Quote:
Originally Posted by jebartle
(Post 1754250)
If this test is a good test, why is this not MAILED to Americans, problem solved, healthcare workers removed from danger, tests done quickly, easy test to complete. There has to be a reason it's not happening.
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When the article below came out, on April 14, the saliva test had only been tested—by the company that developed it—on 60 people! That company hired a testing company to try it on 10 more people to see if it could confirm that the test worked. That is NOT enough for a clinical trial, and its accuracy has not been certified by testing agencies. For example, how accurate is the test? What is the percentage of false positives and false negatives? (There was an article in the New York Times last weekend about a group of virus researchers in California that tested, I think, 29 of the virus antibody tests flooding the market (there are many more now) and found only ONE that didn’t have lots of false readings. Ten percent false positives was common, and 5% false negatives.) (That study was done on multiple specimens of the blood of about 600 people already diagnosed as having the virus. It tested accuracy and sensitivity of what is on the market now.)
There is a big difference between a drug company making a few thousand swabs and making 330 million swabs, at once, all to be delivered on the same day. It takes time to even develop the packaging and the directions. It would be very difficult for, say, UPS to deliver that many packages to every house in the country in one day. It would be even harder to pick them up. A lot of people have to drive a half hour to a UPS pickup spot, whether in car or golf-cart.
Would this test be processed by the drug company that invented the test or by private labs around the country? Whichever, the processing will require several hundred thousand expensive machines that have to be built, certified, shipped around the country, tested. All before the first swab is sent for processing. And what happens to those machines once the rush is past? Will they see occasional use for the next few years?
I agree that your idea is a good one. It just isn’t feasible yet, and it may never be. Just think of all the trouble the government has trying to get everyone to fill out the 2020 census. Would everyone willingly give up their DNA for testing? What if they don’t have email? What if they are homeless, or illegals?
If the virus could be detected with a simple test that has been around for decades, like the TB tests, it would be so much easier. But I’m not sure this virus could have been easily tested for even a few years ago. Lab testing is getting better and better, fast, but some things take time.
First Saliva Test for COVID-19 Approved for Emergency Use by FDA | The Scientist Magazine(R)