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https://avt.inl.gov/sites/default/fi...fsev/costs.pdf |
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Anyway, yes, a inexhaustible power source with a small form factor and very HIGH energy density would be perfect for many applications, including EVs. And there is research going on. Needless to say, it will take a while to prove they are safe enough to allow to be put out in 300 million cars - so, don't expect it soon, probably not in our life time. Personally I would like to see the same effort put into making capacitors instead of batteries viable for EVs. Capacitors do not generate electricity, they store it. How long and much much are the limitations. However, from a practical point of view, they don't ever wear out. (Some cheap capacitors leak and die.) An advantage to capacitors is they will, theoretically, charge as fast as you can pump the juice into them. Literally, if you had a big enough wire and a big enough generator you could charge a capacitor in seconds. And while there are limitations to the current capacitor (size and weight for cars) those could be overcome - maybe - with enough research. |
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Ford is CONSIDERING making a purpose built Police vehicle and some departments are CONSIDERING the new Mustang as pursuit vehicles. Others have used the "Leave" in parking enforcement... Ford considers "purpose-built electric police vehicles," offers Mach-E electric car for testing None of this is saying there is any widespread switching to EVs and you're trying to claim... |
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MOST people are keeping vehicles MUCH longer than in the past... From the Google Machine: "The IHS Markit study showed that vehicles are being made with better quality nowadays, leading consumers to own them longer. According to IHS, the average length of ownership was a record 79.3 months, or nearly seven years." |
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They degrade over time, at 150,000 miles they are warranted to still get 70% of their original range. So, instead of 600 miles, they would be down to 420. Or instead of 300 miles, they would be down to 210. And your "outrageously expensive" description is a personal opinion, obviously, a lot of people think they are worth it. And beyond that, the price of EV batteries has dropped by 89% in the past ten years. There is no reason to believe and no evidence that the decline is over. In fact, historically the price of technology plummets as a mass product is adopted. We are NOT yet at mass production. So, it is reasonable the price of those "outrageously expensive" batteries will be "dirt cheap" in 10 years - Attached is an image of the bill for an out-of-warranty Telsa Model 3 battery replacement recently, the total (including a few other things that were done) was under $17,000. So, even if the dropping price of batteries only continues at the current rate, it will cost a WHOPPING $1,700. And with the advancement of technology, it is reasonable to assume that the "new battery" in 2032 will have a faster charging rate, and go at least twice as far. (personally, I am betting on 10 times as far.) |
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There are other studies that show cars are not being trade-in for even longer. It used to be 2 or 3 years. I have no problem with people keeping their cars as long as they want to, as long as that car passes emissions testing. |
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If I did say there is WIDE SPREAD acceptance or adopting I will plead I don't remember and should not have and apologize. |
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Your logic about the battery dropping in price with the shortage of Lithium is also really a stretch. Is everything you are buying right now today dropping in price ??? Also there is so much Lithium being sourced in this country isn’t there? Oh no, it comes from other countries doesn’t it ! Again, I am not anti ev’s at all but my point still stands,,,, the long term viability of them as a major transportation medium is still in doubt . Especially true with the fact that the nations power grid can’t handle the load now . |
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