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-   -   Who gets the drop outs votes? (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-political-talk-88/who-gets-drop-outs-votes-182955/)

Guest 02-21-2016 04:04 PM

Who gets the drop outs votes?
 
It appears that Donald Trump has about 33% of the primary votes in his pocket. Not enough to win the nomination.

Considering Jeb's relationship with Rubio and both being from Florida, I would suspect most of his supporters to go to Rubio. This will put Rubio somewhere around 29%

Kasich and Carson have about 15% between them. Even if they all went to Trump, it wouldn't be enough to secure the nomination. So where do these votes go?

If they are split evenly, and I think that is highly unlikely, we'd have Trump at 38%, Rubio at 34% and Cruz at 27%. Does Cruz drop out if that's the case? If he does, his people are not going to support Trump. Rubio would almost certainly become the nominee. If he picks Kasich as his running mate, I believe the republicans win the White House easily over any democratic candidate.

If Cruz decides to stay in we'll have a brokered convention. If it does, then Trump is certainly gone as the party will not support him.

Trump's big problem is his negatives which are far higher than any candidate on either side. As the other's drop out, his share of the vote is not going to increase.

Just my thoughts on what I'm witnessing.

Guest 02-21-2016 04:19 PM

The actual R nominee is really irrelevant-

Both Clinton and Sanders easily beat any Republican

Guest 02-21-2016 04:57 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1188918)
The actual R nominee is really irrelevant-

Both Clinton and Sanders easily beat any Republican

I doubt it. I think that a Rubio / Kasich ticket would easily beat either of them.

Guest 02-21-2016 06:14 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1188918)
The actual R nominee is really irrelevant-

Both Clinton and Sanders easily beat any Republican

Sanders will be out before long. Nobody down South will vote for a commie. Hillary will be the nominee but has no chance against any of the GOP candidates. The DNC doesn't even want her to win, but didn't want Sanders to win either. They will trot out Bloomie as an Independent, but we all know who he represents. Then the GOP candidate will win again. Independents will not vote for Sanders or Hillary and that is the only way Hillary would have had a chance to win. If Trump gets nominated, Hillary is going to go down in a landslide, with Dems voting for Trump, Independents voting for Trump, and maybe even Slick Willy, the ever faithful husband. Hillary must realize by now that she is going to lose, unless that bump on the head really did rattle her little brain.

Guest 02-21-2016 10:18 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1188956)
Sanders will be out before long. Nobody down South will vote for a commie. Hillary will be the nominee but has no chance against any of the GOP candidates. The DNC doesn't even want her to win, but didn't want Sanders to win either. They will trot out Bloomie as an Independent, but we all know who he represents. Then the GOP candidate will win again. Independents will not vote for Sanders or Hillary and that is the only way Hillary would have had a chance to win. If Trump gets nominated, Hillary is going to go down in a landslide, with Dems voting for Trump, Independents voting for Trump, and maybe even Slick Willy, the ever faithful husband. Hillary must realize by now that she is going to lose, unless that bump on the head really did rattle her little brain.

You are truly braindead!

Guest 02-21-2016 10:26 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1188922)
I doubt it. I think that a Rubio / Kasich ticket would easily beat either of them.







Yeah, and you probably thought Etchy was going to win

Rubio at the top of the ticket is a death sentence for the R's. This guy has many skeletons in his closet. Beginning with his meth dealing family. Expect Trump to make mention of it any day now

Guest 02-21-2016 11:39 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1189011)
Yeah, and you probably thought Etchy was going to win

Rubio at the top of the ticket is a death sentence for the R's. This guy has many skeletons in his closet. Beginning with his meth dealing family. Expect Trump to make mention of it any day now

You are wrong. You seem to forget that a literally unknown black, racist, radical preaching/teaching senator from Illinois unseated Queen Clinton in 2008 and was elected.

With his baggage and skeletons as a precedent almost anybody will easily pass.

Guest 02-22-2016 05:46 AM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1189024)
You are wrong. You seem to forget that a literally unknown black, racist, radical preaching/teaching senator from Illinois unseated Queen Clinton in 2008 and was elected.

With his baggage and skeletons as a precedent almost anybody will easily pass.

:thumbup:

Guest 02-22-2016 05:48 AM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1189008)
You are truly braindead!

And yet, you have absolutely nothing to contribute, other than a juvenile "Nuhhh uhhhhh!" Go away little liberal trollie.

Guest 02-22-2016 09:19 AM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1189047)
And yet, you have absolutely nothing to contribute, other than a juvenile "Nuhhh uhhhhh!" Go away little liberal trollie.

Be quiet, coward.

Guest 02-22-2016 11:02 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1189119)
Be quiet, coward.

I'm sorry for your peevish little anger issues. Perhaps if you allow me to have a chat with your momma, we can arrange counseling for you.

Guest 02-22-2016 05:04 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1188922)
I doubt it. I think that a Rubio / Kasich ticket would easily beat either of them.

I think you were the one that said McCain and Palin would win by a landslide. lol

Guest 02-22-2016 05:08 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1188956)
Sanders will be out before long. Nobody down South will vote for a commie. Hillary will be the nominee but has no chance against any of the GOP candidates. The DNC doesn't even want her to win, but didn't want Sanders to win either. They will trot out Bloomie as an Independent, but we all know who he represents. Then the GOP candidate will win again. Independents will not vote for Sanders or Hillary and that is the only way Hillary would have had a chance to win. If Trump gets nominated, Hillary is going to go down in a landslide, with Dems voting for Trump, Independents voting for Trump, and maybe even Slick Willy, the ever faithful husband. Hillary must realize by now that she is going to lose, unless that bump on the head really did rattle her little brain.

After the election and Hillary wins, I want all you losers to come on here and say "duh I was wrong".

Guest 02-22-2016 05:15 PM

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1189024)
You are wrong. You seem to forget that a literally unknown black, racist, radical preaching/teaching senator from Illinois unseated Queen Clinton in 2008 and was elected.

With his baggage and skeletons as a precedent almost anybody will easily pass.

From the mouth of a person that probably professes to be a Christian.

Guest 02-22-2016 06:42 PM

Are you kidding?
 
Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 1188918)
The actual R nominee is really irrelevant-

Both Clinton and Sanders easily beat any Republican

Get your head out of your a$$. Clinton will be lucky if she doesn't go to jail' & Bernie is a full blown communist. No chance!


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