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Price drop
Is there any way to know when the villages will drop the price on remaining homes?
The thought of purchasing a home and a week later it drops 20k is unnerving. |
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I think the Villages Development Corp, plays their cards very close to the vest. I don't think anyone can predict if and when there would be a price decrease with any certainty.
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It certainly happens
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The Villages sat on the homes in Dabney for almost 6 months before you started seeing the slashing.
They look something like this from last year’s cuts |
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Thats life. Offer a price $20 K lower. |
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If you are looking at preowned, research thoroughly before you buy. I would suggest you start with math. 714 homes available on MLS. Each week more are added. Homes sold each week average 30 to 40. OVER 90% OF THE INVENTORY IS SITTING. If you are patient, it will not be difficult to find a good bargain. |
The good ones go the same day they are listed. If it’s sitting, there is a reason.
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Price drop
The banks lend money to builders in “packs”. The money for new villages is released when one is sold out. When the villages wants “new” money they will sell quickly to obtain funds and a new contract with the banks. If no other factors are considered, the last few houses in an area may have a price drop.
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each house is unique, and to assume that another house dropped 20K means your house should have dropped 20K, is just a mental game of unsuccessful bottom fishing ego massaging. if you want to buy a house, put together a list of wants and needs, and a max price, and go hunting. If everything fits, buy the house and be happy about the house. . behavior economics: this thought process is called resulting, ie, if the probability of success is 90%, that still means there is a 10% chance of failure. . 90% does not mean 100%, so if you make the choice and it happens, that was the 10%. . Pete Carroll losing the super bowl to the Patriots on a 90% play call. . from the book "Thinking in Bets" not a bad call, just not your desired outcome of which you have no control. . |
You could take a short round trip in a time machine. But operators usually charge millions of dollars for that since financial markets offer a much higher return.
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Homes new
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Or the price decreases
We bought in the villages about 2 and a half years ago. If we sold today, we would lose money. The house has decreased in value, but our neighbors in Dabney are great. At times we reflect on how neighbors paid less after our purchase but we care too much about them to mention it. We own a second home in Clearwater and that home has also lost maybe the same amount in value.
The bottom line is a home should never be considered an investment. Especially here in Florida. |
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There’s no “offering” anything on a new home. The price you see is the price you pay. Not a penny less.
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I doubt “the family” has to borrow from a bank to build a new village. They’ve got billions ……:
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You never know that also the reverse could happen. You wait and the price goes up. We bought 3 years ago a new house and literally 2 weeks after escrow closed, new homes like ours were being listed for $40K more. Had we waited we would have been priced out of our house and couldn’t have afforded it. Our house is on a view lot and the new ones almost always sell the same day listed. The only new homes I’ve seen discounted are those undesirables that have an issue like near power lines etc, or they are just needing to close out a village and concentrate elsewhere.
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Home price drop for new homes
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During the 2008/2009 housing crises they included some furnishings in the home. They did not drop the price of homes. Buy a lot or home you will love and just move forward. It’s like trying to time the stock market. |
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Since 2004 (could be earlier) as a village near completion and new area started. The few Unsold homes were discounted. In your closing paperwork the paragraph “if you DO NOT CLOSE on Closing date” all discounts will be removed. Discounts were a percentage of original price.
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Once the agreement to purchase a house is signed, price does not change, up or down.
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If you’re a FROG don’t worry be happy.
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O.P. You absolutely should wait. Generally, the longer you wait, the easier it will to see if a price is going to drop. |
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I think you need to understand the current market. Next, location is everything. Next, if it's a resale, you don't know if the sellers started to high and are realizing the market is correcting to a buyers market since interest rates are up. In short, you need to decide what the real price will need to be and make an appropriate offer, and go from there.
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One thing is certain
One thing is certain, prices haven’t started climbing yet. Most have or are still going down.
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Yep
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I do feel we may be close to the bottom, but then again you can never be too sure. |
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buying into a rising market from a substantial period of stable prices is a better bet, but not a guaranteed bet. The future is always uncertain, sometimes more uncertain that at other times. .. |
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