to mention when you arrive to an area further inside the cone, parts of the area may be shut down and gas may be in limited supply. We are instructed to stay off major hwys, if possible, because this will only lead to an enormous traffic jam with the possibility of some running out of gas. No one in 18 yrs ever advised us to evacuate to the Ocala/Villages area.

Okay, issue a watch but do they have to act like it’s end of the world every time? Remember the boy who cried wolf?

all this and not one mention of a hurricane party..... totally disappointing

I knew this type of weather was part of living in FL, but the same path/area 2 years in a row? Hopefully similar to last year and passes by our area with just some wind and rain. Weather reports say it may be moving through faster than last year's.

Prepare, be cautious don't panic! When Irma hit the winds and rain were fierce. Power outages in T.V. were scattered but for the most part the newer areas where the infa-structure was underground didn't ever lose it. Yes, there were trees and branches down. I'd say use common sense and watch/listen when possible. I tend not to keep my focus on any of the "news" outlets as it will feed into fear and worry. Yes, I do pay attention!! BUT there's a difference! The 24/7 loop on "news" isn't healthy---with the weather, with politics, with any kind of ________(fill in the blank).

I am not someone who will celebrate someone's misfortune. Not that I am holier than thou, it doesn't feel appropriate.

I agree!

to drown our sorrows from everyone losing their house insurance due to all insurers leaving the state. . which may cause housing prices to drop faster than AIR BNB insolvency.

the future is always uncertain, sometimes more uncertain than at other times. .

Did anyone lose WiFi service from Spectrum or Xfinity last time? New here, and not sure what the probability is that we’ll be without Wifi. Without it we won’t have our streaming services. I get that we will lose it if we lose power, but if we lose power I will be too miserable from the heat/humidity to care about WiFi and television.

You obviously haven’t lived in Florida very long. It’s what you do to escape the never ending “news” cycle. Prepare, then have a party! Done ✅

Don’t know what to tell you. Last year some headed away from the cone and went to Ft Myers - didn’t work out well. I haven’t been here 18 years but three or four hurricanes under our belt plus tales of the Villages leads me to believe this is the place I want to be.

The concern about power and trees makes sense… if there were raised power lines and large trees near homes here. I’m still feeling pretty good here.

Gas? Seems like human nature. A hurricane gets named and people run to the pumps. Wish it wasn’t that way but…

I would be a lot more worried if I still lived in Palm Harbor, Florida which is near Tarpon Springs, Dunedin, and Clearwater.

We had about 20 feet of elevation though but were a football throw (by Tom Brady) from Lake Tarpon.

We seemed to be the bullseye in Palm Harbor 4 times in 2005 but all were misses. One was close and we did experience the horizontal rain.

It was a big reason we moved to the Villages in the Summer of 2005. The Villages is pretty fair inland from hurricane threats from the West or the East.

Ihave llived in Florida all my life. I know many people who lost their homes, their jobs/income, and a few who lost their lives. I have seen hurricanes make a last minute turn and catch people off guard. People who do not heed warnings and surf in the waters only to get killed by the rip current. People who chose to stay outside for a better view and a tree falls on them, killing them instantly. Power lines that have fallen onto the roads and electrocuting individuals. People who choose to drive and die when they do not correctly guess how deep the water is. Floods in neighborhoods where people have to be evacuated by boat. Debris blown everywhere hitting and injuring those who did not remain inside. Doors and windows shattered and blown open. Roofs torn off and water leaking into homes. Trees uprooted and falling on cars and homes. Tornados and water spouts, weeks without power, I can go on and on.

Forgive me if I choose to remain sober and alert. But, the choice is always yours to make.

NHC predicting Cat 3 Wednesday morning
 

The track of the storm appears to be consistent over the last few days. What is new is the national hurricane center is predicting this will be a category 3 or higher come Wednesday morning and make landfall as a category 2 hurricane.
With the record high gulf water temperatures everybody pretty much needs to strap in for this season… It's going to be a wild one!

I think you may be missing my point. People who live in Tampa area would not go to Ocala/Villages to evacuate. The roads out are policed and you are given which direction to travel. It is a very organized process. Last year, traffic was directed to drive north up the coast line. I can't imagine anyone went toward Ft Meyers because they would have been stopped and directed to go another direction. The possibility of having thousands and thousands of cars on the highways is dangerous and some people may run out of gas. Each area is told what day and time to evacuate to avoid this. Ocala/Villages is not an area we are ever told to go. It doesn't make sense to go there. However, relatives and friends of Villagers probably head that direction before mandatory evacuations are announced. This is allowed.

The other reason the roads are policed is to allow emergency trucks easy entrance into the state once the hurricane has moved on. If everyone is returning on I-75, this would make that impossible.This is why people are directed to head to an area outside of the Weather Station cone.

Be prepared for anything, last years hurricane was forcaste to hit Tampa Bay and our Area to get 15" of rain, well within hours neither of these happened and everything went futher south.
Everyone stay safe!

Wow! For the most part the historic Villages - where power lines are ALSO underground - took one heck of a hit BECAUSE its power substation went down - for days! The other Villages survived because their substations did not go down! There's no guarantees on that - new or older Villages!

Sumter County hurricane watch
 

What about Lake County…We live in the Village of Newell which is in Lake County but zero warnings????:faint::faint:

Utilities being underground are not immune to power outages. I have been through many hurricanes and have suffered, sometimes for weeks, without power. Each time, I lived in a fairly new home with the utilities underground. Sometimes the grid is blown, sometimes towers are down, sometimes lines have fallen, sometimes the power is manually shut off by the electric company to avoid severe damage. Power will not be restored in an area until it is safe to do so.

I will admit that I was not living in the Villages when the historic side took a hard blow. I am guessing flooding was the major issue and the power was not restored until the water issue was addressed. It can happen anywhere, folks! Don't ever believe you are immune. A hurricane doesn't care if you live in a new home. Mother nature isn't that choosy.

first, put your modem/network equipment on a UPS and you will have at least some time to check the internet for information. turn it off when not using it to check at a later time.

second, that's when a laptop is at its best with its own battery. .

third, buy an inverter which can run from your car to the UPS / to the modem/router, etc for power to check to see that the world is still here. .

These are the cheap ways to keep some access to the outside world in the modern digital world

good luck everyone. .

I can’t speak to your imagination, I can only say that St Pete people DID come to stay with me in the Villages. I don’t remember them telling stories of running roadblocks either.

As for Ft Myers.. only anecdotal but I heard of that too.